Jakks Pacific Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JAKK Stock | USD 22.78 0.35 1.56% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding JAKKS Pacific is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides JAKKS Pacific buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding JAKK positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of JAKKS Pacific's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting JAKKS Pacific's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 24.43 | Target Price 28 | Hype Value 22.05 | Market Value 22.78 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell JAKKS Pacific given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards JAKKS Pacific. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for JAKKS Pacific, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
JAKKS |
Execute JAKKS Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
The JAKKS recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on JAKKS Pacific. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in JAKKS Pacific or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute JAKKS Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
JAKKS Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| JAKKS Pacific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| JAKKS Pacific has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| JAKKS Pacific is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: Monarch Casinos Q1 Earnings Revenues Lag Estimates |
JAKKS Pacific Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of JAKKS Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of JAKKS Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of JAKKS Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use JAKKS Pacific price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of JAKKS Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for JAKKS Pacific.
| Mean Return | -0.4 | Value At Risk | -4.9 | Potential Upside | 4.70 | Standard Deviation | 4.47 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of JAKKS Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
JAKKS Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as JAKKS Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading JAKKS Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. JAKKS Pacific's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase JAKKS Pacific's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 134.1 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 124.4 K | Pacific Ridge Capital Partners, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 119.7 K | Crown Advisors Management, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 75 K | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 72.6 K | Globeflex Capital, L.p. | 2023-12-31 | 69.6 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 62.8 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 53.8 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 52.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 521.8 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 364.6 K |
JAKKS Pacific Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (379K) | 15.6M | (45.3M) | 3.3M | 28.0M | 29.4M | |
| Change In Cash | 8.1M | 26.4M | (47.4M) | 40.2M | (12.9M) | (12.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 12.4M | 35.3M | (14.1M) | 75.7M | 57.5M | 60.4M | |
| Depreciation | 17.6M | 10.9M | 10.3M | 10.6M | 8.6M | 8.2M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 9.4M | 8.3M | 8.2M | 10.4M | 8.9M | 11.8M | |
| Net Income | (55.4M) | (14.1M) | (5.9M) | 91.1M | 38.4M | 40.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 66.3M | 92.7M | 45.3M | 85.5M | 72.6M | 124.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 34.1M | 15.5M | 33.6M | 2.7M | 10.8M | 11.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 77.2M | 13.6M | 9K | (5.0M) | (5.7M) | (5.4M) | |
| Investments | (9.4M) | (8.2M) | (8.2M) | (10.4M) | (8.0M) | (8.4M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 14.5M | (10.8M) | (32.6M) | (29.6M) | (26.6M) | (25.3M) |
JAKKS Pacific Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to JAKKS Pacific or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that JAKKS Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a JAKKS stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.51 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
JAKKS Pacific Volatility Alert
JAKKS Pacific exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.12 and kurtosis of 19.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure JAKKS Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact JAKKS Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.JAKKS Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing JAKKS Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze JAKKS Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between JAKKS Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as JAKKS Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of JAKKS Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JAKKS Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare JAKKS Pacific to competition |
| Fundamentals | JAKKS Pacific | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.22 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0919 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.05 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.12) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 200.6 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 10.8 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 26.83 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 46.26 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 310.51 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 4.08 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.35 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 711.56 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 219.96 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 37.65 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 38.41 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 62.28 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.41 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 24.05 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.35 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.47 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.76 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 66.4 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.78 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 3.48 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.37 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 38.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 659 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.35 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 242.21 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 398.95 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (73.61 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 106.14 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Rosen Lawrence I of 36312 shares of JAKKS Pacific at 12.54 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
JAKKS Pacific Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as JAKKS . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2553.49 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5738 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.47 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.35 |
About JAKKS Pacific Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell JAKKS Pacific? Buying financial instruments such as JAKKS Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 114.0M | 87.8M | 24.0M | 22.8M | Total Assets | 357.0M | 399.3M | 399.0M | 516.2M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having JAKKS Pacific in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Computers Thematic Idea Now
Computers
Companies that manufacture and distribute personal and business computers. The Computers theme has 48 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Computers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out JAKKS Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy JAKKS Stock please use our How to buy in JAKKS Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for JAKKS Stock analysis
When running JAKKS Pacific's price analysis, check to measure JAKKS Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JAKKS Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of JAKKS Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JAKKS Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JAKKS Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JAKKS Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Theme Ratings Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Financial Widgets Easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| Portfolio Comparator Compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Piotroski F Score Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals |
Is JAKKS Pacific's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JAKKS Pacific. If investors know JAKKS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JAKKS Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.53 | Earnings Share 3.48 | Revenue Per Share 71.427 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0919 |
The market value of JAKKS Pacific is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JAKKS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JAKKS Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JAKKS Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JAKKS Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JAKKS Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JAKKS Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JAKKS Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JAKKS Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.