Nustar Energy Lp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NS Stock  USD 21.65  0.17  0.79%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your complete indifference towards market risk, our recommendation regarding NuStar Energy LP is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides NuStar Energy buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of NuStar Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting NuStar Energy's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
22.23
Target Price
18.57
Hype Value
21.57
Market Value
21.65
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell NuStar Energy LP given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards NuStar Energy. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for NuStar Energy LP, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out NuStar Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as NuStar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards NuStar Energy LP. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute NuStar Energy Buy or Sell Advice

The NuStar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on NuStar Energy LP. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in NuStar Energy LP or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute NuStar Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NuStar EnergyBuy NuStar Energy
Strong Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Very StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon NuStar Energy LP has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0687, Jensen Alpha of 0.1943, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0561, Sortino Ratio of 0.1374 and Treynor Ratio of 0.2065
Our advice module complements current analysts and expert consensus on NuStar Energy LP. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure NuStar Energy LP is not overpriced, please verify all NuStar Energy LP fundamentals, including its ebitda, target price, last dividend paid, as well as the relationship between the current ratio and working capital . Given that NuStar Energy LP has a price to earning of 23.00 X, we recommend you to check NuStar Energy market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NuStar Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

NuStar Energy LP has a very strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: SHAREHOLDER INVESTIGATION Halper Sadeh LLC Investigates IP, NXPL, NS, RXMD

NuStar Energy Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of NuStar Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of NuStar Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of NuStar Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use NuStar Energy LP price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of NuStar Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for NuStar Energy.
Mean Return
0.26
Value At Risk
-1.91
Potential Upside
2.04
Standard Deviation
2.68
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of NuStar Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

NuStar Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as NuStar Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NuStar Energy LP backward and forwards among themselves. NuStar Energy's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase NuStar Energy's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Bank Of America Corp2023-09-30
972.4 K
Brookfield Corp2023-12-31
907.3 K
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2023-09-30
886.5 K
Atlantic Trust Group, Llc2023-12-31
880.1 K
Miller Howard Investments Inc2023-12-31
858.8 K
Adams Asset Advisors Llc2023-12-31
675.2 K
Fractal Investments Llc2023-12-31
643.7 K
Westwood Holdings Group Inc2023-09-30
627.7 K
Bank Of Montreal2023-09-30
456.4 K
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
20.6 M
Alps Advisors Inc2023-12-31
19.9 M
Note, although NuStar Energy's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

NuStar Energy Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash11.3M137.4M(148.0M)8.9M(2.5M)(2.6M)
Free Cash Flow(37.5M)317.3M321.6M374.1M375.7M394.5M
Depreciation281.5M285.1M274.4M259.2M255.7M164.9M
Other Non Cash Items343.2M416.4M186.9M32.5M(29.3M)(27.8M)
Capital Expenditures546.3M208.7M179.9M153.4M138.5M222.8M
Net Income(105.7M)(199.0M)38.2M222.7M273.7M287.3M
End Period Cash Flow25.0M162.4M14.4M23.4M12.0M11.4M
Dividends Paid380.0M320.8M302.8M303.7M(299.8M)(284.8M)
Change To Inventory(866K)1.3M(5.6M)836K(3.2M)(3.1M)
Change To Netincome337.5M416.5M186.9M39.8M45.8M43.5M
Net Borrowings205.2M105.8M(412.8M)108.9M98.0M74.3M
Investments(319.2M)(98.1M)76.0M(84.4M)(8.9M)(9.4M)

NuStar Energy Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to NuStar Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that NuStar Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a NuStar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.19
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.21
σ
Overall volatility
2.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

NuStar Energy Volatility Alert

NuStar Energy LP has relatively low volatility with skewness of 4.77 and kurtosis of 31.8. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure NuStar Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact NuStar Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

NuStar Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing NuStar Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze NuStar Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between NuStar Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as NuStar Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of NuStar Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing NuStar Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NuStar Energy to competition
FundamentalsNuStar EnergyPeer Average
Return On Equity0.23-0.31
Return On Asset0.06-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.30 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.89 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding126.53 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders9.98 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions63.38 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.85 M4.71 M
Price To Earning23.00 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.57 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.65 X11.42 X
Revenue1.63 B9.43 B
Gross Profit831.29 M27.38 B
EBITDA724.86 M3.9 B
Net Income273.66 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents14.49 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.04 X5.01 X
Total Debt3.42 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.00 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.08 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.29 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations514.27 M971.22 M
Short Ratio5.08 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.72 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.29 X4.89 X
Target Price23.4
Number Of Employees1.18 K18.84 K
Beta1.69-0.15
Market Capitalization2.58 B19.03 B
Total Asset4.9 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(1.07 B)9.33 B
Working Capital(33.88 M)1.48 B
Note: Payment of 5420 shares by Thomas Shoaf of NuStar Energy subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

NuStar Energy Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as NuStar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About NuStar Energy Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell NuStar Energy LP? Buying financial instruments such as NuStar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Current Liabilities214.7M196.5M221.0M339.6M
Other Current Liabilities102.6M101.1M105.7M86.2M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having NuStar Energy in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Entertainment Thematic Idea Now

Entertainment
Entertainment Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Entertainment theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Entertainment Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether NuStar Energy LP is a strong investment it is important to analyze NuStar Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NuStar Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NuStar Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out NuStar Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

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When running NuStar Energy's price analysis, check to measure NuStar Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NuStar Energy is operating at the current time. Most of NuStar Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NuStar Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NuStar Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NuStar Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NuStar Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NuStar Energy. If investors know NuStar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NuStar Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.061
Dividend Share
1.6
Earnings Share
0.72
Revenue Per Share
13.985
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.051
The market value of NuStar Energy LP is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NuStar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NuStar Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NuStar Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NuStar Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NuStar Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NuStar Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NuStar Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NuStar Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.