Lifevantage Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LFVN Stock  USD 6.17  0.24  3.74%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lifevantage is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Lifevantage buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LFVN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Lifevantage's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Lifevantage's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
6.09
Target Price
7
Hype Value
6.2
Market Value
6.17
Naive Value
6.46
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Lifevantage given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Lifevantage. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Lifevantage, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Lifevantage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Lifevantage Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lifevantage guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lifevantage and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Lifevantage. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.

Execute Lifevantage Buy or Sell Advice

The Lifevantage recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lifevantage. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lifevantage or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lifevantage's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell LifevantageBuy Lifevantage
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lifevantage has a Mean Deviation of 2.33, Semi Deviation of 3.58, Standard Deviation of 3.42, Variance of 11.72, Downside Variance of 14.92 and Semi Variance of 12.8
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Lifevantage. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Lifevantage is not overpriced, please verify all Lifevantage fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Lifevantage has a price to earning of 4.65 X, we recommend you to check Lifevantage market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lifevantage Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Lifevantage had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Lifevantage has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 15th of March 2024 Lifevantage paid $ 0.035 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: The Returns On Capital At LifeVantage Dont Inspire Confidence

Lifevantage current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Lifevantage analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Lifevantage analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Lifevantage Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lifevantage's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lifevantage's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lifevantage daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lifevantage price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lifevantage returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lifevantage.
Mean Return
0.19
Value At Risk
-7.11
Potential Upside
5.62
Standard Deviation
3.42
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lifevantage historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lifevantage Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lifevantage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifevantage backward and forwards among themselves. Lifevantage's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lifevantage's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
O'shaughnessy Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
58.5 K
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
46.6 K
Globeflex Capital, L.p.2023-12-31
41.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
36.3 K
Barclays Plc2023-12-31
30.4 K
Comprehensive Portfolio Management, Llc2023-12-31
25 K
Heron Bay Capital Management2023-12-31
22.3 K
T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.2023-12-31
20.7 K
Ep Wealth Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
19.4 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
838.1 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
462.2 K
Note, although Lifevantage's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lifevantage Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash3.3M1.0M(3.0M)1.4M1.6M836.6K
Free Cash Flow15.6M12.5M6.4M3.8M4.3M4.2M
Other Non Cash Items46K(7K)2.2M1.8M2.0M1.4M
Capital Expenditures2.7M3.7M1.5M3.1M3.5M3.7M
Net Income11.5M12.9M3.1M2.5M2.9M3.1M
End Period Cash Flow22.1M23.2M20.2M21.6M24.8M26.1M
Change To Inventory(152K)(2.1M)(1.2M)61K70.2K73.7K
Depreciation5.1M5.8M5.0M3.6M4.1M2.2M
Investments(2.7M)(3.7M)(1.5M)(3.1M)(2.8M)(2.9M)
Change Receivables14K(539K)(265K)1.6M1.8M1.9M
Dividends Paid701K653K378K1.6M1.8M1.9M
Change To Netincome5.3M3.0M3.9M1.5M1.4M1.3M

Lifevantage Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lifevantage or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lifevantage's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lifevantage stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.15
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.37
σ
Overall volatility
3.49
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Lifevantage Volatility Alert

Lifevantage shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lifevantage's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lifevantage's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Lifevantage Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lifevantage's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lifevantage's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lifevantage and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lifevantage or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lifevantage's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lifevantage by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lifevantage to competition
FundamentalsLifevantagePeer Average
Return On Equity0.1-0.31
Return On Asset0.0392-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.02) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation78.87 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding12.87 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders16.34 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions28.84 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted63.69 K4.71 M
Price To Earning4.65 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.94 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.38 X11.42 X
Revenue213.4 M9.43 B
Gross Profit170.01 M27.38 B
EBITDA7.84 M3.9 B
Net Income2.54 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents20.19 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.61 X5.01 X
Total Debt13.09 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.50 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.83 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.12 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations6.83 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.91 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.24 X3.12 X
Target Price7.0
Number Of Employees24818.84 K
Beta0.84-0.15
Market Capitalization82.42 M19.03 B
Total Asset66.12 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(98.31 M)9.33 B
Working Capital24.68 M1.48 B
Current Asset42.41 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 16550 shares by Steven Fife of Lifevantage at 6.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Lifevantage Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lifevantage . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Lifevantage Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lifevantage? Buying financial instruments such as Lifevantage Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total15.8M13.1M15.1M15.8M
Total Assets70.7M66.1M76.0M79.8M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Lifevantage in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Adviser Favorites Thematic Idea Now

Adviser Favorites
Adviser Favorites Theme
Financial advisors frequently recommend that individuals diversify their investment portfolios with a mix of different types of stocks. These can include blue-chip stocks, growth stocks, and dividend stocks. The Adviser Favorites theme has 17 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Adviser Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Lifevantage offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Lifevantage's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Lifevantage Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Lifevantage Stock:
Check out Lifevantage Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in Lifevantage Stock, please use our How to Invest in Lifevantage guide.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.

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When running Lifevantage's price analysis, check to measure Lifevantage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifevantage is operating at the current time. Most of Lifevantage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifevantage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifevantage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifevantage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lifevantage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lifevantage. If investors know Lifevantage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lifevantage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.021
Dividend Share
0.135
Earnings Share
0.24
Revenue Per Share
16.75
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Lifevantage is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lifevantage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lifevantage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lifevantage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lifevantage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lifevantage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lifevantage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lifevantage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lifevantage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.