Home Federal Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
HFBL Stock | USD 12.86 0.90 7.53% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Home Federal Bancorp is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Home Federal buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HFBL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Home Federal's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Home Federal's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 13.97 | Hype Value 12.88 | Market Value 12.86 | Naive Value 12.73 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Home Federal Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Home Federal. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Home Federal Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Home |
Execute Home Federal Buy or Sell Advice
The Home recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Home Federal Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Home Federal Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Home Federal's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves indifferently to market moves | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Home Federal Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Home Federal Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
Home Federal Bancorp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 43.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
On 12th of February 2024 Home Federal paid $ 0.125 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Home Federal Bancorp of Louisiana receives regulatory approval for dividend |
Home Federal Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Home Federal's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Home Federal's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Home Federal daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Home Federal Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Home Federal returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Home Federal.
Mean Return | -0.11 | Value At Risk | -3.87 | Potential Upside | 4.19 | Standard Deviation | 2.25 |
Return Density |
Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Home Federal historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Home Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Home Federal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Home Federal Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Home Federal's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Home Federal's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 65.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 17.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Alliancebernstein L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 121.1 K | Stilwell Value Llc | 2023-12-31 | 80 K | Level Four Advisory Services, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 21.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 11.7 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 11.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.2 K | Goss Wealth Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 4 K |
Home Federal Cash Flow Accounts
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
Change In Cash | 36.8M | 49.5M | (40.3M) | (39.3M) | (35.4M) | (33.6M) | |
Free Cash Flow | (770K) | 6.0M | 14.5M | 10.9M | 12.6M | 13.2M | |
Depreciation | 653K | 665K | 763K | 869K | 999.4K | 1.0M | |
Other Non Cash Items | (6.9M) | 1.3M | 10.8M | 4.5M | 5.2M | 5.4M | |
Capital Expenditures | 970K | 2.4M | 2.6M | 1.2M | 1.4M | 1.4M | |
Net Income | 3.9M | 5.4M | 4.9M | 5.7M | 6.6M | 6.9M | |
End Period Cash Flow | 54.9M | 104.4M | 64.1M | 24.8M | 28.5M | 23.7M | |
Dividends Paid | 1.1M | 1.1M | 1.4M | 1.5M | 1.8M | 1.8M | |
Investments | (32.5M) | (22.3M) | (26.4M) | (115.3M) | (103.8M) | (98.6M) | |
Net Borrowings | 1.6M | (93K) | (85K) | 5.4M | 4.8M | 5.1M | |
Change To Netincome | (233K) | (2.9M) | (1.3M) | 491K | 564.7K | 592.9K |
Home Federal Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Home Federal or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Home Federal's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Home stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.0058 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.22 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Home Federal Volatility Alert
Home Federal Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.44 and kurtosis of 2.36. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Home Federal's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Home Federal's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Home Federal Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Home Federal's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Home Federal's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Home Federal and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Home Federal or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Home Federal's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Home Federal by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Home Federal to competition |
Fundamentals | Home Federal | Peer Average |
Return On Equity | 0.0897 | -0.31 |
Return On Asset | 0.0074 | -0.14 |
Profit Margin | 0.20 % | (1.27) % |
Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
Current Valuation | 46.34 M | 16.62 B |
Shares Outstanding | 3.14 M | 571.82 M |
Shares Owned By Insiders | 43.00 % | 10.09 % |
Shares Owned By Institutions | 8.99 % | 39.21 % |
Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.06 K | 4.71 M |
Price To Earning | 13.15 X | 28.72 X |
Price To Book | 0.77 X | 9.51 X |
Price To Sales | 1.80 X | 11.42 X |
Revenue | 23.45 M | 9.43 B |
Gross Profit | 20.5 M | 27.38 B |
EBITDA | 6.94 M | 3.9 B |
Net Income | 5.7 M | 570.98 M |
Cash And Equivalents | 64.08 M | 2.7 B |
Cash Per Share | 21.48 X | 5.01 X |
Total Debt | 8.55 M | 5.32 B |
Debt To Equity | 4.53 % | 48.70 % |
Book Value Per Share | 17.30 X | 1.93 K |
Cash Flow From Operations | 12.11 M | 971.22 M |
Short Ratio | 0.89 X | 4.00 X |
Earnings Per Share | 1.48 X | 3.12 X |
Number Of Employees | 74 | 18.84 K |
Beta | 0.48 | -0.15 |
Market Capitalization | 40.43 M | 19.03 B |
Total Asset | 660.91 M | 29.47 B |
Retained Earnings | 12.71 M | 9.33 B |
Z Score | 2.93 | 8.72 |
Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
Five Year Return | 1.92 % | |
Net Asset | 660.91 M |
Note: Acquisition by James Barlow of 300 shares of Home Federal at 13.25 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Home Federal Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Home . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 1.08 | |||
Day Median Price | 12.86 | |||
Day Typical Price | 12.86 | |||
Price Action Indicator | 0.45 | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | 0.9 | |||
Relative Strength Index | 45.09 |
About Home Federal Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Home Federal Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Home Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 3.2M | 8.6M | 7.7M | 7.3M | Total Assets | 590.5M | 660.9M | 760.1M | 798.1M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Home Federal in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Moderate Funds Thematic Idea Now
Moderate Funds
Funds or Etfs that combine stocks, bonds and money market instruments to get modest capital appreciation over time. The Moderate Funds theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Moderate Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Home Federal Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Home Federal Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Home Federal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for Home Stock analysis
When running Home Federal's price analysis, check to measure Home Federal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Home Federal is operating at the current time. Most of Home Federal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Home Federal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Home Federal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Home Federal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Home Federal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Home Federal. If investors know Home will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Home Federal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Dividend Share 0.49 | Earnings Share 1.48 | Revenue Per Share 7.482 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
The market value of Home Federal Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Home that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Home Federal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Home Federal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Home Federal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Home Federal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Home Federal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Home Federal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Home Federal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.