Noah Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NOAH Stock | USD 12.19 0.05 0.41% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Noah Holdings is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Noah Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NOAH positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Noah Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Noah Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 14.04 | Target Price 19.87 | Hype Value 12.18 | Market Value 12.19 | Naive Value 10.52 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Noah Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Noah Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Noah Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Noah |
Execute Noah Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Noah recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Noah Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Noah Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Noah Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Noah Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Noah Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Noah Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from bnnbloomberg.ca: Chinas Noah to Hire 50 to 100 Wealth Managers in Hong Kong, Singapore |
Noah Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Noah Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Noah Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Noah Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Noah Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Noah Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Noah Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.11 | Value At Risk | -4.07 | Potential Upside | 5.28 | Standard Deviation | 3.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Noah Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Noah Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Noah Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Noah Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Noah Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Noah Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 267.3 K | Prescott Group Capital Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 264.2 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 243.4 K | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2023-12-31 | 234.5 K | Comgest Global Investors Sas | 2023-12-31 | 171.9 K | Two Sigma Investments Llc | 2023-12-31 | 66.3 K | California Public Employees Retrmnt Sys | 2023-12-31 | 66 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 64.5 K | Two Sigma Advisers, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 64.2 K | Yiheng Capital Llc | 2023-12-31 | 6.7 M | Fidelity International Ltd | 2023-12-31 | 6.4 M |
Noah Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.7B | 628.8M | (1.6B) | 1.0B | 1.2B | 1.2B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 1.2B | 744.7M | (749.4M) | 570.2M | 655.7M | 401.5M | |
| Depreciation | 105.4M | 98.5M | 146.6M | 156.0M | 179.4M | 188.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 351.0M | 742.9M | (85.0M) | (27.2M) | (1.0B) | (970.0M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 128.2M | 65.3M | 51.6M | 2.3B | 62.7M | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | 863.8M | (743.5M) | 1.3B | 971.6M | 1.0B | 1.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 4.4B | 5.0B | 3.4B | 4.4B | 5.1B | 5.4B | |
| Change To Netincome | 118.5M | 418.2M | 1.5B | (10.7M) | (12.3M) | (11.7M) | |
| Investments | (182.0M) | 144.6M | (2.6B) | 74.3M | 66.9M | 70.2M |
Noah Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Noah Holdings or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Noah Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Noah stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 2.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Noah Holdings Volatility Alert
Noah Holdings currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of -0.08. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Noah Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Noah Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Noah Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Noah Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Noah Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Noah Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Noah Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Noah Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Noah Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Noah Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Noah Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0561 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.31 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.28 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | (1.28 B) | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 65.67 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.70 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 42.42 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 358.75 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 5.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.60 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.26 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 3.29 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 1.66 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 1.25 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.01 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.69 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 54.93 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 76.53 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.01 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 3.25 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 150.06 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 632.9 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.44 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.74 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 19.27 | |
| Beta | 0.99 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 797.24 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 12.69 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 5.6 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 4.41 B | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 503.54 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 149.25 M | 7.9 B |
Noah Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Noah . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Noah Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Noah Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Noah Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 2.1B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.0B | Total Assets | 10.9B | 11.8B | 12.7B | 13.3B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Noah Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Beers Thematic Idea Now
Beers
Companies involved in production and distribution of domestic and international beer. The Beers theme has 47 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Beers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Noah Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Noah Stock please use our How to Invest in Noah Holdings guide.Note that the Noah Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Noah Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for Noah Stock analysis
When running Noah Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Noah Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Noah Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Noah Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Noah Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Noah Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Noah Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Noah Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Noah Holdings. If investors know Noah will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Noah Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.542 | Earnings Share 1.74 | Revenue Per Share 47.423 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) | Return On Assets 0.0561 |
The market value of Noah Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Noah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Noah Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Noah Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Noah Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Noah Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Noah Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Noah Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Noah Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.