St Joe Company Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JOE Stock | USD 54.22 0.44 0.80% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding St Joe Company is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides St Joe buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding St Joe positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of St Joe's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting St Joe's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 37 | Target Price 19 | Hype Value 54.52 | Market Value 54.22 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell St Joe Company given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards St Joe. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for St Joe Company, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
JOE |
Execute St Joe Buy or Sell Advice
The JOE recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on St Joe Company. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in St Joe Company or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute St Joe's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
St Joe Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| St Joe Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| St Joe Company has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 27th of March 2024 St Joe paid $ 0.12 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Rhea Goff of 2793 shares of St Joe subject to Rule 16b-3 |
St Joe Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of St Joe's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of St Joe's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of St Joe daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use St Joe Company price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of St Joe returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for St Joe.
| Mean Return | -0.02 | Value At Risk | -3.38 | Potential Upside | 2.97 | Standard Deviation | 2.03 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of St Joe historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
JOE Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as St Joe is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading St Joe Company backward and forwards among themselves. St Joe's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase St Joe's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Horizon Asset Management Inc/ny | 2023-12-31 | 538 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 410.6 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 363.1 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 354.5 K | Diversified Investment Strategies, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 292.4 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 289.9 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 280.3 K | Schwartz Investment Counsel Inc | 2023-12-31 | 268.4 K | Capital Research Global Investors | 2023-12-31 | 235.6 K | Fairholme Capital Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 22.7 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.7 M |
St Joe Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (9.4M) | (78.6M) | (35.7M) | (29.1M) | 45.5M | 47.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (43.8M) | (84.4M) | (41.7M) | (210.9M) | (36.1M) | (34.3M) | |
| Depreciation | 34.8M | 30.8M | 18.2M | 22.9M | 38.8M | 25.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (44.1M) | (41.2M) | 21.0M | (67.4M) | (11.2M) | (11.7M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 74.2M | 121.8M | 153.5M | 259.2M | 140.0M | 147.0M | |
| Net Income | 26.7M | 45.5M | 73.7M | 70.2M | 74.1M | 38.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 188.7M | 110.1M | 74.4M | 45.3M | 90.8M | 110.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.1M | (4.1M) | (18.8M) | (23.5M) | (25.7M) | (24.4M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 9.8M | 8.9M | 17.5M | 2.4M | 2.8M | 2.6M | |
| Investments | 7M | (47.9M) | 108.1M | 101.5M | (132.1M) | (125.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 21.2M | 65.3M | 65.6M | 162.4M | 186.7M | 196.0M |
St Joe Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to St Joe or Residential REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that St Joe's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a JOE stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
St Joe Volatility Alert
St Joe Company exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.31 and kurtosis of -0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure St Joe's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact St Joe's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.St Joe Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing St Joe's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze St Joe's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between St Joe and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as St Joe or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of St Joe's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing St Joe by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare St Joe to competition |
| Fundamentals | St Joe | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0384 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.20 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.81 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 58.4 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.89 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 558.26 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 43.49 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 4.86 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 8.53 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 389.29 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 106.42 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 166.86 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 74.05 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 37.75 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.59 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 632.89 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.78 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.49 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 11.70 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 103.85 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.02 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.33 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (2.72) X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 19.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 810 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.3 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.25 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.52 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 410.37 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 52.61 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Rhea Goff of 2793 shares of St Joe subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
St Joe Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as JOE . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4300.15 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.35) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 54.79 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 54.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.78) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.44) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 67.55 |
About St Joe Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell St Joe Company? Buying financial instruments such as JOE Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 400.6M | 563.8M | 632.9M | 664.5M | Total Assets | 1.2B | 1.4B | 1.5B | 1.0B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having St Joe in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Convertibles Funds Thematic Idea Now
Convertibles Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in debt that is expected to be converted into a predetermined amount of the company equity at some future date. The Convertibles Funds theme has 12 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Convertibles Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out St Joe Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Complementary Tools for JOE Stock analysis
When running St Joe's price analysis, check to measure St Joe's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy St Joe is operating at the current time. Most of St Joe's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of St Joe's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move St Joe's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of St Joe to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is St Joe's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of St Joe. If investors know JOE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about St Joe listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.54) | Dividend Share 0.44 | Earnings Share 1.33 | Revenue Per Share 6.676 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.408 |
The market value of St Joe Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JOE that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of St Joe's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is St Joe's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because St Joe's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect St Joe's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between St Joe's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if St Joe is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, St Joe's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.