Navistar International Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NAV -- USA Stock  

USD 43.10  0.87  2.06%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Navistar International Corporation is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Navistar International buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NAV positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Navistar International available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from NAV buy-and-hold prospective. Please see also Navistar International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell Navistar InternationalBuy Navistar International
Strong Hold

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Navistar International Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of 0.1082, jensen alpha of 0.2424, total risk alpha of 0.10, sortino ratio of 0.0797 and treynor ratio of 0.6034
Navistar International buy or sell recommendations module can be used to check and cross-verify current advice provided by analysts analyzing the firm potential to grow using all of fundamental, technical, data market data available at the time. To make sure Navistar International is not overpriced, please verify all Navistar International Corporation fundamentals including its EBITDA, Earnings Per Share, Z Score, as well as the relationship between Debt to Equity and Total Asset . Given that Navistar International has Number of Shares Shorted of 3.14 M, we recommend you check Navistar International market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Navistar International Thematic Classifications

Momentum IdeaMomentum
Macroaxis long run momentum stocks
Automobiles and Trucks IdeaAutomobiles and Trucks
USA Equities from Automobiles and Trucks industry as classified by Fama & French

Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.32Value At Risk3.13
Potential Upside2.80Standard Deviation1.89
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Calamos Advisors LlcDebt7.5 M7.7 M
Westpac Banking CorpCommon Shares153.2 K6.2 M
Calamos Advisors LlcCall Options125 K5.1 M
Boston Advisors LlcCommon Shares55.1 K2.2 M
Stokes Hubbell Capital Management LlcCommon Shares11 K448 K
Xr Securities LlcCommon Shares8.6 K350 K
Amalgamated BankCommon Shares6.8 K275 K
Bank Of MontrealCommon Shares2.5 K101 K
Vigilant Capital Management LlcCommon Shares1687 K

Navistar International Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.24
β
Beta against DOW=0.51
σ
Overall volatility
=1.86
Ir
Information ratio =0.09

Navistar International Volatility Alert

Navistar International Corporation currently demonstrates below average downside deviation of 2.24. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.24. However, we do advice investors to further question Navistar International Corporation expected returns to make sure all indicators are consistent with the current outlook about its relatively low value at risk.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Navistar International to competition

Navistar International Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsNavistar InternationalPeer Average
Return On Equity12.30 % (15.17) %
Return On Asset5.24 % (15.64) %
Profit Margin1.69 % (5.50) %
Operating Margin5.70 % (10.91) %
Current Valuation8.51 B152.14 B
Shares Outstanding98.77 M1.43 B
Shares Owned by Insiders17.05 % 6.91 %
Shares Owned by Institutions93.97 % 18.37 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.14 M3.24 M
Price to Earning27.73 times40.69 times
Price to Book0.34 times14.44 times
Price to Sales0.47 times17.81 times
Revenue9.14 B9.85 B
Gross Profit1.38 B21.75 B
EBITDA672 M1.41 B
Net Income153 M517.71 M
Cash and Equivalents1.1 B3.89 B
Cash per Share11.14 times5.17 times
Total Debt5.35 B7.36 B
Debt to Equity(2.07) % 0.72 %
Current Ratio1.11 times3.30 times
Book Value Per Share45.87 times13.64 times
Cash Flow from Operations119 M1.25 B
Short Ratio4.17 times2.09 times
Earnings Per Share1.55 times2.30 times
Price to Earnings To Growth4.03 times1.22 times
Number of Employees12.86 K10.67 K
Beta2.320.34
Market Capitalization4.26 B29.78 B
Total Asset5.65 B126.86 B
Retained Earnings(4.96 B)38.24 B
Working Capital556 M3.58 B
Current Asset3.76 B36.8 B
   Exercise or conversion by Moran James M of 2500 shares of Navistar International subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Navistar International Alerts

Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Curt Kramer of 1786 shares of Navistar International subject to Rule 16b-3
Please see also Navistar International Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with current analyst consensus. Please also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.