Gse Systems Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| GVP Stock | USD 2.81 0.11 4.07% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding GSE Systems is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides GSE Systems buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding GVP positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of GSE Systems' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting GSE Systems' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 2.75 | Target Price 3 | Hype Value 2.56 | Market Value 2.81 | Naive Value 2.26 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell GSE Systems given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards GSE Systems. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for GSE Systems, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
GSE |
Execute GSE Systems Buy or Sell Advice
The GSE recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on GSE Systems. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in GSE Systems or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute GSE Systems' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
GSE Systems Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| GSE Systems is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| GSE Systems appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 45.04 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (8.72 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 11.86 M. | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 22183 shares by Kyle Loudermilk of GSE Systems at 2.021 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
GSE Systems Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of GSE Systems' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of GSE Systems' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of GSE Systems daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use GSE Systems price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of GSE Systems returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for GSE Systems.
| Mean Return | 1.43 | Value At Risk | -7.37 | Potential Upside | 15.90 | Standard Deviation | 7.78 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of GSE Systems historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
GSE Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as GSE Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading GSE Systems backward and forwards among themselves. GSE Systems' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase GSE Systems' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 2.0 | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 2.0 | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Gabelli Funds Llc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Adirondack Retirement Specialists, Inc. | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | S Squared Technology, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Cwm, Llc Duplicate | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 81.3 K | Needham Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 75 K |
GSE Systems Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 1.2M | 1.9M | 1.9M | (3.3M) | (3.8M) | (3.6M) | |
| Change In Cash | (432K) | (5.0M) | (3.2M) | 826K | (1.2M) | (1.2M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.5M | 777K | (929K) | 120K | 893K | 937.7K | |
| Depreciation | 3.1M | 2.6M | 1.9M | 1.5M | 1.0M | 1.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 4.4M | 82K | (9.4M) | 8.6M | 4.7M | 4.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 523K | 341K | 776K | 618K | 666K | 842.4K | |
| Net Income | (12.1M) | (10.5M) | 10.6M | (15.3M) | (8.7M) | (8.3M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 11.7M | 6.7M | 3.6M | 4.4M | 2.6M | 2.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 11.1M | 4.8M | (8.3M) | 9.1M | 10.5M | 11.0M | |
| Investments | (14.1M) | (330K) | (776K) | (618K) | (562K) | (590.1K) | |
| Net Borrowings | 10.0M | (15.8M) | (1.2M) | 2.1M | 1.9M | 1.6M |
GSE Systems Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to GSE Systems or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that GSE Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a GSE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 1.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.92 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
GSE Systems Volatility Alert
GSE Systems is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure GSE Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact GSE Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.GSE Systems Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing GSE Systems' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze GSE Systems' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between GSE Systems and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as GSE Systems or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of GSE Systems' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GSE Systems by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare GSE Systems to competition |
| Fundamentals | GSE Systems | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.19) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.1) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 7.77 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 3.24 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 15.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 18.77 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 54.47 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.65 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.83 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.22 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 45.04 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 11.86 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (4.15 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (8.72 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 5.36 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.04 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.18 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 1.76 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.56 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.94 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (3.51) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 13.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 218 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.27 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.75 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 22.8 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (78.71 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (2.67 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 28.41 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 22183 shares by Kyle Loudermilk of GSE Systems at 2.021 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
GSE Systems Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as GSE . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About GSE Systems Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell GSE Systems? Buying financial instruments such as GSE Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 2.6M | 3.5M | 2.0M | 1.9M | Total Assets | 39.1M | 26.5M | 22.8M | 45.0M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having GSE Systems in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Shipping Containers Thematic Idea Now
Shipping Containers
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Shipping Containers theme has 15 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Shipping Containers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out GSE Systems Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in GSE Stock, please use our How to Invest in GSE Systems guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for GSE Stock analysis
When running GSE Systems' price analysis, check to measure GSE Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy GSE Systems is operating at the current time. Most of GSE Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of GSE Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move GSE Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of GSE Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is GSE Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of GSE Systems. If investors know GSE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about GSE Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Earnings Share (3.51) | Revenue Per Share 18.114 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) | Return On Assets (0.14) |
The market value of GSE Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of GSE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of GSE Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is GSE Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because GSE Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect GSE Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between GSE Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if GSE Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, GSE Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.