Hallador Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HNRG Stock | USD 4.84 0.15 3.01% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Hallador Energy is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Hallador Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HNRG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hallador Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Hallador Energy's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 6.32 | Target Price 11 | Hype Value 4.52 | Market Value 4.84 | Naive Value 5.1 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hallador Energy given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hallador Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hallador Energy, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Hallador |
Execute Hallador Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Hallador recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hallador Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hallador Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hallador Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Hallador Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hallador Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hallador Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company currently holds 119.69 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.7, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Hallador Energy has a current ratio of 0.91, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Hallador Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Hallador Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Hallador Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Hallador to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Hallador Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 57.0% of Hallador Energy shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 20747 shares by Marjorie Hargrave of Hallador Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Hallador Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hallador Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hallador Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hallador Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hallador Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hallador Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hallador Energy.
| Mean Return | -0.77 | Value At Risk | -7.14 | Potential Upside | 4.40 | Standard Deviation | 3.90 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hallador Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hallador Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Hallador Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hallador Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Hallador Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Hallador Energy's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 343 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 322.6 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 303.8 K | Cove Street Capital, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 275.2 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 256.7 K | National Asset Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 221.1 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 215.9 K | Stifel Financial Corp | 2023-12-31 | 181.6 K | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 180.8 K | Aegis Financial Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.7 M |
Hallador Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (6.8M) | (1.2M) | (6.2M) | 597K | 697K | 731.9K | |
| Free Cash Flow | 2.7M | 31.9M | 19.9M | 149K | (15.9M) | (15.1M) | |
| Depreciation | 125.5M | 41.9M | 28.2M | 46.9M | 69.0M | 72.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.4M | 3.7M | 558K | (19.7M) | (36.9M) | (35.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 35.5M | 20.7M | 28.1M | 54.0M | 75.4M | 79.1M | |
| Net Income | (59.9M) | (6.2M) | (3.8M) | 18.1M | 44.8M | 47.0M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 13.3M | 12.1M | 5.8M | 6.4M | 7.1M | 11.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | 54.8M | 1.4M | (14.3M) | (1.7M) | (2.0M) | (1.9M) | |
| Change To Inventory | (10.7M) | 5.8M | 15.9M | (32.1M) | 5.0M | 5.2M | |
| Investments | 2.3M | 2.4M | (27.5M) | (53.4M) | (64.5M) | (61.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | (7.3M) | 11.2M | 830K | (16.3M) | (14.7M) | (13.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (9.5M) | (34.3M) | (26.0M) | 378K | 340.2K | 323.2K |
Hallador Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hallador Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hallador Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hallador stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.99 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Hallador Energy Volatility Alert
Hallador Energy exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.56 and kurtosis of -0.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Hallador Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Hallador Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Hallador Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hallador Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hallador Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hallador Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hallador Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hallador Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hallador Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hallador Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hallador Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0666 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.09) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 290.75 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 36.53 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 13.12 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 57.24 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 897.24 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.96 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.64 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.27 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 629.85 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 95.38 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 129.4 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 44.79 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 8.88 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.27 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 119.69 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.69 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.93 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.89 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 59.41 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.79 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.25 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 8.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 936 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.44 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 182.11 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 637.98 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 140.7 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (66.32 M) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 66.61 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Heath Lovell of 57971 shares of Hallador Energy at 9.19 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hallador Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hallador . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12710.95 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.62) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.84 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.07) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) |
About Hallador Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hallador Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Hallador Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 107.8M | 101.7M | 119.7M | 90.2M | Total Assets | 354.0M | 630.6M | 638.0M | 669.9M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Hallador Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run High Yield ETFs Thematic Idea Now
High Yield ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The High Yield ETFs theme has 95 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize High Yield ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Hallador Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Hallador Stock please use our How to Invest in Hallador Energy guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Hallador Stock analysis
When running Hallador Energy's price analysis, check to measure Hallador Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hallador Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Hallador Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hallador Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hallador Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hallador Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Latest Portfolios Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data |
Is Hallador Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hallador Energy. If investors know Hallador will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hallador Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.094 | Earnings Share 1.25 | Revenue Per Share 19.149 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.22) | Return On Assets 0.0666 |
The market value of Hallador Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hallador that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hallador Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hallador Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hallador Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hallador Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hallador Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hallador Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hallador Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.