MODERN Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

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MODERN -- India Stock  

INR 59.90  0.90  1.48%

Assuming the 30 trading days horizon, and your above-average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding MODERN INDIA LTD is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides MODERN INDIA buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MODERN positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of MODERN INDIA LTD available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from MODERN buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see MODERN INDIA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

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Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell MODERN INDIABuy MODERN INDIA
Strong Sell

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Not Available
For the selected time horizon MODERN INDIA LTD has a mean deviation of 2.36, semi deviation of 2.74, standard deviation of 3.54, variance of 12.56, downside variance of 22.06 and semi variance of 7.53
Our buy or sell recommendations module provides unbiased advice that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on MODERN INDIA. Our buy or sell recommendations engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure MODERN INDIA LTD is not overpriced, please verify all MODERN INDIA LTD fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, total debt, five year return, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and earnings per share .

MODERN INDIA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

MODERN INDIA LTD appears to be very risky and stock price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported revenue of 2.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (41.06 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 291.91 M.
About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

MODERN INDIA Returns Distribution Density

The chart of the probability distribution of MODERN INDIA stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use MODERN INDIA LTD' stock's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The distribution of MODERN INDIA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for MODERN INDIA stock.
Mean Return0.12Value At Risk-5
Potential Upside5.00Standard Deviation3.54
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of MODERN INDIA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

MODERN INDIA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to MODERN INDIA or MODERN INDIA LTD sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that MODERN INDIA stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a MODERN stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.19
β
Beta against DOW=-0.44
σ
Overall volatility
=3.23
Ir
Information ratio =-0.02

MODERN INDIA Volatility Alert

MODERN INDIA LTD shows above-average downside volatility of 4.7 for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect MODERN INDIA LTD further and to ensure all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with estimation about MODERN INDIA future alpha.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare MODERN INDIA to competition

MODERN INDIA Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsMODERN INDIAPeer Average
Return On Equity(8.53) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.72 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(1.99) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.10) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding37.54 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders87.16 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions9.75 %39.21 %
Price to Earning81.13 X28.72 X
Price to Book7.82 X9.51 X
Price to Sales1.12 X11.42 X
Revenue2.06 B9.43 B
Gross Profit291.91 M27.38 B
EBITDA36.69 M3.9 B
Net Income(41.06 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents126.15 M2.7 B
Cash per Share3.37 X5.01 X
Total Debt193.11 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.65 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.66 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.84 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations32.27 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(1.09) X3.12 X
Number of Employees518.84 K
Beta0.44-0.15
Market Capitalization2.3 B19.03 B
Z Score6.68.72
Five Year Return0.60 %
Last Dividend Paid0.24

About MODERN INDIA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell MODERN INDIA LTD? Buying stocks such as MODERN INDIA isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily bases. Although MODERN INDIA investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply. Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additionally, see MODERN INDIA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page