Japan Post Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

JPPHY Stock  USD 9.75  0.00  0.00%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Japan Post Holdings is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Japan Post buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding JPPHY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Japan Post's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Japan Post's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
9.77
Hype Value
9.75
Market Value
9.75
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Japan Post Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Japan Post. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Japan Post Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Japan Post Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Japan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Japan Post Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in rate.

Execute Japan Post Buy or Sell Advice

The Japan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Japan Post Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Japan Post Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Japan Post's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Japan PostBuy Japan Post
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Japan Post Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0727, Jensen Alpha of 0.1379, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0098, Sortino Ratio of 0.0343 and Treynor Ratio of 0.7896
We provide advice to complement the regular expert consensus on Japan Post. Our dynamic recommendation engine utilizes a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Japan Post Holdings is not overpriced, please check out all Japan Post fundamentals, including its net income, as well as the relationship between the number of employees and last dividend paid . Given that Japan Post Holdings has a price to earning of 7.55 X, we strongly advise you to confirm Japan Post Holdings market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your regular risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Japan Post Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Japan Post's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Japan Post's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Japan Post daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Japan Post Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Japan Post returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Japan Post.
Mean Return
0.16
Value At Risk
-1.09
Potential Upside
2.41
Standard Deviation
1.47
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Japan Post historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Japan Post Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Japan Post or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Japan Post's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Japan pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.19
σ
Overall volatility
1.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Japan Post Volatility Alert

Japan Post Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.06 and Jensen Alpha of 0.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Japan Post's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Japan Post's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Japan Post Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Japan Post's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Japan Post's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Japan Post and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Japan Post or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Japan Post's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Japan Post by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Japan Post to competition
FundamentalsJapan PostPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0363-0.31
Return On Asset0.0018-0.14
Profit Margin0.04 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.06 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(45.13 T)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding3.52 B571.82 M
Price To Earning7.55 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.33 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0 X11.42 X
Revenue11.26 T9.43 B
Gross Profit11.21 T27.38 B
EBITDA981.14 B3.9 B
Net Income501.69 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents78.88 T2.7 B
Total Debt31.52 T5.32 B
Book Value Per Share3,182 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.98 T971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.92 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees234.42 K18.84 K
Beta0.41-0.15
Market Capitalization31.06 B19.03 B
Total Asset303.85 T29.47 B
Annual Yield0.04 %
Net Asset303.85 T
Last Dividend Paid50.0

Japan Post Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Japan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Japan Post Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Japan Post Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Japan Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Japan Post in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Theme ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Theme ETFs
Theme ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Theme ETFs theme has 488 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Theme ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Japan Post Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Japan Post Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Japan Post's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running Japan Post's price analysis, check to measure Japan Post's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Japan Post is operating at the current time. Most of Japan Post's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Japan Post's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Japan Post's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Japan Post to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Japan Post's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Japan Post is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Japan Post's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.