Lifeway Foods Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LWAY Stock | USD 20.47 0.57 2.86% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Lifeway Foods is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Lifeway Foods buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LWAY positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Lifeway Foods' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Lifeway Foods' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 18.08 | Target Price 12 | Hype Value 20.32 | Market Value 20.47 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Lifeway Foods given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Lifeway Foods. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Lifeway Foods, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Lifeway |
Execute Lifeway Foods Buy or Sell Advice
The Lifeway recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Lifeway Foods. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Lifeway Foods or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Lifeway Foods' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Buy
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Lifeway Foods Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Lifeway Foods is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Lifeway Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Eco Friendly Bottles Global Report 2024-2030 Edible Substitutes to Bottles Emerge as Potential Alternatives to Plastic - ResearchAndMarkets.com |
Lifeway Foods Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Lifeway Foods' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Lifeway Foods' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Lifeway Foods daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Lifeway Foods price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Lifeway Foods returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Lifeway Foods.
| Mean Return | 0.67 | Value At Risk | -4.83 | Potential Upside | 10.47 | Standard Deviation | 5.57 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Lifeway Foods historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Lifeway Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Lifeway Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifeway Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Lifeway Foods' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Lifeway Foods' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Man Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 40.4 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 39.2 K | Navellier & Associates Inc | 2023-12-31 | 37.2 K | Susquehanna International Group, Llp | 2023-12-31 | 31.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 25.2 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 23.9 K | Jump Financial, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 22.6 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 20.4 K | Jane Street Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 19.1 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 410.3 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 317.5 K |
Lifeway Foods Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (2.0M) | 838K | 4.1M | 1.3M | 8.8M | 9.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (407K) | 2.6M | 4.5M | 3.6M | 12.6M | 13.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (3.5M) | (83K) | (18K) | 72K | (26K) | (24.7K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.8M | 1.2M | 1.9M | 1.9M | 4.4M | 4.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 3.0M | 3.8M | 7.9M | 9.2M | 13.2M | 13.9M | |
| Depreciation | 3.5M | 3.3M | 3.2M | 2.9M | 3.2M | 1.7M | |
| Net Income | (3.1M) | 453K | 3.2M | 3.3M | 11.4M | 11.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | 1.3M | (523K) | (538K) | (1.4M) | 527K | 553.4K | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.0M) | 1.2M | 1.5M | 1.2M | 1.4M | 1.4M | |
| Investments | 1.5M | (1.9M) | (7.1M) | (4.0M) | (4.0M) | (3.8M) | |
| Change Receivables | 2.4M | (423K) | (1.3M) | (1.5M) | (1.7M) | (1.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (298K) | (3.3M) | 4.5M | (750K) | (862.5K) | (819.4K) |
Lifeway Foods Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Lifeway Foods or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Lifeway Foods' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Lifeway stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.59 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Lifeway Foods Volatility Alert
Lifeway Foods shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Lifeway Foods' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Lifeway Foods' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Lifeway Foods Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Lifeway Foods' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Lifeway Foods' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Lifeway Foods and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Lifeway Foods or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Lifeway Foods' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lifeway Foods by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Lifeway Foods to competition |
| Fundamentals | Lifeway Foods | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.21 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.14 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.07 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.14 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 282.08 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 14.69 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 70.17 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 16.62 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 106.37 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 31.98 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 5.03 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.90 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 160.12 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 29.22 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 20.16 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 11.37 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 6.49 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.42 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 2.92 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.14 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.46 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 4.11 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 16.94 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.13 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.75 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 7.54 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 20.5 | |
| Number Of Employees | 288 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.37 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 292.35 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 82.64 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 65.8 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 21.58 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1752 shares by Amy Feldman of Lifeway Foods at 19.4 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Lifeway Foods Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Lifeway . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4581.07 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7808 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.34 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.48 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.57 |
About Lifeway Foods Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Lifeway Foods? Buying financial instruments such as Lifeway Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2020 | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 3.1M | 7.5M | 2.9M | 4.3M | Total Assets | 60.1M | 70.9M | 82.6M | 86.8M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Lifeway Foods in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Hedge Favorites
Hedge Funds pool capital from accredited individuals or institutional investors and invest in a variety of assets, often with complex portfolio-construction and risk-management techniques. The Hedge Favorites theme has 37 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Hedge Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Lifeway Foods Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Lifeway Stock please use our How to Invest in Lifeway Foods guide.Note that the Lifeway Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lifeway Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for Lifeway Stock analysis
When running Lifeway Foods' price analysis, check to measure Lifeway Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifeway Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Lifeway Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifeway Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifeway Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifeway Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk |
Is Lifeway Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lifeway Foods. If investors know Lifeway will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lifeway Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.521 | Earnings Share 0.75 | Revenue Per Share 10.917 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.175 | Return On Assets 0.141 |
The market value of Lifeway Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lifeway that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lifeway Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lifeway Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lifeway Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lifeway Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lifeway Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lifeway Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lifeway Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.