Home Bancshares Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HOMB Stock | USD 23.22 0.79 3.52% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Home BancShares is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Home BancShares buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HOMB positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Home BancShares' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Home BancShares' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 25.87 | Target Price 28.33 | Hype Value 23.3 | Market Value 23.22 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Home BancShares given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Home BancShares. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Home BancShares, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Home |
Execute Home BancShares Buy or Sell Advice
The Home recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Home BancShares. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Home BancShares or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Home BancShares' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Home BancShares Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Home BancShares generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Home BancShares has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 6th of March 2024 Home BancShares paid $ 0.18 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: HOMB Stock Earnings Home BancShares Beats EPS, Beats Revenue for Q1 2024 |
Home BancShares Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Home BancShares' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Home BancShares' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Home BancShares daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Home BancShares price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Home BancShares returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Home BancShares.
| Mean Return | 0.03 | Value At Risk | -2.23 | Potential Upside | 3.52 | Standard Deviation | 1.77 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Home BancShares historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Home Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Home BancShares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Home BancShares backward and forwards among themselves. Home BancShares' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Home BancShares' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Barr E S & Co | 2023-12-31 | 2.6 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.9 M | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Ranger Investment Management Lp | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 23.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 20.6 M |
Home BancShares Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (2.4M) | (24.3M) | (11.2M) | 3.8M | 3.4M | 4.4M | |
| Change In Cash | (167.3M) | 773.2M | 2.4B | (2.9B) | 275.4M | 289.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 232.5M | 280.2M | 379.1M | 404.2M | 414.7M | 435.5M | |
| Depreciation | 19.4M | 20.1M | 19.5M | 31.9M | 30.9M | 19.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (68.2M) | 71.4M | 32.0M | 57.2M | 12.4M | 8.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 85.6M | 87.7M | 92.1M | 128.4M | (145.9M) | (138.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 14.9M | 11.5M | 10.3M | 9.0M | 8.6M | 10.2M | |
| Net Income | 289.5M | 214.4M | 319.0M | 305.3M | 392.9M | 412.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 490.6M | 1.3B | 3.7B | 724.8M | 1.0B | 565.7M | |
| Investments | 165.8M | (281.0M) | 608.5M | (1.5B) | 578.5M | 607.4M | |
| Change Receivables | 3.9M | (15.2M) | 13.8M | (24.5M) | (22.0M) | (20.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (845.9M) | (201.2M) | (28.0M) | (13.4M) | (12.1M) | (11.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (8.6M) | 65.0M | 48.3M | 49.9M | 57.4M | 60.3M |
Home BancShares Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Home BancShares or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Home BancShares' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Home stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Home BancShares Volatility Alert
Home BancShares has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of 1.54. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Home BancShares' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Home BancShares' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Home BancShares Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Home BancShares' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Home BancShares' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Home BancShares and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Home BancShares or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Home BancShares' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Home BancShares by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Home BancShares to competition |
| Fundamentals | Home BancShares | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0173 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.40 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.47 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.43 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 201.14 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.22 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 68.41 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.28 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.79 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.22 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.70 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.34 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 870.2 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 9.69 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 392.93 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 1.58 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 7.75 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.93 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 6.74 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.81 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 423.27 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.41 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.94 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 3.72 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 27.29 | |
| Number Of Employees | 2.82 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.1 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.67 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 22.68 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.69 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.03 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.52 % |
Note: Disposition of 22729 shares by Donna Townsell of Home BancShares at 23.76 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Home BancShares Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Home . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Home BancShares Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Home BancShares? Buying financial instruments such as Home Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Stockholder Equity | 2.8B | 3.5B | 3.8B | 4.0B | Total Assets | 18.1B | 22.9B | 22.7B | 23.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Home BancShares in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Transportation Thematic Idea Now
Transportation
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Transportation theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Transportation Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Home BancShares Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Home Stock refer to our How to Trade Home Stock guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Home Stock analysis
When running Home BancShares' price analysis, check to measure Home BancShares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Home BancShares is operating at the current time. Most of Home BancShares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Home BancShares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Home BancShares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Home BancShares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Home BancShares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Home BancShares. If investors know Home will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Home BancShares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 0.72 | Earnings Share 1.94 | Revenue Per Share 4.845 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Home BancShares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Home that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Home BancShares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Home BancShares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Home BancShares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Home BancShares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Home BancShares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Home BancShares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Home BancShares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.