Mannatech Incorporated Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| MTEX Stock | USD 8.33 0.13 1.59% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Mannatech Incorporated is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Mannatech Incorporated buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MTEX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Mannatech Incorporated's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Mannatech Incorporated's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 7.27 | Hype Value 8.36 | Market Value 8.33 | Naive Value 8.56 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Mannatech Incorporated given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Mannatech Incorporated. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Mannatech Incorporated, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Mannatech |
Execute Mannatech Incorporated Buy or Sell Advice
The Mannatech recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Mannatech Incorporated. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Mannatech Incorporated or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Mannatech Incorporated's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Slightly risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Mannatech Incorporated Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Mannatech Incorporated generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mannatech Incorporated has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 131.96 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.24 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 104.15 M. | |
| Mannatech Incorporated currently holds about 20.57 M in cash with (2.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.76, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Mannatech Incorporated has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Mannatech GAAP EPS of -0.94, revenue of 32.69M |
Mannatech Incorporated Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Mannatech Incorporated's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Mannatech Incorporated's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Mannatech Incorporated daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Mannatech Incorporated price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Mannatech Incorporated returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Mannatech Incorporated.
| Mean Return | -0.03 | Value At Risk | -7.31 | Potential Upside | 6.93 | Standard Deviation | 4.18 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Mannatech Incorporated historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Mannatech Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Mannatech Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mannatech Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Mannatech Incorporated's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Mannatech Incorporated's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 95.0 | Capital Advisors, Ltd. Llc | 2023-12-31 | 36.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 8.0 | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 2.0 | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 2.0 | Royal Bank Of Canada | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Cary Street Partners Investment Advisory Llc | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Feltz Wealth Plan Inc. | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 52.4 K | Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 46.1 K |
Mannatech Incorporated Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 2.1M | (2.7M) | 169K | (3.2M) | (272K) | (285.6K) | |
| Change In Cash | 416K | (3.5M) | (1.9M) | (10.4M) | (6.1M) | (5.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.7M | 5.1M | 10.1M | (3.7M) | (3.1M) | (3.0M) | |
| Depreciation | 2.1M | 2.0M | 1.7M | 1.6M | 3.5M | 3.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 2.9M | 2.7M | 3.1M | 2.4M | 989K | 939.6K | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.2M | 3.4M | 4.3M | 1.5M | 748K | 710.6K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.2M | 949K | 650K | 1.1M | 748K | 710.6K | |
| Net Income | 3.3M | 6.3M | 9.8M | (4.5M) | (2.2M) | (2.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 31M | 27.5M | 25.6M | 15.2M | 8.7M | 8.2M | |
| Change Receivables | (308K) | (376K) | (931K) | 561K | 504.9K | 530.1K | |
| Net Borrowings | (1.2M) | (628K) | (435K) | (817K) | (939.6K) | (986.5K) | |
| Change To Netincome | 3.0M | 2.7M | 1.7M | 3.9M | 4.5M | 2.8M | |
| Investments | (1.2M) | (947K) | (650K) | (1.1M) | (713K) | (748.7K) |
Mannatech Incorporated Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Mannatech Incorporated or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Mannatech Incorporated's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Mannatech stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.64 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Mannatech Incorporated Volatility Alert
Mannatech Incorporated exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.4 and kurtosis of 2.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Mannatech Incorporated's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Mannatech Incorporated's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Mannatech Incorporated Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Mannatech Incorporated's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Mannatech Incorporated's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Mannatech Incorporated and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Mannatech Incorporated or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Mannatech Incorporated's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mannatech Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Mannatech Incorporated to competition |
| Fundamentals | Mannatech Incorporated | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.18 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0128 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.02) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.03) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 13.68 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.88 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 45.27 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 20.93 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.04 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.21 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.53 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.12 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 131.96 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 104.15 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 2.57 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (2.24 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 20.57 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 10.76 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.7 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.32 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.31 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.64 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.37 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.34 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.20) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 20.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 213 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 15.71 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 43 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.3 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 1.88 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 49.88 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Tyler Rameson of 4932 shares of Mannatech Incorporated at 8.11 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Mannatech Incorporated Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Mannatech . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.33 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.33 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.065 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.13 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.23 |
About Mannatech Incorporated Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Mannatech Incorporated? Buying financial instruments such as Mannatech Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 339K | 412K | 5.7M | 6.0M | Total Assets | 59.6M | 49.1M | 43.0M | 57.2M |
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Check out Mannatech Incorporated Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Mannatech Stock please use our How to Invest in Mannatech Incorporated guide.Note that the Mannatech Incorporated information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mannatech Incorporated's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for Mannatech Stock analysis
When running Mannatech Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure Mannatech Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mannatech Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of Mannatech Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mannatech Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mannatech Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mannatech Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mannatech Incorporated's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mannatech Incorporated. If investors know Mannatech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mannatech Incorporated listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share (1.20) | Revenue Per Share 70.715 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of Mannatech Incorporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mannatech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mannatech Incorporated's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mannatech Incorporated's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mannatech Incorporated's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mannatech Incorporated's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mannatech Incorporated's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mannatech Incorporated is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mannatech Incorporated's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.