Marathon Oil Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MRO Stock | USD 27.53 0.29 1.04% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Marathon Oil is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Marathon Oil buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MRO positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Marathon Oil's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Marathon Oil's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 31.73 | Target Price 33.78 | Hype Value 27.82 | Market Value 27.53 | Naive Value 26.24 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Marathon Oil given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Marathon Oil. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Marathon Oil, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Marathon |
Execute Marathon Oil Buy or Sell Advice
The Marathon recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Marathon Oil. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Marathon Oil or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Marathon Oil's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Marathon Oil Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 11th of March 2024 Marathon Oil paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from prnewswire.com: MRO Launches New Capability to Ensure Quality Patient Care Across the Healthcare Continuum |
Marathon Oil Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Marathon Oil's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Marathon Oil's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Marathon Oil daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Marathon Oil price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Marathon Oil returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Marathon Oil.
| Mean Return | 0.35 | Value At Risk | -1.42 | Potential Upside | 2.40 | Standard Deviation | 1.23 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Marathon Oil historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Marathon Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Marathon Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Marathon Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Marathon Oil's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Marathon Oil's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Pacer Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 8.2 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 7.2 M | Point72 Asset Management, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 5.6 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 5.1 M | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 5.1 M | Lsv Asset Management | 2023-12-31 | 5 M | Legal & General Group Plc | 2023-12-31 | 4.4 M | Qube Research & Technologies | 2023-12-31 | 3.2 M | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 3 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 68.9 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 45.7 M |
Marathon Oil Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (604M) | (116M) | (162M) | (246M) | (179M) | (170.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 199M | 130M | 2.2B | 4.0B | 2.1B | 2.2B | |
| Depreciation | 2.4B | 2.5B | 2.1B | 1.8B | 2.2B | 1.9B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 2.6B | 1.3B | 1.0B | 1.5B | 2.0B | 2.7B | |
| Net Income | 480M | (1.5B) | 946M | 3.6B | 1.6B | 1.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 858M | 742M | 580M | 334M | 155M | 147.3M | |
| Change To Inventory | (1M) | 3M | (4M) | (45M) | (64M) | (67.2M) | |
| Change Receivables | 52M | 367M | (389M) | 9M | 10.4M | 10.9M | |
| Net Borrowings | (2M) | (127M) | (1.5B) | 1.9B | 2.2B | 2.3B | |
| Change To Netincome | 207M | 451M | 233M | 73M | 84.0M | 79.8M |
Marathon Oil Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Marathon Oil or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Marathon Oil's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Marathon stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.27 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Marathon Oil Volatility Alert
Marathon Oil has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.07 and kurtosis of 0.65. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Marathon Oil's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Marathon Oil's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Marathon Oil Implied Volatility
Marathon Oil's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Marathon Oil stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Marathon Oil's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Marathon Oil stock will not fluctuate a lot when Marathon Oil's options are near their expiration.
Marathon Oil Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Marathon Oil's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Marathon Oil's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Marathon Oil and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Marathon Oil or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Marathon Oil's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Marathon Oil by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Marathon Oil to competition |
| Fundamentals | Marathon Oil | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.14 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0653 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.24 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.29 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 21.47 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 571.48 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.37 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 79.63 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 14.89 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.88 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.48 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.58 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.41 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 6.15 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 4.41 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.55 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 334 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.76 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.43 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.37 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.08 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 19.43 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 4.09 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.46 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.56 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 26.45 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 33.64 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.68 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.24 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.9 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 19.57 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 11.97 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (2.35 B) | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 36094 shares by Patrick Wagner of Marathon Oil at 27.6469 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Marathon Oil Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Marathon . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 73264.83 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.85) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.57 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.56 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.18) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.29) |
About Marathon Oil Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Marathon Oil? Buying financial instruments such as Marathon Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 4.0B | 5.9B | 5.4B | 5.5B | Total Assets | 17.0B | 19.9B | 19.6B | 25.6B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Marathon Oil in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Companies specializing in air services and air delivery. The Air theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Air Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Marathon Oil Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Marathon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Marathon Oil guide.You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Marathon Stock analysis
When running Marathon Oil's price analysis, check to measure Marathon Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Marathon Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Marathon Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Marathon Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Marathon Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Marathon Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Marathon Oil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Marathon Oil. If investors know Marathon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Marathon Oil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Dividend Share 0.42 | Earnings Share 2.56 | Revenue Per Share 10.631 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0) |
The market value of Marathon Oil is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Marathon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Marathon Oil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Marathon Oil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Marathon Oil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Marathon Oil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Marathon Oil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Marathon Oil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Marathon Oil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.