Herc Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HRI Stock | USD 150.09 0.68 0.45% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Herc Holdings is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Herc Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HRI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Herc Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Herc Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 141.02 | Target Price 164.44 | Hype Value 150.82 | Market Value 150.09 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Herc Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Herc Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Herc Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Herc |
Execute Herc Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Herc recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Herc Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Herc Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Herc Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Herc Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Herc Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Herc Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 7th of March 2024 Herc Holdings paid $ 0.665 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Deutsche Bank cuts Hertz stock price target to 6, maintains Hold rating |
Herc Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Herc Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Herc Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Herc Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Herc Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Herc Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Herc Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.14 | Value At Risk | -3.2 | Potential Upside | 3.46 | Standard Deviation | 2.25 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Herc Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Herc Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Herc Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Herc Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Herc Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Herc Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Electron Capital Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 605.4 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 593.2 K | Gabelli Funds Llc | 2023-12-31 | 536.1 K | Dorsey Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 516.9 K | Channing Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 499.5 K | Impax Asset Management Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 485.9 K | Jennison Associates Llc | 2023-12-31 | 466.1 K | Franklin Resources Inc | 2023-12-31 | 451.9 K | Fisher Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 418.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.2 M |
Herc Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (13.7M) | 5.2M | (2.6M) | 2.1M | 18.4M | 16.6M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (59.7M) | 225.4M | 102.2M | (355.5M) | (390M) | (370.5M) | |
| Depreciation | 470.1M | 466.4M | 488.7M | 630.8M | 755M | 717.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 116.2M | 60M | 17.4M | 25M | (24M) | (22.8M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 14.8M | 500K | (4.9M) | 68.1M | (73M) | (69.4M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 695.3M | 385.5M | 641.8M | 1.3B | 1.5B | 1.4B | |
| Net Income | 47.5M | 73.7M | 224.1M | 329.9M | 347M | 364.4M | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.8M | 38.3M | 24.6M | 92.7M | 106.6M | 111.9M | |
| Investments | (463.6M) | (207.5M) | (961.3M) | (1.7B) | (1.7B) | (1.6B) | |
| Change Receivables | (38.3M) | (24.6M) | (92.7M) | (171.9M) | (154.7M) | (147.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (166.6M) | (397M) | 251.5M | 994M | 894.6M | 939.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 57.4M | 84.9M | 90.9M | 132.6M | 119.3M | 75.6M |
Herc Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Herc Holdings or Trading Companies & Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Herc Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Herc stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Herc Holdings Volatility Alert
Herc Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.03 and Jensen Alpha of -0.01. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Herc Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Herc Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Herc Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Herc Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Herc Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Herc Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Herc Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Herc Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Herc Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Herc Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Herc Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.29 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0637 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.11 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.22 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.73 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 28.36 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.43 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 95.70 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 549.76 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 34.25 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.52 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.36 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.28 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.06 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.42 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 347 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 53.5 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.95 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 4.48 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 3.17 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.09 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 45.14 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.09 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.57 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 12.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.68 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 174.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 7.2 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.26 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.28 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.47 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 498 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 224 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Sale by Schumacher Mark Alan of 811 shares of Herc Holdings [view details]
Herc Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Herc . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6173.9 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.18) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 150.42 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 150.31 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.67) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.68) |
About Herc Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Herc Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Herc Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Current Liabilities | 529.9M | 604M | 508M | 482.6M | Total Assets | 4.5B | 6.0B | 7.5B | 7.1B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Herc Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Losers theme has 104 constituents at this time.
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Check out Herc Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Herc Stock please use our How to Invest in Herc Holdings guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Complementary Tools for Herc Stock analysis
When running Herc Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Herc Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Herc Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Herc Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Herc Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Herc Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Herc Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Herc Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Herc Holdings. If investors know Herc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Herc Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Dividend Share 2.53 | Earnings Share 12.1 | Revenue Per Share 115.158 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
The market value of Herc Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Herc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Herc Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Herc Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Herc Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Herc Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Herc Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Herc Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Herc Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.