Natural Health Trend Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NHTC Stock  USD 6.65  0.02  0.30%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Natural Health Trend is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Natural Health buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NHTC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Natural Health's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Natural Health's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
6.46
Hype Value
6.72
Market Value
6.65
Naive Value
6.73
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Natural Health Trend given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Natural Health. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Natural Health Trend, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Natural Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Natural and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Natural Health Trend. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Natural Health Buy or Sell Advice

The Natural recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Natural Health Trend. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Natural Health Trend or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Natural Health's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Natural HealthBuy Natural Health
Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Barely shadows the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Natural Health Trend has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0945, Jensen Alpha of 0.2741, Total Risk Alpha of (0.14), Sortino Ratio of 0.0712 and Treynor Ratio of 1.86
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Natural Health Trend. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Natural Health Trend is not overpriced, please verify all Natural Health Trend fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, total asset, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share . Given that Natural Health Trend has a price to earning of 56.00 X, we recommend you to check Natural Health market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Natural Health Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Natural Health Trend is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Natural Health Trend currently holds about 75.63 M in cash with (4.28 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 6.62.
Roughly 39.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 1st of March 2024 Natural Health paid $ 0.2 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1667 shares by Randall Mason of Natural Health at 5.54 subject to Rule 16b-3

Natural Health Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Natural Health's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Natural Health's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Natural Health daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Natural Health Trend price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Natural Health returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Natural Health.
Mean Return
0.30
Value At Risk
-2.64
Potential Upside
3.29
Standard Deviation
1.93
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Natural Health historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Natural Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Natural Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natural Health Trend backward and forwards among themselves. Natural Health's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Natural Health's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Mbe Wealth Management, Llc2023-12-31
10.9 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2023-09-30
7.8 K
Tower Research Capital Llc2023-12-31
2.2 K
Ubs Group Ag2023-12-31
1.4 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
857
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
164
Group One Trading, Lp2023-12-31
162
Lee Financial Corp2023-12-31
150
Simplex Trading, Llc2023-09-30
97.0
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
685.1 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
115.5 K
Note, although Natural Health's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Natural Health Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory5.8M2.7M(1.5M)680K228K216.6K
Change In Cash(36.2M)(6.5M)(8.5M)(14.6M)(5.8M)(5.5M)
Free Cash Flow(18.8M)1.7M791K(5.0M)(4.3M)(4.1M)
Depreciation387K410K299K204K164K155.8K
Other Non Cash Items1.8M1.5M1.2M1.2M1.1M1.1M
Capital Expenditures189K211K225K143K46K43.7K
Net Income(5.6M)843K1.1M313K568K539.6K
End Period Cash Flow99.4M92.9M84.4M69.7M9.2M8.7M
Dividends Paid17.2M31.5M7.3M9.1M(9.2M)(8.8M)
Change To Netincome1.4M2.9M1.5M1.3M1.1M1.2M
Investments(189K)(211K)(225K)(143K)(45K)(42.8K)

Natural Health Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Natural Health or Personal Care Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Natural Health's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Natural stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.27
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.16
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Natural Health Volatility Alert

Natural Health Trend currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.27. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Natural Health's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Natural Health's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Natural Health Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Natural Health's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Natural Health's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Natural Health and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Natural Health or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Natural Health's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Health by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Natural Health to competition
FundamentalsNatural HealthPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0124-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0138-0.14
Profit Margin0.01 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.02) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation23.68 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding11.52 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders38.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions10.33 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted12.29 K4.71 M
Price To Earning56.00 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.84 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.74 X11.42 X
Revenue43.92 M9.43 B
Gross Profit36.47 M27.38 B
EBITDA(1.67 M)3.9 B
Net Income568 K570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents75.63 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share6.62 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.46 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.05 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.70 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share3.63 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(4.28 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio0.21 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.05 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees13918.84 K
Beta0.81-0.15
Market Capitalization76.59 M19.03 B
Total Asset69.09 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(17.7 M)9.33 B
Working Capital44.24 M1.48 B
Current Asset117.71 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities61.57 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 1667 shares by Randall Mason of Natural Health at 5.54 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Natural Health Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natural . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Natural Health Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Natural Health Trend? Buying financial instruments such as Natural Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total3.2M4.1M3.5M2.1M
Total Assets98.4M82.8M69.1M65.6M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Natural Health in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Trading Thematic Idea Now

Trading
Trading Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Trading theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Trading Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Natural Health Trend offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Natural Health's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Natural Health Trend Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Natural Health Trend Stock:
Check out Natural Health Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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When running Natural Health's price analysis, check to measure Natural Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natural Health is operating at the current time. Most of Natural Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natural Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natural Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natural Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natural Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Health. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.823
Dividend Share
0.8
Earnings Share
0.05
Revenue Per Share
3.841
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
The market value of Natural Health Trend is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natural Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.