Newtek Business Services Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NEWT Stock  USD 10.95  0.11  0.99%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding Newtek Business Services is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Newtek Business buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NEWT positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Newtek Business' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Newtek Business' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
9.93
Target Price
18
Hype Value
10.95
Market Value
10.95
Naive Value
9.69
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Newtek Business Services given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Newtek Business. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Newtek Business Services, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Newtek Business Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Newtek and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Newtek Business Services. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in housing.

Execute Newtek Business Buy or Sell Advice

The Newtek recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Newtek Business Services. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Newtek Business Services or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Newtek Business' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Newtek BusinessBuy Newtek Business
Strong Buy

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Newtek Business Services has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.03), Jensen Alpha of (0.28), Total Risk Alpha of (0.51) and Treynor Ratio of (0.12)
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Newtek Business Services and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Newtek Business Services is not overpriced, please verify all Newtek Business Services fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Newtek Business Services has a price to earning of 11.31 X, we recommend you to check Newtek Business market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Newtek Business Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Newtek Business generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Newtek Business Services currently holds about 4.17 M in cash with (88.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17.
On 15th of April 2024 Newtek Business paid $ 0.19 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: NewtekOne director Salvatore Mulia sells shares worth over 8k

Newtek Business Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Newtek Business' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Newtek Business' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Newtek Business daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Newtek Business Services price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Newtek Business returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Newtek Business.
Mean Return
-0.15
Value At Risk
-3.32
Potential Upside
4.57
Standard Deviation
2.54
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Newtek Business historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Newtek Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Newtek Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Newtek Business Services backward and forwards among themselves. Newtek Business' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Newtek Business' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
164.3 K
Boothbay Fund Management, Llc2023-12-31
144.3 K
Bard Associates Inc2023-12-31
126.8 K
Aptus Capital Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
121.8 K
Ancora Advisors Llc2023-12-31
91.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
85 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2023-12-31
77.1 K
Avenir Corporation2023-09-30
64.8 K
Davidson D A & Co2023-12-31
62.2 K
Royce & Associates, Lp2023-12-31
M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Note, although Newtek Business' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Newtek Business Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash1.9M18.2M135.4M(61.3M)58.4M61.3M
Free Cash Flow(89.1M)17.8M140.9M(62.4M)(89.1M)(84.6M)
Other Non Cash Items10.3M(10.1M)(74.0M)(36.6M)(48.7M)(46.3M)
Dividends Paid40.8M42.6M70.1M64.5M14.1M13.4M
Capital Expenditures627K126K10K11K458K435.1K
Net Income41.1M33.6M84.1M32.3M47.3M49.7M
End Period Cash Flow33.2M51.4M186.9M125.6M184.0M193.2M
Investments(627K)(126K)(10K)(11K)(123.0M)(116.9M)
Net Borrowings102.0M18.4M21.5M67.1M77.1M54.8M
Change To Netincome(112.1M)(12.0M)(76.7M)(32.7M)(29.4M)(30.9M)

Newtek Business Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Newtek Business or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Newtek Business' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Newtek stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.28
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.37
σ
Overall volatility
2.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Newtek Business Volatility Alert

Newtek Business Services exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.26 and kurtosis of 0.26. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Newtek Business' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Newtek Business' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Newtek Business Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Newtek Business' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Newtek Business' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Newtek Business and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Newtek Business or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Newtek Business' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Newtek Business by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Newtek Business to competition
FundamentalsNewtek BusinessPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0632-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.48 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation1.25 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding24.71 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.75 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.25 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.87 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.31 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.23 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.04 X11.42 X
Revenue253.14 M9.43 B
Gross Profit86.24 M27.38 B
EBITDA112.12 M3.9 B
Net Income47.33 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents4.17 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.17 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.11 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.32 %48.70 %
Current Ratio12.36 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.29 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(88.6 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio10.83 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.88 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.28 X4.89 X
Target Price13.75
Number Of Employees52818.84 K
Beta1.29-0.15
Market Capitalization270.56 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.44 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings28.05 M9.33 B
Annual Yield0.07 %
Note: Disposition of 750 shares by Salvatore Mulia of Newtek Business at 10.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Newtek Business Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Newtek . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Newtek Business Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Newtek Business Services? Buying financial instruments such as Newtek Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total481.1M547.3M1.1B1.2B
Total Assets1.1B998.9M1.4B1.5B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Newtek Business in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Candy and Soda Thematic Idea Now

Candy and Soda
Candy and Soda Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Candy and Soda theme has 13 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Candy and Soda Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Newtek Business Services offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Newtek Business' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Newtek Business Services Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Newtek Business Services Stock:
Check out Newtek Business Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for Newtek Stock analysis

When running Newtek Business' price analysis, check to measure Newtek Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Newtek Business is operating at the current time. Most of Newtek Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Newtek Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Newtek Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Newtek Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Sync Your Broker
Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Is Newtek Business' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Newtek Business. If investors know Newtek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Newtek Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Dividend Share
0.72
Earnings Share
1.88
Revenue Per Share
11.175
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.182
The market value of Newtek Business Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Newtek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Newtek Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Newtek Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Newtek Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Newtek Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Newtek Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Newtek Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Newtek Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.