Lumber Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LL -  USA Stock  

USD 19.01  0.22  1.17%

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lumber Liquidators Holdings is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Lumber Liquidators buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Lumber Liquidators' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

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The advice is provided from Lumber Liquidators' buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Lumber Liquidators Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Lumber and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Lumber Liquidators Holdings.

Execute Lumber Liquidators Buy or Sell Advice

The Lumber recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lumber Liquidators Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lumber Liquidators Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lumber Liquidators' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Lumber LiquidatorsBuy Lumber Liquidators
Hold

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Lumber Liquidators Holdings has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.11), Jensen Alpha of (0.43), Total Risk Alpha of (0.48) and Treynor Ratio of (0.24)
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Lumber Liquidators Holdings and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Lumber Liquidators is not overpriced, please verify all Lumber Liquidators Holdings fundamentals, including its price to book, current ratio, retained earnings, as well as the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Lumber Liquidators has a number of shares shorted of 1.41 M, we recommend you to check Lumber Liquidators market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Lumber Liquidators Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Lumber Liquidators generates negative expected return over the last 90 days
Lumber Liquidators has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Lumber Liquidators exotic insider transaction detected

Lumber Liquidators current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Lumber analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Lumber analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price24.33
Target Median Price25.00
Target High Price26.00
Recommendation Mean3.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions3
Target Low Price22.00
Average Consensus Hold
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Lumber Liquidators Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Lumber Liquidators' historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Lumber Liquidators' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lumber Liquidators stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lumber Liquidators Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lumber Liquidators returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lumber Liquidators stock.
Mean Return-0.36Value At Risk-4.33
Potential Upside3.88Standard Deviation2.42
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lumber Liquidators historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Lumber Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lumber Liquidators is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lumber Liquidators Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Lumber Liquidators' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lumber Liquidators' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Pacer Advisors IncCommon Shares123.1 K2.6 M
New York State Teachers Retirement SystemCommon Shares48.8 KM
Ziegler Capital Management LlcCommon Shares43 K907 K
State Of Alaska Department Of RevenueCommon Shares20.1 K423 K
Crossmark Global Holdings IncCommon Shares17.3 K366 K
First Quadrant L PCommon Shares14.4 K304 K
Louisiana State Employees Retirement SystemCommon Shares13.1 K276 K
Cutler Group LpPut Options9.7 K27 K
Cutler Group LpCall Options7.3 K1000
Note, although Lumber Liquidators' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Lumber Liquidators Cash Flow Accounts

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(8.91 M)(7.41 M)(14.33 M)(19.91 M)(15.83 M)(17.08 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion17.5 M17.74 M18.43 M17.46 M17.64 M17.53 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(16.43 M)9.67 M(8.37 M)(2.57 M)160.95 M173.65 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares106 K1.35 M770 K679 K780.85 K842.5 K
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities18.6 M(25 M)50 M17 M19 M19.61 M
Net Cash Flow from Financing18.7 M(26.19 M)49.2 M15.88 M18.78 M20.26 M
Net Cash Flow from Investing(8.33 M)(4.34 M)(13.46 M)(19.48 M)(14.86 M)(16.04 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations(27.55 M)39.39 M(42.99 M)329 K157.05 M169.44 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash744 K806 K(1.13 M)702 K(14 K)(14.37 K)
Share Based Compensation5.57 M4.74 M4.09 M4.85 M3.33 M4.34 M

Lumber Liquidators Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lumber Liquidators or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lumber Liquidators stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lumber stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.43
β
Beta against DOW1.57
σ
Overall volatility
2.43
Ir
Information ratio -0.17

Lumber Liquidators Volatility Alert

Lumber Liquidators Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.21 and kurtosis of 0.56. However, we advise investors to further study Lumber Liquidators Holdings technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lumber Liquidators' stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lumber Liquidators' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Lumber Liquidators Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Lumber Liquidators' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lumber Liquidators' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lumber Liquidators and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lumber Liquidators or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lumber Liquidators' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lumber Liquidators by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Lumber Liquidators to competition
FundamentalsLumber LiquidatorsPeer Average
Return On Equity29.07 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset7.05 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin5.37 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin6.49 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation617.42 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding29.03 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders4.85 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions78.94 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.41 M4.71 M
Price to Earning9.31 X28.72 X
Price to Book2.31 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.49 X11.42 X
Revenue1.11 B9.43 B
Gross Profit427.71 M27.38 B
EBITDA85.65 M3.9 B
Net Income59.81 M570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents208.86 M2.7 B
Cash per Share7.20 X5.01 X
Total Debt225.17 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.94 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.79 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.20 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations165.58 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.42 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.04 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth0.59 X4.89 X
Number of Employees2.12 K18.84 K
Beta2.48-0.15
Market Capitalization550.62 M19.03 B
Total Asset456.2 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings130.73 M9.33 B
Working Capital195.04 M1.48 B
Current Asset322.79 M9.34 B
   Lumber Liquidators exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

About Lumber Liquidators Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Lumber Liquidators Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Lumber Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Lumber Liquidators investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Receivables4.08 M4.19 M
Inventories244.41 M233.91 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Lumber Liquidators in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Oil And Gas Thematic Idea Now

Oil And Gas
Oil And Gas Theme
Companies involved in drilling, production, and distribution of oil and gas pipelines. Oil And Gas theme has 20 constituents.
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Additionally, see Lumber Liquidators Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Lumber Liquidators information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lumber Liquidators' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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The market value of Lumber Liquidators is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lumber that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lumber Liquidators' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lumber Liquidators' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lumber Liquidators' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lumber Liquidators underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lumber Liquidators' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lumber Liquidators value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lumber Liquidators' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.