Home Depot Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

HD -  USA Stock  

USD 349.10  0.48  0.14%

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Home Depot is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Home Depot buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HD positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Home Depot's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Home Depot Advice 

 
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The advice is provided from Home Depot's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Home Depot Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Home Depot and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Home Depot.

Execute Home Depot Buy or Sell Advice

The Home Depot recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Home Depot. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Home Depot or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Home Depot's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Home DepotBuy Home Depot
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

TolerableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Home Depot has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.006701), Jensen Alpha of 0.0193, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0763 and Treynor Ratio of (0.035792)
Macroaxis provides investment recommendation on Home Depot to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Home Depot. Our trade recommendations engine determines the entity's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Home Depot is not overpriced, please check out all Home Depot fundamentals, including its price to earning, net income, cash flow from operations, as well as the relationship between the revenue and total debt . Given that Home Depot has a price to earning of 24.87 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Home Depot market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Home Depot Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Home Depot generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Home Depot is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Home Depot has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.reuters.com: Dow closes lower after disappointing bank results - Reuters

Home Depot current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Home Depot analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Home Depot analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price408.42
Target Median Price420.00
Target High Price470.00
Recommendation Mean2.10
Number Of Analyst Opinions33
Target Low Price300.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Home Depot Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Home Depot's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Home Depot's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Home Depot stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Home Depot price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Home Depot returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Home Depot stock.
Mean Return-0.02Value At Risk-2.81
Potential Upside1.84Standard Deviation1.52
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Home Depot historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Home Depot Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Home Depot or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Home Depot stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Home Depot stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.019319
β
Beta against DOW0.85
σ
Overall volatility
1.53
Ir
Information ratio 0.0184

Home Depot Volatility Alert

Home Depot exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.31 and kurtosis of 2.52. However, we advise investors to further study Home Depot technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Home Depot's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Home Depot's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Home Depot Implied Volatility

Home Depot's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Home Depot stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Home Depot's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Home Depot stock will not fluctuate a lot when Home Depot's options are near their expiration.

Home Depot Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Home Depot's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Home Depot's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Home Depot and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Home Depot or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Home Depot's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Home Depot by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Home Depot to competition
FundamentalsHome DepotPeer Average
Return On Asset20.45 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin10.79 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin17.40 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation471.3 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.04 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.06 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions71.98 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted11.88 M4.71 M
Price to Earning24.87 X28.72 X
Price to Book376.14 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.63 X11.42 X
Revenue147.7 B9.43 B
Gross Profit44.85 B27.38 B
EBITDA25.69 B3.9 B
Net Income15.94 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents5.07 B2.7 B
Cash per Share4.85 X5.01 X
Total Debt45.26 B5.32 B
Current Ratio1.13 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations14.81 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.77 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share14.95 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.95 X4.89 X
Number of Employees500 K18.84 K
Beta0.99-0.15
Market Capitalization388.46 B19.03 B
Total Asset41.97 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings43.53 B9.33 B
Working Capital3.96 B1.48 B
Current Asset16.48 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities12.52 B7.9 B
Z Score9.28.72
   Bona fide gift to TIMOTHY HOURIGAN of 100 shares of Home Depot subject to Section 16 [view details]

About Home Depot Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Home Depot? Buying financial instruments such as Home Depot Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Home Depot investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2015 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Receivables2.11 B2.99 B2.69 B2.14 B
Inventories14.53 B16.63 B14.96 B13 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Home Depot in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

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Consumer Goods Theme
Fama and French focuses on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. Consumer Goods theme has 61 constituents.
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Please check Home Depot Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Home Depot information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Home Depot's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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Is Home Depot's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Home Depot. If investors know Home Depot will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Home Depot listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Home Depot is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Home Depot that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Home Depot's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Home Depot's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Home Depot's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Home Depot's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Home Depot's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Home Depot value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Home Depot's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.