Navistar International Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NAV -- USA Stock  

USD 34.16  0.81  2.32%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Navistar International Corporation is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Navistar International buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NAV positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Navistar International available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from NAV buy-and-hold prospective. Please see also Navistar International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Navistar InternationalBuy Navistar International
Cautious Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Navistar International Corporation has a mean deviation of 1.51, semi deviation of 0.0, standard deviation of 2.11, variance of 4.44, downside variance of 0.0 and semi variance of 0.0
Macroaxis buy or sell recommendations module can be used to complement Navistar International advice provided by average analyst sentiment. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Navistar International is not overpriced, please verify all Navistar International Corporation fundamentals including its EBITDA, Earnings Per Share, Z Score, as well as the relationship between Debt to Equity and Total Asset . Given that Navistar International has Number of Shares Shorted of 2.97 M, we recommend you check Navistar International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Navistar International Thematic Classifications

Momentum IdeaMomentum
Macroaxis long run momentum stocks
Automobiles and Trucks IdeaAutomobiles and Trucks
USA Equities from Automobiles and Trucks industry as classified by Fama & French

Navistar International Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.76Value At Risk4.48
Potential Upside2.98Standard Deviation2.11
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares134.6 K5.2 M
Seven Eight Capital LpCommon Shares45.9 K1.8 M
Mizuho Securities Usa LlcDebt1.6 M1.6 M
Aperio Group LlcCommon Shares21.7 K834 K
Supplemental Annuity Collective Trust Of NjCommon Shares21 K809 K
Nj State Employees Deferred Compensation PlanCommon Shares20 K770 K
Fox Run Management LlcCommon Shares13.7 K528 K
New Jersey Better Educational Savings TrustCommon Shares12 K462 K

Navistar International Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.71
β
Beta against DOW=0.36
σ
Overall volatility
=2.13
Ir
Information ratio =0.28

Navistar International Volatility Alert

Navistar International Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.02 and kurtosis of 0.2. However, we advise investors to further study Navistar International Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Navistar International to competition

Navistar International Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsNavistar InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity12.30 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset5.47 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin3.01 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin5.97 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation8.34 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding98.87 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders17.05 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions91.89 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted2.97 M3.24 M
Price to Earning13.40 times40.69 times
Price to Book0.34 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.40 times17.81 times
Revenue9.53 B9.85 B
Gross Profit1.38 B21.75 B
EBITDA716 M1.41 B
Net Income287 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents1.08 B3.89 B
Cash per Share10.96 times5.17 times
Total Debt5.6 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity(2.07) % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.14 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share43.89 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations97 M1.25 B
Short Ratio4.34 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share2.87 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth2.38 times1.22 times
Number of Employees13.34 K10.67 K
Beta2.730.34
Market Capitalization3.81 B29.78 B
Total Asset5.65 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(4.96 B)38.24 B
Working Capital556 M3.58 B
Current Asset3.76 B36.8 B
   Disposition of 250 shares by Curt Kramer of Navistar International subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Navistar International Market Momentum

Navistar International Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Navistar International generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
Navistar International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by James Keyes of tradable shares of Navistar International subject to Rule 16b-3

Latest Analysts View

Navistar International Current Analysts Recommendations

Target Median Price45.00
Target Mean Price45.27
Recommendation Mean2.40
Target High Price56.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions13
Target Low Price29.50
Please see also Navistar International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool. Please also try Equity Search module to search for activelly-traded equities including funds and etfs from over 30 global markets.
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