Guoco Group Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

GULRF Stock  USD 11.35  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Guoco Group Limited is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Guoco Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GULRF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Guoco Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Guoco Group's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
12.17
Hype Value
11.35
Market Value
11.35
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Guoco Group Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Guoco Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Guoco Group Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Guoco Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Guoco and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Guoco Group Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Guoco Group Buy or Sell Advice

The Guoco recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Guoco Group Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Guoco Group Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Guoco Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Guoco GroupBuy Guoco Group
Strong Buy

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Guoco Group Limited has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0955, Jensen Alpha of 0.8354, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2664 and Treynor Ratio of 4.16
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Guoco Group and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Guoco Group Limited is not overpriced, please check out all Guoco Group fundamentals, including its price to sales, debt to equity, total asset, as well as the relationship between the net income and earnings per share . Given that Guoco Group Limited has a shares owned by institutions of 17.80 %, we strongly advise you to confirm Guoco Group Limited market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Guoco Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Guoco Group Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Guoco Group Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Guoco Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Guoco Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Guoco Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Guoco Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Guoco Group Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Guoco Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Guoco Group.
Mean Return
0.86
Value At Risk
0.00
Potential Upside
0.53
Standard Deviation
6.13
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Guoco Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Guoco Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Guoco Group or Guoco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Guoco Group's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Guoco pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.84
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.20
σ
Overall volatility
6.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Guoco Group Volatility Alert

Guoco Group Limited is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Guoco Group's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Guoco Group's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Guoco Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Guoco Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Guoco Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Guoco Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Guoco Group or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Guoco Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Guoco Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Guoco Group to competition
FundamentalsGuoco GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0431-0.31
Return On Asset0.014-0.14
Profit Margin0.13 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.20 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.05 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding329.05 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders77.28 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions17.80 %39.21 %
Price To Earning10.95 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.37 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.47 X11.42 X
Revenue14.9 B9.43 B
Gross Profit750.01 M27.38 B
EBITDA4.7 B3.9 B
Net Income249.86 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.98 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share9.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt26.33 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.66 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.96 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share22.36 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations451.67 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.77 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees10.3 K18.84 K
Beta0.2-0.15
Market Capitalization3.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset130.25 B29.47 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Net Asset130.25 B
Last Dividend Paid0.26

Guoco Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Guoco . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Guoco Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Guoco Group Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Guoco Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Guoco Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Impulse Thematic Idea Now

Impulse
Impulse Theme
Large corporations operating in retail, broadcasting, energy, airlines and telecom sectors. The Impulse theme has 49 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Impulse Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Guoco Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

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When running Guoco Group's price analysis, check to measure Guoco Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Guoco Group is operating at the current time. Most of Guoco Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Guoco Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Guoco Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Guoco Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Guoco Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Guoco Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Guoco Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.