Kaival Brands Innovations Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| KAVL Stock | USD 6.30 3.63 135.96% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Kaival Brands Innovations is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Kaival Brands buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding KAVL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Kaival Brands' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Kaival Brands' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 3.12 | Target Price 2 | Hype Value 6.25 | Market Value 6.3 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kaival Brands Innovations given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Kaival Brands. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kaival Brands Innovations, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Kaival |
Execute Kaival Brands Buy or Sell Advice
The Kaival recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kaival Brands Innovations. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kaival Brands Innovations or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kaival Brands' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Abnormally volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Quite High | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Moves completely opposite to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Kaival Brands Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Kaival Brands is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Kaival Brands appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Kaival Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 13.09 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.24 M. | |
| Kaival Brands Innovations currently holds about 3.36 M in cash with (2.97 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| Kaival Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: Disposition of 25000 shares by Stephen Sheriff of Kaival Brands at 1.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Kaival Brands Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Kaival Brands' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kaival Brands' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kaival Brands daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kaival Brands Innovations price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kaival Brands returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kaival Brands.
| Mean Return | 2.29 | Value At Risk | -15.77 | Potential Upside | 15.38 | Standard Deviation | 23.56 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kaival Brands historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Kaival Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Kaival Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kaival Brands Innovations backward and forwards among themselves. Kaival Brands' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Kaival Brands' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Iag Wealth Partners, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 1 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-09-30 | 230 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-09-30 | 115 | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-09-30 | 17.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 744.1 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 136.3 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-09-30 | 45.7 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-09-30 | 31.8 K | Virtu Financial Llc | 2023-09-30 | 24.8 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 20.7 K |
Kaival Brands Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Net Income | 3.8M | (9.0M) | (14.4M) | (11.1M) | (10.0M) | (9.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 27.0K | 796.6K | 11.2M | 6.5M | 7.5M | 7.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 7.6M | (9.3M) | (5.7M) | (3.0M) | (2.7M) | (2.8M) | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 27.9K | 1.8M | 6.3M | 1.8M | 2.0M | 2.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 7.4M | 7.8M | 3.7M | 533.7K | 480.3K | 456.3K |
Kaival Brands Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kaival Brands or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kaival Brands' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kaival stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 2.43 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -2.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 24.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Kaival Brands Volatility Alert
Kaival Brands Innovations is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kaival Brands' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kaival Brands' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Kaival Brands Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Kaival Brands' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kaival Brands' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kaival Brands and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kaival Brands or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kaival Brands' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaival Brands by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Kaival Brands to competition |
| Fundamentals | Kaival Brands | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -1.03 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.4 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.74) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.53) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.88 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 2.86 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 70.50 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.86 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 332.91 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 0.65 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.56 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 13.09 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.24 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (10.34 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (11.13 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.36 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.06 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.85 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 7.18 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.10 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.97 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.07 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (3.77) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 31.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 18 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.36 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 7.64 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 19.39 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (30.76 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.94 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 19.39 M |
Note: Disposition of 25000 shares by Stephen Sheriff of Kaival Brands at 1.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Kaival Brands Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kaival . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Kaival Brands Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Kaival Brands Innovations? Buying financial instruments such as Kaival Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Current Liabilities | 1.6M | 5.0M | 5.7M | 4.5M | Other Current Liabilities | 1.1M | 736.2K | 846.6K | 804.3K |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Kaival Brands in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Investment Grade ETFs theme has 215 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investment Grade ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Complementary Tools for Kaival Stock analysis
When running Kaival Brands' price analysis, check to measure Kaival Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kaival Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Kaival Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kaival Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kaival Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kaival Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kaival Brands' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kaival Brands. If investors know Kaival will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kaival Brands listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.77) | Revenue Per Share 4.979 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.271 | Return On Assets (0.40) | Return On Equity (1.03) |
The market value of Kaival Brands Innovations is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kaival that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kaival Brands' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kaival Brands' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kaival Brands' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kaival Brands' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kaival Brands' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kaival Brands is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kaival Brands' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.