Mid Penn Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MPB Stock | USD 20.41 0.09 0.44% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Mid Penn Bancorp is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Mid Penn buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Mid Penn positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mid Penn's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mid Penn's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 23.69 | Target Price 26.5 | Hype Value 20.28 | Market Value 20.41 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mid Penn Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mid Penn. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mid Penn Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Mid |
Execute Mid Penn Buy or Sell Advice
The Mid recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mid Penn Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mid Penn Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mid Penn's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Mid Penn Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mid Penn Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: NBT Bancorp Tops Q1 Earnings and Revenue Estimates |
Mid Penn Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mid Penn's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mid Penn's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mid Penn daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mid Penn Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mid Penn returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mid Penn.
| Mean Return | -0.13 | Value At Risk | -4.05 | Potential Upside | 4.22 | Standard Deviation | 2.31 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mid Penn historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mid Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mid Penn is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mid Penn Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Mid Penn's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mid Penn's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Petiole Usa Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 197.1 K | Emerald Mutual Fund Advisers Trust | 2023-12-31 | 162.3 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 134.5 K | Lsv Asset Management | 2023-12-31 | 116.1 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 99.6 K | Endeavour Capital Advisors Inc | 2023-12-31 | 98.5 K | Wharton Business Group, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 80.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 75.4 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 70.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 705 K |
Mid Penn Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 99.0M | 164.7M | 610.0M | (852.9M) | 35.9M | 37.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.9M | 10.4M | 62.4M | 55.7M | 49.6M | 52.1M | |
| Depreciation | 6.1M | 6.5M | 6.4M | 8.2M | 6.9M | 7.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (6.6M) | (12.3M) | 18.4M | 14.1M | 1.9M | 1.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.7M | 6.5M | 8.9M | 12.7M | 13.0M | 13.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.9M | 3.7M | 3.5M | 4.2M | 2.9M | 2.1M | |
| Net Income | 17.7M | 26.2M | 29.3M | 54.8M | 37.4M | 39.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 139.0M | 303.7M | 913.8M | 60.9M | 96.8M | 67.3M | |
| Investments | (25.8M) | (588.9M) | (142.7M) | (681.4M) | (518.7M) | (492.8M) | |
| Change Receivables | 280K | (5.0M) | 3.6M | (7.1M) | (6.4M) | (6.1M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (61.8M) | 185.3M | (132.7M) | 9.1M | 8.2M | 8.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | (4.2M) | (13.2M) | 18.0M | 17.8M | 20.4M | 21.4M |
Mid Penn Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mid Penn or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mid Penn's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mid stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.66 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.29 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Mid Penn Volatility Alert
Mid Penn Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.2 and kurtosis of 0.6. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mid Penn's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mid Penn's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mid Penn Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mid Penn's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mid Penn's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mid Penn and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mid Penn or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mid Penn's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mid Penn by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mid Penn to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mid Penn | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0709 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0076 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.23 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.37 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 596.22 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 16.57 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 11.92 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 44.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 34.41 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.10 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.60 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.00 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 236.34 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 167.19 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 44.69 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 37.4 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 243.76 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.35 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 356.17 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 12.30 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 32.72 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 52.53 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.52 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.29 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 26.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 621 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.57 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 338.27 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.29 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 145.98 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.67 % | |
| Net Asset | 5.29 B |
Note: Acquisition by Theodore Mowery of 100 shares of Mid Penn at 20.01 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mid Penn Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mid . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Mid Penn Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mid Penn Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Mid Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 166.9M | 173.7M | 356.2M | 374.0M | Total Assets | 4.7B | 4.5B | 5.3B | 5.6B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Mid Penn in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Communication
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Communication theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Communication Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Mid Penn Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Mid Stock analysis
When running Mid Penn's price analysis, check to measure Mid Penn's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mid Penn is operating at the current time. Most of Mid Penn's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mid Penn's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mid Penn's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mid Penn to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mid Penn's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mid Penn. If investors know Mid will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mid Penn listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.26) | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 2.29 | Revenue Per Share 10.011 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Mid Penn Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mid that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mid Penn's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mid Penn's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mid Penn's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mid Penn's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mid Penn's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mid Penn is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mid Penn's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.