Louisiana Pacific Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

LPX Stock  USD 75.19  1.30  1.76%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Louisiana Pacific is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Louisiana Pacific buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LPX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Louisiana Pacific's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Louisiana Pacific's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
74.06
Target Price
73.25
Hype Value
75.33
Market Value
75.19
Naive Value
74.93
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Louisiana Pacific given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Louisiana Pacific. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Louisiana Pacific, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Louisiana Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Louisiana Stock please use our How to Invest in Louisiana Pacific guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Louisiana and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Louisiana Pacific. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Louisiana Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

The Louisiana recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Louisiana Pacific. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Louisiana Pacific or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Louisiana Pacific's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Louisiana PacificBuy Louisiana Pacific
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Louisiana Pacific has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0611, Jensen Alpha of (0.01), Total Risk Alpha of (0.1), Sortino Ratio of 0.0314 and Treynor Ratio of 0.0799
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Louisiana Pacific that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Louisiana Pacific. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Louisiana Pacific is not overpriced, please verify all Louisiana Pacific fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that Louisiana Pacific has a price to earning of 4.53 X, we recommend you to check Louisiana Pacific market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Louisiana Pacific Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Louisiana Pacific has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 8th of March 2024 Louisiana Pacific paid $ 0.26 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Heres What Cooper Investors Think About Louisiana-Pacific Corporation

Louisiana Pacific Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Louisiana Pacific's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Louisiana Pacific daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Louisiana Pacific price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Louisiana Pacific returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Louisiana Pacific.
Mean Return
0.15
Value At Risk
-2.94
Potential Upside
2.76
Standard Deviation
1.74
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Louisiana Pacific historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Louisiana Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Louisiana Pacific is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Louisiana Pacific backward and forwards among themselves. Louisiana Pacific's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Louisiana Pacific's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Franklin Resources Inc2023-12-31
1.1 M
Channing Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
M
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2023-12-31
M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
994.8 K
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
943.9 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
828.4 K
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2023-09-30
808.7 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
750.9 K
Balyasny Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
717.1 K
Berkshire Hathaway Inc2023-12-31
M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
6.5 M
Note, although Louisiana Pacific's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Louisiana Pacific Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory3M(12M)(71M)(66M)(46M)(43.7M)
Change In Cash(697M)340M(164M)12M(161M)(153.0M)
Free Cash Flow(4M)582M1.2B730M16M15.2M
Depreciation120M123M111M119M132M111.5M
Other Non Cash Items20M18M12M(42M)26M18.2M
Capital Expenditures163M77M254M414M300M156.3M
Net Income(10M)497M1.4B1.1B178M170.1M
End Period Cash Flow195M535M371M383M222M399.7M
Investments(137M)(49M)(247M)(146M)(444M)(421.8M)
Change Receivables(21M)(53M)(14M)22M19.8M20.8M
Net Borrowings(3.1M)(24.7M)(5M)(9M)(8.1M)(8.5M)
Change To Netincome69M90M32M(116M)(104.4M)(99.2M)

Louisiana Pacific Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Louisiana Pacific or Paper & Forest Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Louisiana Pacific's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Louisiana stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0097
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.79
σ
Overall volatility
1.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Louisiana Pacific Volatility Alert

Louisiana Pacific has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.13 and kurtosis of -0.42. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Louisiana Pacific's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Louisiana Pacific's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Louisiana Pacific Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Louisiana Pacific's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Louisiana Pacific's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Louisiana Pacific and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Louisiana Pacific or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Louisiana Pacific's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Louisiana Pacific by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Louisiana Pacific to competition
FundamentalsLouisiana PacificPeer Average
Return On Equity0.12-0.31
Return On Asset0.0896-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.14 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation5.49 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding72.31 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.27 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.77 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.19 M4.71 M
Price To Earning4.53 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.57 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.15 X11.42 X
Revenue2.58 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.5 B27.38 B
EBITDA467 M3.9 B
Net Income178 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents369 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.54 X5.01 X
Total Debt378 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.28 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.33 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share21.58 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations316 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.12 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.46 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.03 X4.89 X
Target Price81.67
Number Of Employees4.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.85-0.15
Market Capitalization5.34 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.48 B9.33 B
Working Capital504 M1.48 B

Louisiana Pacific Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Louisiana . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Louisiana Pacific Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Louisiana Pacific? Buying financial instruments such as Louisiana Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total390M395M378M500.6M
Total Assets2.2B2.4B2.4B2.8B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Louisiana Pacific in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Financials Thematic Idea Now

Financials
Financials Theme
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Louisiana Pacific offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Louisiana Pacific's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Louisiana Pacific Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Louisiana Pacific Stock:
Check out Louisiana Pacific Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Louisiana Stock please use our How to Invest in Louisiana Pacific guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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When running Louisiana Pacific's price analysis, check to measure Louisiana Pacific's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Louisiana Pacific is operating at the current time. Most of Louisiana Pacific's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Louisiana Pacific's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Louisiana Pacific's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Louisiana Pacific to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Louisiana Pacific's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Louisiana Pacific. If investors know Louisiana will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Louisiana Pacific listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
Dividend Share
0.96
Earnings Share
2.46
Revenue Per Share
35.847
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Louisiana Pacific is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Louisiana that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Louisiana Pacific's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Louisiana Pacific's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Louisiana Pacific's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Louisiana Pacific's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Louisiana Pacific's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Louisiana Pacific is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Louisiana Pacific's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.