Joann Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

JOAN -  USA Stock  

USD 11.71  0.07  0.60%

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Joann Inc is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Joann buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Joann positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Joann's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from Joann's buy-and-hold perspective. Please see Joann Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Joann and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Joann Inc.

Execute Joann Buy or Sell Advice

The Joann recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Joann Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Joann Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Joann's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell JoannBuy Joann
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Above AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Joann Inc has a Mean Deviation of 2.34, Standard Deviation of 3.59 and Variance of 12.87
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Joann and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. Use Joann revenue, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and cash flow from operations to ensure your buy or sell decision on Joann Inc is adequate. Given that Joann Inc has a ebitda of 274.7 M, we strongly advise you to confirm Joann Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Joann Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Joann Inc generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Joann Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Joann Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (184.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.11 B.
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Purchase by Duliga Janet of 1700 shares of Joann

Joann Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Joann's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Joann's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Joann stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Joann Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Joann returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Joann stock.
Mean Return-0.37Value At Risk-4.21
Potential Upside4.68Standard Deviation3.59
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Joann historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Joann Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Joann or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Joann stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Joann stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.37
β
Beta against DOW-0.35
σ
Overall volatility
3.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Joann Volatility Alert

Joann Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.18 and kurtosis of 11.37. However, we advise investors to further study Joann Inc technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Joann's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Joann's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Joann Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Joann's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Joann's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Joann and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Joann or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Joann's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Joann by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Joann to competition
FundamentalsJoannPeer Average
Profit Margin(7.03) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin7.69 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.4 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding40.37 M571.82 M
Price to Sales0.18 X11.42 X
Revenue2.62 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.11 B27.38 B
EBITDA274.7 M3.9 B
Net Income(184.1 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents24.4 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.03 B5.32 B
Current Ratio1.23 X2.16 X
Cash Flow from Operations322.3 M971.22 M
Market Capitalization466.29 M19.03 B
   Purchase by Duliga Janet of 1700 shares of Joann [view details]

About Joann Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Joann Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Joann Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Joann investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2010 2020 2021 (projected)
Current Assets719.8 M654.8 M637.21 M
Total Assets2.3 B2.34 B2.52 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Joann in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Money Market
Money Market Theme
Funds or Etfs investing in various types of short-term (less than one year) fixed income instruments of high-quality and liquidity. Money Market theme has 40 constituents.
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Please see Joann Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Joann Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Joann's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

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The market value of Joann Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Joann that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Joann's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Joann's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Joann's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Joann Inc underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Joann's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Joann value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Joann's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.