Natures Sunshine Products Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NATR Stock | USD 18.70 0.11 0.58% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Natures Sunshine Products is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Natures Sunshine buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NATR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Natures Sunshine's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Natures Sunshine's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 19.19 | Target Price 19.5 | Hype Value 18.76 | Market Value 18.7 | Naive Value 18 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Natures Sunshine Products given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Natures Sunshine. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Natures Sunshine Products, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Natures |
Execute Natures Sunshine Buy or Sell Advice
The Natures recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Natures Sunshine Products. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Natures Sunshine Products or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Natures Sunshine's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Very Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Natures Sunshine Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Natures Sunshine is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Natures Sunshine has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Natures Miracle Holding Inc. and Agrify Corporation Agree to Merge |
Natures Sunshine Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Natures Sunshine's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Natures Sunshine's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Natures Sunshine daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Natures Sunshine Products price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Natures Sunshine returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Natures Sunshine.
| Mean Return | 0.11 | Value At Risk | -3.2 | Potential Upside | 2.68 | Standard Deviation | 2.75 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Natures Sunshine historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Natures Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Natures Sunshine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natures Sunshine Products backward and forwards among themselves. Natures Sunshine's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Natures Sunshine's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 250 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 220 K | Hillsdale Investment Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 198.7 K | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 185.6 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2023-12-31 | 180.2 K | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2023-12-31 | 173.5 K | American Century Companies Inc | 2023-12-31 | 139.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 125.9 K | Tieton Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 97.4 K | Fosun International Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 2.9 M | Wynnefield Capital Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.5 M |
Natures Sunshine Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Depreciation | 10.6M | 10.7M | 11.2M | 11.0M | 11.8M | 12.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 6.3M | 3.7M | 8.4M | 7.0M | 4.8M | 2.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 5.1M | 4.9M | 6.7M | 7.6M | 10.5M | 6.7M | |
| Net Income | 6.9M | 23.0M | 30.2M | 550K | 15.1M | 9.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 53.6M | 92.1M | 86.2M | 60.0M | 82.4M | 41.8M | |
| Change To Inventory | (4.9M) | (154K) | (14.5M) | (8.8M) | 995K | 1.0M | |
| Change In Cash | 3.0M | 38.4M | (5.9M) | (26.2M) | 22.3M | 23.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.4M | 32.8M | 27.9M | (6.9M) | 30.7M | 32.3M | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.4M | 2.3M | 6.6M | 4.8M | 5.5M | 3.3M | |
| Investments | (5.1M) | (4.9M) | (6.6M) | (7.6M) | (12.1M) | (11.5M) | |
| Change Receivables | 375K | 106K | (1.7M) | (5.9M) | (5.3M) | (5.1M) |
Natures Sunshine Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Natures Sunshine or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Natures Sunshine's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Natures stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Natures Sunshine Volatility Alert
Natures Sunshine Products currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Natures Sunshine's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Natures Sunshine's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Natures Sunshine Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Natures Sunshine's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Natures Sunshine's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Natures Sunshine and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Natures Sunshine or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Natures Sunshine's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natures Sunshine by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Natures Sunshine to competition |
| Fundamentals | Natures Sunshine | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.11 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0637 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.03 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 289.95 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 18.79 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 21.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 64.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 87.88 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 8.42 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.32 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.80 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 445.32 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 299.76 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 36.27 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 15.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 56.34 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.93 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 14.92 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.15 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.13 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 8.16 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 41.23 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.25 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.77 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 24.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 814 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.82 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 351.29 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 249.77 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 49.71 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 89.06 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 101.52 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 898 shares by Dan Norman of Natures Sunshine at 20.09 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Natures Sunshine Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natures . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Natures Sunshine Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Natures Sunshine Products? Buying financial instruments such as Natures Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 23.0M | 19.2M | 14.9M | 8.4M | Total Assets | 258.9M | 229.8M | 249.8M | 142.6M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Natures Sunshine in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Music and Video Thematic Idea Now
Music and Video
Companies specializing in music, video and movie production and distribution. The Music and Video theme has 35 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Music and Video Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Natures Sunshine Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Natures Stock analysis
When running Natures Sunshine's price analysis, check to measure Natures Sunshine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natures Sunshine is operating at the current time. Most of Natures Sunshine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natures Sunshine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natures Sunshine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natures Sunshine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natures Sunshine's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natures Sunshine. If investors know Natures will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natures Sunshine listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.596 | Earnings Share 0.77 | Revenue Per Share 23.357 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 | Return On Assets 0.0637 |
The market value of Natures Sunshine Products is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natures that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natures Sunshine's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natures Sunshine's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natures Sunshine's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natures Sunshine's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natures Sunshine's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natures Sunshine is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natures Sunshine's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.