Midland States Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MSBI Stock | USD 24.33 0.54 2.27% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Midland States Bancorp is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Midland States buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MSBI positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Midland States' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Midland States' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 24.08 | Target Price 23.5 | Hype Value 24.33 | Market Value 24.33 | Naive Value 23.9 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Midland States Bancorp given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Midland States. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Midland States Bancorp, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Midland |
Execute Midland States Buy or Sell Advice
The Midland recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Midland States Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Midland States Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Midland States' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Midland States Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Midland States generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from aol.com: HIGH SCHOOL BASEBALL OHS and Midland High reflect on historic series |
Midland States Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Midland States' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Midland States' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Midland States daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Midland States Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Midland States returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Midland States.
| Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -3.15 | Potential Upside | 3.55 | Standard Deviation | 1.96 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Midland States historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Midland Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Midland States is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Midland States Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Midland States' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Midland States' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-09-30 | 236.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-09-30 | 201.3 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-09-30 | 186.3 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 168.3 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-09-30 | 165.4 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-09-30 | 125.3 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 123.4 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-09-30 | 104.8 K | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2023-09-30 | 100 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-09-30 | 3 M | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.4 M |
Midland States Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 180.8M | (52.9M) | 338.7M | (530.1M) | (25.6M) | (24.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 113.9M | 496.6M | 331.7M | 233.3M | 57.4M | 54.5M | |
| Depreciation | 19.4M | 19.5M | 16.3M | 14.4M | 11.2M | 12.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 32.0M | 429.1M | 230.2M | 145.0M | (125.0M) | (118.8M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 23.8M | 25.0M | 25.2M | 29.1M | 35.5M | 18.1M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.5M | 2.6M | 2.7M | 3.5M | 57.3M | 60.2M | |
| Net Income | 55.8M | 22.5M | 81.3M | 99.0M | 74.6M | 42.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 394.5M | 341.6M | 680.4M | 150.3M | 135.1M | 247.2M | |
| Investments | (72.8M) | (1.3B) | (505.0M) | (1.1B) | (341.8M) | (358.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (116.8M) | 260.7M | (500.8M) | 75.3M | 67.8M | 71.2M | |
| Change To Netincome | 44.6M | 488.2M | 237.9M | 147.2M | 169.2M | 126.0M | |
| Change Receivables | (431K) | 1.4M | (7.2M) | 4.1M | 4.7M | 4.9M |
Midland States Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Midland States or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Midland States' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Midland stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.77 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.99 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Midland States Volatility Alert
Midland States Bancorp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.21 and kurtosis of 1.37. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Midland States' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Midland States' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Midland States Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Midland States' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Midland States' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Midland States and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Midland States or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Midland States' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Midland States by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Midland States to competition |
| Fundamentals | Midland States | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0973 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0096 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.27 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.36 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.17 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 21.85 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.75 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 61.81 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 207.93 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 15.34 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.75 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.82 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 66.59 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 303.51 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 107.57 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 74.56 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 313.19 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 14.19 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 664.36 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.29 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 31.61 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 114.74 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.71 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 2.97 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.20 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 27.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 878 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.75 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 525.06 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 7.87 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 322.38 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | |
| Five Year Return | 4.17 % |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Daniel Casey of Midland States subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Midland States Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Midland . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Midland States Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Midland States Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Midland Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 459.8M | 559.8M | 664.4M | 492.8M | Total Assets | 7.4B | 7.9B | 7.9B | 5.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Midland States in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Music and Video Thematic Idea Now
Music and Video
Companies specializing in music, video and movie production and distribution. The Music and Video theme has 35 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Music and Video Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out Midland States Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Midland States Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Midland States' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Complementary Tools for Midland Stock analysis
When running Midland States' price analysis, check to measure Midland States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Midland States is operating at the current time. Most of Midland States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Midland States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Midland States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Midland States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Equity Valuation Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments |
Is Midland States' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Midland States. If investors know Midland will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Midland States listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.59) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 2.97 | Revenue Per Share 12.727 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) |
The market value of Midland States Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Midland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Midland States' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Midland States' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Midland States' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Midland States' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Midland States' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Midland States is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Midland States' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.