Warrior Met Coal Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HCC Stock | USD 65.05 3.17 4.65% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Warrior Met Coal is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Warrior Met buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HCC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Warrior Met's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Warrior Met's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 53.59 | Target Price 54.4 | Hype Value 65.05 | Market Value 65.05 | Naive Value 67.71 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Warrior Met Coal given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Warrior Met. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Warrior Met Coal, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Warrior |
Execute Warrior Met Buy or Sell Advice
The Warrior recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Warrior Met Coal. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Warrior Met Coal or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Warrior Met's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves slightly opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Warrior Met Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Warrior Met Coal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Warrior Met Coal has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 7th of March 2024 Warrior Met paid $ 0.5 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Warrior Met Coal, Inc.s Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 27 |
Warrior Met Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Warrior Met's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Warrior Met's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Warrior Met daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Warrior Met Coal price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Warrior Met returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Warrior Met.
| Mean Return | 0.14 | Value At Risk | -4.45 | Potential Upside | 3.71 | Standard Deviation | 2.74 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Warrior Met historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Warrior Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Warrior Met is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Warrior Met Coal backward and forwards among themselves. Warrior Met's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Warrior Met's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Third Avenue Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 967.9 K | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 807 K | Allianz Asset Management Ag | 2023-12-31 | 729.6 K | Assenagon Asset Management Sa | 2023-12-31 | 728 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 707.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 635.6 K | Dalal Street Llc | 2023-12-31 | 629.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 7.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6.5 M |
Warrior Met Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (30.5M) | (13.5M) | 45.7M | (79.8M) | (30.8M) | (29.2M) | |
| Change In Cash | (13.0M) | 18.5M | 183.9M | 433.6M | (91.3M) | (86.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (157.5M) | 40M | (419.3M) | (69.7M) | (62.8M) | (59.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 425.5M | 25.1M | 293.7M | 633.2M | 209.4M | 301.5M | |
| Depreciation | 97.3M | 118.1M | (58.5M) | 3.2M | 2.1M | 2.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.2M | 4.2M | 216.3M | 121.3M | 143.6M | 150.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 240.4M | 10.4M | 10.5M | 79.7M | (61.1M) | (58.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 107.3M | 87.5M | 57.9M | 208.7M | 491.7M | 516.3M | |
| Net Income | 301.7M | (35.8M) | 150.9M | 641.3M | 478.6M | 277.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 193.4M | 211.9M | 395.8M | 829.5M | 738.2M | 775.1M | |
| Change To Netincome | 110.1M | 7.1M | 69.7M | 161.9M | 186.2M | 195.5M | |
| Change Receivables | (16.8M) | 38.7M | 12.9M | (41.7M) | (48.0M) | (45.6M) |
Warrior Met Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Warrior Met or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Warrior Met's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Warrior stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Warrior Met Volatility Alert
Warrior Met Coal currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of 0.16. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Warrior Met's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Warrior Met's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Warrior Met Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Warrior Met's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Warrior Met's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Warrior Met and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Warrior Met or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Warrior Met's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Warrior Met by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Warrior Met to competition |
| Fundamentals | Warrior Met | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.16 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.29 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.37 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.99 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 52.3 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.71 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.94 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.02 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.37 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.74 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.95 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.68 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 716.73 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 478.63 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 829.48 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 12.48 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 173.24 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.71 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 36.03 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 701.11 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.83 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 9.20 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 71.83 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.14 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.18 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.57 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.36 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.65 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 921.5 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 355.15 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Sale by Stephen Williams of 80000 shares of Warrior Met [view details]
Warrior Met Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Warrior . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 53229.58 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.73) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 67.16 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 66.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (3.70) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.17) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 56.01 |
About Warrior Met Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Warrior Met Coal? Buying financial instruments such as Warrior Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 9.8M | 82.4M | 5.9M | 5.6M | Total Assets | 1.5B | 2.0B | 2.4B | 1.6B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Warrior Met in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Tech Growth Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Warrior Met Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Warrior Met Coal information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Warrior Met's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Warrior Stock analysis
When running Warrior Met's price analysis, check to measure Warrior Met's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Warrior Met is operating at the current time. Most of Warrior Met's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Warrior Met's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Warrior Met's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Warrior Met to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Warrior Met's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Warrior Met. If investors know Warrior will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Warrior Met listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.289 | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share 9.2 | Revenue Per Share 32.26 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.055 |
The market value of Warrior Met Coal is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Warrior that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Warrior Met's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Warrior Met's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Warrior Met's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Warrior Met's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Warrior Met's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Warrior Met is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Warrior Met's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.