Nautilus Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NLS Stock  USD 2.01  0.01  0.50%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nautilus Group is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Nautilus buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Nautilus positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Nautilus' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Nautilus' buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Nautilus Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nautilus and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Nautilus Group.

Execute Nautilus Buy or Sell Advice

The Nautilus recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nautilus Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nautilus Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nautilus' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NautilusBuy Nautilus
Hold

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Inapplicable
Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Nautilus Group has a Mean Deviation of 3.07, Semi Deviation of 3.1, Standard Deviation of 3.98, Variance of 15.86, Downside Variance of 10.89 and Semi Variance of 9.61
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Nautilus Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Nautilus Group is not overpriced, please verify all Nautilus Group fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Please also check out Nautilus price to earning to check your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Nautilus thematic classifications

Sports
Sporting goods retailers and sporting activities firms

Nautilus Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Nautilus' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nautilus' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nautilus stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nautilus Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nautilus returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nautilus.
Mean Return0.37Value At Risk-5.56
Potential Upside7.59Standard Deviation3.98
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nautilus historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Nautilus Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Nautilus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nautilus Group backward and forwards among themselves. Nautilus' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Nautilus' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zweigdimenna Associates LlcCommon Shares255 K4.4 M
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares4.9 K46 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares4.9 K82 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares4.9 K76 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares15.6 K282 K
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares1.2 KK
Zurcher Kantonalbank Zurich CantonalbankCommon Shares1.2 K13 K
Note, although Nautilus' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Nautilus Cash Flow Accounts

201820192020202120222023 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(3.79 M)(10.38 M)(8.95 M)(9.73 M)(8.75 M)(8.98 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion8.64 M8.94 M10.81 M9.45 M10.87 M9.41 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(19.98 M)10.23 M(27.05 M)46.85 M53.88 M58.13 M
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(10.01 M)(12.19 M)316 K307 K276.3 K298.11 K
Net Cash Flow from Financing(26.75 M)(28.58 M)(17.49 M)(3.12 M)12.72 M(3.2 M)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(29.27 M)18.71 M12.82 M(24.52 M)34.36 M(25.16 M)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(25.47 M)31.84 M25.27 M(36.2 M)(41.63 M)(42.72 M)
Net Cash Flow from Operations35.02 M21.25 M(22.57 M)71.66 M(66.57 M)77.32 M
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash1.02 M(1.15 M)189 K2.82 M3.25 M3.5 M
Share Based Compensation1.86 M1.98 M619 K3.73 M4.29 M4.63 M

Nautilus Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nautilus or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nautilus' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nautilus stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.25
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.92
σ
Overall volatility
3.99
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Nautilus Volatility Alert

Nautilus Group shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. We advise investors to inspect Nautilus Group further and ensure that all market timing and asset allocation strategies are consistent with the estimation of Nautilus future alpha. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nautilus' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nautilus' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Nautilus Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Nautilus' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nautilus' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nautilus and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nautilus or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nautilus' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nautilus by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Nautilus to competition
FundamentalsNautilusPeer Average
Return On Equity(0.75) %(0.31) %
Return On Asset(0.16) %(0.14) %
Profit Margin(0.27) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.20) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation116.07 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding31.72 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders9.57 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions28.19 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted1.15 M4.71 M
Price to Earning0.76 X28.72 X
Price to Book0.56 X9.51 X
Price to Sales0.13 X11.42 X
Revenue589.53 M9.43 B
Gross Profit148.46 M27.38 B
EBITDA(18.26 M)3.9 B
Net Income(22.43 M)570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents12.87 M2.7 B
Cash per Share0.23 X5.01 X
Total Debt27.51 M5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.59 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.52 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.89 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations(66.57 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.88 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.73) X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.50 X4.89 X
Target Price2.25
Number of Employees51718.84 K
Beta1.52-0.15
Market Capitalization63.76 M19.03 B
Total Asset314.05 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings102.55 M9.33 B
Working Capital69.37 M1.48 B
   Payment of 1345 shares by Becky Alseth of Nautilus subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

About Nautilus Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Nautilus Group? Buying financial instruments such as Nautilus Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2023 (projected)
Receivables54.6 M91.22 M61.45 M98.43 M
Inventories54.77 M51.14 M111.19 M45.64 M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Nautilus in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Management Thematic Idea Now

Management
Management Theme
Companies providing management services to businesses. The Management theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Management Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additionally, see Nautilus Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running Nautilus Group price analysis, check to measure Nautilus' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nautilus is operating at the current time. Most of Nautilus' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nautilus' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nautilus' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nautilus to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nautilus' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nautilus. If investors know Nautilus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nautilus listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.75
Market Capitalization
63.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.53) 
Return On Assets
(0.16) 
Return On Equity
(0.75) 
The market value of Nautilus Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nautilus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nautilus' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nautilus' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nautilus' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nautilus' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nautilus' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nautilus value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nautilus' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.