Hydrofarm Holdings Groupinc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| HYFM Stock | USD 0.89 0.02 2.20% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Hydrofarm Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding HYFM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Hydrofarm Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Hydrofarm Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 0.98 | Target Price 1.18 | Hype Value 0.9 | Market Value 0.89 | Naive Value 0.78 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Hydrofarm Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Hydrofarm |
Execute Hydrofarm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Hydrofarm recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Hydrofarm Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Hydrofarm Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Hydrofarm Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Hydrofarm Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 226.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (64.81 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 36.8 M. |
Hydrofarm Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Hydrofarm Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Hydrofarm Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Hydrofarm Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Hydrofarm Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Hydrofarm Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.05 | Value At Risk | -7 | Potential Upside | 6.38 | Standard Deviation | 4.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Hydrofarm Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Hydrofarm Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Hydrofarm Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc backward and forwards among themselves. Hydrofarm Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Hydrofarm Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bmo Capital Markets Corp. | 2023-12-31 | 235.6 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 211.2 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 188.7 K | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 177.8 K | Penserra Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 171.6 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 160.2 K | Cambria Investment Management, L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 138.6 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 74.7 K | Wealth Effects Llc | 2023-12-31 | 67 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.6 M | Texas Capital Bank Wealth Management Services Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M |
Hydrofarm Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2.7M | (36.9M) | (46.8M) | 57.0M | 26.1M | 27.4M | |
| Change In Cash | 4.9M | 44.1M | (48.6M) | (7.1M) | 9.0M | 9.5M | |
| Net Borrowings | 7.4M | (95.5M) | 119.5M | (1.5M) | (1.3M) | (1.3M) | |
| Depreciation | 7.0M | 6.8M | 14.9M | 41.5M | 32.1M | 17.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 768K | 1.5M | 5.4M | 8.2M | 4.2M | 3.7M | |
| Net Income | (40.1M) | (7.3M) | 13.4M | (285.4M) | (64.8M) | (68.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 32.9M | 77.0M | 28.4M | 21.3M | 30.3M | 34.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 14.9M | (1.4M) | (16.1M) | 216.6M | 249.0M | 261.5M | |
| Investments | (3.8M) | 546K | (468.2M) | (8.5M) | (4.2M) | (4.4M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (14.1M) | (46.3M) | (50.5M) | 13.8M | 2.8M | 3.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 19.7M | (9.5M) | 5.5M | 227.3M | 22.3M | 21.2M |
Hydrofarm Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Hydrofarm Holdings or Machinery sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Hydrofarm Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Hydrofarm stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Hydrofarm Holdings Volatility Alert
Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc is a potential penny stock. Although Hydrofarm Holdings may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Hydrofarm instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.Hydrofarm Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Hydrofarm Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Hydrofarm Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Hydrofarm Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Hydrofarm Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Hydrofarm Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Hydrofarm Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Hydrofarm Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Hydrofarm Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0444 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.29) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.21) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 195.29 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 45.98 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 10.14 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 31.83 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.39 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 6.87 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.15 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.19 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 226.58 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 36.8 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (6.36 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (64.81 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 16.49 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.37 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 183.93 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.45 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.83 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 6.35 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 7.04 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 6.49 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.42) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (0.03) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 1.02 | |
| Number Of Employees | 369 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.96 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 41.84 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 507.64 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (490.74 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 90.41 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 151 shares by Mark Parker of Hydrofarm Holdings at 1.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Hydrofarm Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Hydrofarm . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Hydrofarm Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Hydrofarm Holdings GroupInc? Buying financial instruments such as Hydrofarm Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Current Liabilities | 88.4M | 41.6M | 37.7M | 54.6M | Other Current Liabilities | 15.7M | 13.2M | 9.5M | 7.7M |
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Check out Hydrofarm Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Hydrofarm Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Hydrofarm Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for Hydrofarm Stock analysis
When running Hydrofarm Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Hydrofarm Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hydrofarm Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Hydrofarm Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hydrofarm Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hydrofarm Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hydrofarm Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Hydrofarm Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Hydrofarm Holdings. If investors know Hydrofarm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Hydrofarm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.625 | Earnings Share (1.42) | Revenue Per Share 4.979 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.23) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Hydrofarm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hydrofarm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hydrofarm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hydrofarm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hydrofarm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hydrofarm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hydrofarm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hydrofarm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hydrofarm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.