Hdfc Bank Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HDB Stock | USD 58.26 0.18 0.31% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding HDFC Bank Limited is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides HDFC Bank buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HDB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of HDFC Bank's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting HDFC Bank's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 48.01 | Target Price 81.42 | Hype Value 58.44 | Market Value 58.26 | Naive Value 58.24 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell HDFC Bank Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards HDFC Bank. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for HDFC Bank Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
HDFC |
Execute HDFC Bank Buy or Sell Advice
The HDFC recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on HDFC Bank Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in HDFC Bank Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute HDFC Bank's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
HDFC Bank Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| HDFC Bank Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Latest headline from livemint.com: Stocks to Watch RIL, Adani Group, HDFC Bank, Tata Consumer, Mahindra Logistics |
HDFC Bank Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of HDFC Bank's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of HDFC Bank's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of HDFC Bank daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use HDFC Bank Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of HDFC Bank returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for HDFC Bank.
| Mean Return | 0.08 | Value At Risk | -2.77 | Potential Upside | 2.82 | Standard Deviation | 1.59 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of HDFC Bank historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
HDFC Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as HDFC Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HDFC Bank Limited backward and forwards among themselves. HDFC Bank's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase HDFC Bank's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 6 M | Impax Asset Management Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 5.8 M | Lazard Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 5 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 5 M | Lone Pine Capital Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4.6 M | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2023-12-31 | 4.6 M | D1 Capital Partners L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 4.3 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4.2 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 4.2 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 19.6 M | Fidelity International Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 13.6 M |
HDFC Bank Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Capital Expenditures | 16.4B | 17.0B | 26.3B | 43.6B | 50.2B | 52.7B | |
| Net Income | 381.5B | 427.7B | 386.6B | 496.3B | 570.7B | 599.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 879.4B | 1.2T | 1.1T | 1.4T | 1.6T | 1.7T | |
| Change In Cash | 61.2B | 333.3B | 191.3B | 265.4B | 305.2B | 320.4B | |
| Free Cash Flow | (185.0B) | 407.8B | 554.7B | 433.6B | 498.6B | 523.5B | |
| Depreciation | 12.8B | 13.9B | 16.8B | 23.5B | 27.0B | 28.4B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 37.2B | 82.1B | 114.7B | 87.6B | 100.8B | 105.8B | |
| Dividends Paid | 66.3B | 166.6M | 36.2B | 86.4B | 99.4B | 104.3B | |
| Change To Inventory | (1.8T) | (1.5T) | 21.3B | (47.1B) | (42.4B) | (44.5B) | |
| Investments | (2.2T) | (16.8B) | (3.3T) | (4.4T) | (4.0T) | (3.8T) | |
| Net Borrowings | 291.0B | (91.4B) | 489.7B | 289.3B | 332.7B | 178.1B | |
| Change To Netincome | 153.6B | 193.8B | 162.1B | 150.1B | 172.6B | 97.4B |
HDFC Bank Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to HDFC Bank or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that HDFC Bank's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a HDFC stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0087 |
HDFC Bank Volatility Alert
HDFC Bank Limited has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.14 and kurtosis of 1.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure HDFC Bank's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact HDFC Bank's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.HDFC Bank Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing HDFC Bank's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze HDFC Bank's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between HDFC Bank and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as HDFC Bank or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of HDFC Bank's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing HDFC Bank by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare HDFC Bank to competition |
| Fundamentals | HDFC Bank | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.17 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.02 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.28 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.27 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.6 T | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.53 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 13.95 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 13.25 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 27.26 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.07 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.21 T | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.13 T | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 685.05 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 496.26 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.05 T | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 94.18 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.24 T | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 7.89 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 600.85 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 477.2 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.46 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.19 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.97 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 69.38 | |
| Beta | 0.77 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 147.99 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 25.76 T | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.45 T | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (4.98 T) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 621.06 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 5.6 T | 7.9 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % |
HDFC Bank Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as HDFC . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About HDFC Bank Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell HDFC Bank Limited? Buying financial instruments such as HDFC Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 2.5T | 2.9T | 3.3T | 3.5T | Total Assets | 21.1T | 25.8T | 29.6T | 31.1T |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having HDFC Bank in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Construction Thematic Idea Now
Construction
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out HDFC Bank Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the HDFC Bank Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other HDFC Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Complementary Tools for HDFC Stock analysis
When running HDFC Bank's price analysis, check to measure HDFC Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HDFC Bank is operating at the current time. Most of HDFC Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HDFC Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HDFC Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HDFC Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is HDFC Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of HDFC Bank. If investors know HDFC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about HDFC Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.029 | Dividend Share 19.5 | Earnings Share 3.19 | Revenue Per Share 193.7952 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.132 |
The market value of HDFC Bank Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of HDFC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of HDFC Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is HDFC Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because HDFC Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect HDFC Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between HDFC Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if HDFC Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, HDFC Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.