Morguard North American Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MRG-UN Stock  CAD 18.58  0.02  0.11%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Morguard North American is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Morguard North buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MRG-UN positions.
  
Check out Morguard North Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Morguard and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Morguard North American. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Morguard North Buy or Sell Advice

The Morguard recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Morguard North American. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Morguard North American or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Morguard North's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Morguard NorthBuy Morguard North
Strong Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Morguard North American has a Mean Deviation of 1.09, Semi Deviation of 1.21, Standard Deviation of 1.37, Variance of 1.88, Downside Variance of 1.69 and Semi Variance of 1.47
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Morguard North American and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Morguard North American is not overpriced, please verify all Morguard North American fundamentals, including its price to sales, debt to equity, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the net income and short ratio .

Morguard North Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Morguard North American has accumulated 1.56 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.14, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Morguard North American has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Morguard North until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Morguard North's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Morguard North American sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Morguard to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Morguard North's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 27.0% of Morguard North outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: The Smartest Dividend Stocks to Buy With 500 Right Now - Yahoo Canada Finance

Morguard North Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Morguard North's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Morguard North's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Morguard North daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Morguard North American price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Morguard North returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Morguard North.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-2.42
Potential Upside
2.33
Standard Deviation
1.37
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Morguard North historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Morguard North Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash962K9.6M(742K)(11.9M)3.2M3.3M
Free Cash Flow138.3M50.1M63.7M75.2M89.0M93.4M
Other Non Cash Items(27.1M)(102.8M)(257.7M)(234.3M)(109.8M)(115.3M)
Net Income80.1M166.8M245.0M239.6M185.3M144.5M
End Period Cash Flow17.7M27.3M26.6M14.6M17.8M17.4M
Dividends Paid23.6M26.7M26.6M26.7M27.0M22.5M
Net Borrowings(60.4M)(8.1M)80.5M36.7M33.1M37.4M
Change To Netincome(21.7M)(117.3M)(189.5M)(148.5M)(133.6M)(140.3M)

Morguard North Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Morguard North or Diversified REITs sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Morguard North's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Morguard stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
1.36
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Morguard North Volatility Alert

Morguard North American has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.07 and kurtosis of 0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Morguard North's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Morguard North's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Morguard North Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Morguard North's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Morguard North's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Morguard North and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Morguard North or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Morguard North's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Morguard North by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Morguard North to competition
FundamentalsMorguard NorthPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0407-0.31
Return On Asset0.0242-0.14
Profit Margin0.23 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.55 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.24 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding36.46 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders26.54 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions5.04 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted592.33 K4.71 M
Price To Earning2.63 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.35 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.83 X11.42 X
Revenue331.62 M9.43 B
Gross Profit155.04 M27.38 B
EBITDA254.03 M3.9 B
Net Income185.28 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents34.62 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.89 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.56 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.14 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.37 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share51.62 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations88.97 M971.22 M
Short Ratio26.61 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.19 X3.12 X
Target Price22.33
Beta1.21-0.15
Market Capitalization981.3 M19.03 B
Total Asset4.1 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.24 B9.33 B
Working Capital(179.23 M)1.48 B
Current Asset36.78 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities147.78 M7.9 B

Morguard North Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Morguard . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Morguard North Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Morguard North American? Buying financial instruments such as Morguard Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Morguard Stock

Morguard North financial ratios help investors to determine whether Morguard Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Morguard with respect to the benefits of owning Morguard North security.