Matrix Service Co Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

MTRX Stock  USD 11.56  0.19  1.62%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Matrix Service Co is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Matrix Service buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding MTRX positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Matrix Service's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Matrix Service's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
13.96
Target Price
14.5
Hype Value
11.6
Market Value
11.56
Naive Value
10.69
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Matrix Service Co given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Matrix Service. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Matrix Service Co, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Matrix Service Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Matrix and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Matrix Service Co. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Execute Matrix Service Buy or Sell Advice

The Matrix recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Matrix Service Co. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Matrix Service Co or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Matrix Service's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Matrix ServiceBuy Matrix Service
Strong Hold

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Matrix Service Co has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0719, Jensen Alpha of 0.2928, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0193, Sortino Ratio of 0.1684 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2942
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Matrix Service Co and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Matrix Service is not overpriced, please verify all Matrix Service Co fundamentals, including its current ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and target price . Given that Matrix Service has a price to earning of 19.16 X, we recommend you to check Matrix Service market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Matrix Service Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Matrix Service had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 795.02 M. Net Loss for the year was (52.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.82 M.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 14116 shares by Montalbano Douglas J of Matrix Service subject to Rule 16b-3

Matrix Service Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Matrix Service's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Matrix Service's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Matrix Service daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Matrix Service Co price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Matrix Service returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Matrix Service.
Mean Return
0.38
Value At Risk
-2.93
Potential Upside
5.28
Standard Deviation
3.65
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Matrix Service historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Matrix Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Matrix Service is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Matrix Service Co backward and forwards among themselves. Matrix Service's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Matrix Service's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Portolan Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
619.8 K
Franklin Resources Inc2023-12-31
536.1 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
377.4 K
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2023-12-31
367.4 K
Needham Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
355 K
Stanley-laman Group Ltd2023-12-31
336.4 K
Rbf Llc2023-12-31
332 K
Millennium Management Llc2023-12-31
277 K
Qube Research & Technologies2023-12-31
268.7 K
First Wilshire Securities Mgmt Inc (ca)2023-12-31
2.2 M
Harvey Partners Llc2023-09-30
1.7 M
Note, although Matrix Service's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Matrix Service Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory1.6M(882K)(2.6M)2.5M2.3M2.4M
Change In Cash10.3M(16.2M)(6.5M)2.4M2.2M2.2M
Free Cash Flow25.5M(7.3M)(57.5M)1.2M1.4M1.4M
Depreciation19.1M17.9M15.3M13.7M15.7M11.6M
Capital Expenditures18.5M4.4M3.3M9.0M10.4M10.7M
Net Income(33.1M)(31.2M)(63.9M)(52.4M)(47.1M)(44.8M)
End Period Cash Flow100.0M83.9M77.4M79.8M91.8M96.4M
Other Non Cash Items44.1M(202K)(12.4M)22.0M25.3M26.6M
Change Receivables(15.4M)56.6M11.1M(6.6M)(7.6M)(7.2M)
Net Borrowings4.2M(10.1M)13.1M(5M)(4.5M)(4.3M)
Change To Netincome54.0M8.8M(4.5M)16.4M18.9M13.9M
Investments(17.1M)(2.3M)35.7M(2.5M)(2.9M)(3.1M)

Matrix Service Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Matrix Service or Energy Equipment & Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Matrix Service's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Matrix stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.29
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.24
σ
Overall volatility
3.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Matrix Service Volatility Alert

Matrix Service Co has relatively low volatility with skewness of 4.06 and kurtosis of 23.14. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Matrix Service's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Matrix Service's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Matrix Service Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Matrix Service's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Matrix Service's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Matrix Service and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Matrix Service or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Matrix Service's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Matrix Service by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Matrix Service to competition
FundamentalsMatrix ServicePeer Average
Return On Equity-0.1-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0373-0.14
Profit Margin(0.02) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.03) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation301.22 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding27.3 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders3.67 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions83.59 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted272.02 K4.71 M
Price To Earning19.16 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.86 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.44 X11.42 X
Revenue795.02 M9.43 B
Gross Profit30.82 M27.38 B
EBITDA(35.28 M)3.9 B
Net Income(52.36 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents14.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.53 X5.01 X
Total Debt35.32 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.18 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.69 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations10.25 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.03 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.70) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth0.77 X4.89 X
Target Price17.0
Number Of Employees2.54 K18.84 K
Beta1.24-0.15
Market Capitalization325.75 M19.03 B
Total Asset400.5 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings58.92 M9.33 B
Working Capital74.72 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 14116 shares by Montalbano Douglas J of Matrix Service subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Matrix Service Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Matrix . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Matrix Service Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Matrix Service Co? Buying financial instruments such as Matrix Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total40.6M35.3M40.6M42.7M
Total Assets440.8M400.5M460.6M304.2M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Matrix Service in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Health Care ETFs Thematic Idea Now

Health Care ETFs
Health Care ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Health Care ETFs theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Health Care ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Matrix Service offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Matrix Service's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Matrix Service Co Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Matrix Service Co Stock:
Check out Matrix Service Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for Matrix Stock analysis

When running Matrix Service's price analysis, check to measure Matrix Service's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Matrix Service is operating at the current time. Most of Matrix Service's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Matrix Service's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Matrix Service's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Matrix Service to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Is Matrix Service's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Matrix Service. If investors know Matrix will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Matrix Service listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.75
Earnings Share
(0.70)
Revenue Per Share
28.155
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.1)
Return On Assets
(0.04)
The market value of Matrix Service is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Matrix that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Matrix Service's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Matrix Service's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Matrix Service's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Matrix Service's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Matrix Service's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Matrix Service is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Matrix Service's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.