Nio Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NIO -  USA Stock  

USD 16.44  0.22  1.32%

Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nio Inc ADR is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Nio Inc buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Nio Inc positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Nio Inc's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
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The advice is provided from Nio Inc's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Nio Inc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nio Inc and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Nio Inc ADR.

Execute Nio Inc Buy or Sell Advice

The Nio Inc recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nio Inc ADR. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nio Inc ADR or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nio Inc's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Nio IncBuy Nio Inc
Cautious Hold

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

Significantly HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Nio Inc ADR has a Mean Deviation of 5.1, Standard Deviation of 6.85 and Variance of 46.94
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Nio Inc ADR and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Nio Inc ADR is not overpriced, please verify all Nio Inc ADR fundamentals, including its price to sales, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and beta . Given that Nio Inc ADR has a number of shares shorted of 73 M, we recommend you to check Nio Inc market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Nio Inc Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Nio Inc ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Nio Inc ADR has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Nio Inc ADR has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 32.88 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (9.89 B) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.87 B.
Latest headline from www.investorsobserver.com: Nio Inc - ADR is lower by 1.33 percent Thursday In Premarket Trading - InvestorsObserver

Nio Inc current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Nio Inc analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Nio Inc analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price57.97
Target Median Price56.03
Target High Price87.05
Recommendation Mean1.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions23
Target Low Price20.01
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Nio Inc Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Nio Inc's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Nio Inc's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nio Inc stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nio Inc ADR price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nio Inc returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nio Inc stock.
Mean Return-0.44Value At Risk-9.57
Potential Upside10.84Standard Deviation6.85
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nio Inc historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Nio Inc Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Nio Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nio Inc ADR backward and forwards among themselves. Nio Inc's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Nio Inc's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Baillie Gifford CoCommon Shares88.8 M1.9 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares64.6 M1.4 B
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares49.1 MB
State Street CorpCommon Shares26.8 M564.3 M
Goldman Sachs Group IncCommon Shares24.6 M518.2 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpPut Options17.3 M364.1 M
Schroder Investment Management GroupCommon Shares13.9 M308.6 M
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares14.1 M297 M
Susquehanna International Group LlpCall Options10.2 M213.8 M
Note, although Nio Inc's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Nio Inc Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nio Inc or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nio Inc stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nio Inc stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.0032
β
Beta against DOW2.66
σ
Overall volatility
6.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Nio Inc Volatility Alert

Nio Inc ADR is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. Investors should scrutinize Nio Inc ADR independently to ensure intended market timing strategies are aligned with expectations about Nio Inc volatility. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nio Inc's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nio Inc's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Nio Inc Implied Volatility

Nio Inc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nio Inc ADR stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nio Inc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nio Inc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nio Inc's options are near their expiration.

Nio Inc Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Nio Inc's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nio Inc's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nio Inc and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nio Inc or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nio Inc's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nio Inc by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Nio Inc to competition
FundamentalsNio IncPeer Average
Return On Equity(47.19) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(3.60) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(30.07) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(9.07) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation10.77 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.59 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.54 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions43.12 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted73 M4.71 M
Price to Earning10.16 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.95 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.70 X11.42 X
Revenue32.88 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.87 B27.38 B
EBITDA(1.56 B)3.9 B
Net Income(9.89 B)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents43.37 B2.7 B
Cash per Share27.27 X5.01 X
Total Debt19.2 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.69 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.04 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share15.35 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations2.48 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.24 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.02) X3.12 X
Number of Employees7.76 K18.84 K
Beta2.47-0.15
Market Capitalization23.14 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.74 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(47.55 B)9.33 B
Working Capital2.1 B1.48 B
Current Asset4.65 B9.34 B
Current Liabilities2.55 B7.9 B

Nio Inc Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nio Inc . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Accumulation Distribution9.4 M
Daily Balance Of Power(0.11)
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price16.64
Day Typical Price16.57
Price Action Indicator(0.31)

About Nio Inc Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Nio Inc ADR? Buying financial instruments such as Nio Inc Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Nio Inc investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Nio Inc in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Biotech
Biotech Theme
Companies specialized in biotechnology production and delivery of pharmaceuticals services. The Biotech theme has 30 constituents.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Biotech Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additionally, see Nio Inc Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Nio Inc ADR information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nio Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

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Is Nio Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nio Inc. If investors know Nio Inc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nio Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Nio Inc ADR is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nio Inc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nio Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nio Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nio Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nio Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nio Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nio Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nio Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.