Natura Co (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NTCO3 Stock | BRL 16.44 0.26 1.56% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Natura Co Holding is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Natura Co buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NTCO3 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Natura Co's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Natura Co's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 16.59 | Hype Value 16.44 | Market Value 16.44 | Naive Value 16.88 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Natura Co Holding given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Natura Co. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Natura Co Holding, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Natura |
Execute Natura Co Buy or Sell Advice
The Natura recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Natura Co Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Natura Co Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Natura Co's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Insignificant | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Above Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Natura Co Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Natura Co Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Natura Co Holding has accumulated about 657.86 M in cash with (114.17 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.78. | |
| Roughly 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Natura Co Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Natura Co's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Natura Co's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Natura Co daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Natura Co Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Natura Co returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Natura Co.
| Mean Return | 0.09 | Value At Risk | -2.74 | Potential Upside | 4.05 | Standard Deviation | 2.34 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Natura Co historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Natura Co Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Natura Co or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Natura Co's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Natura stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.76 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.004 |
Natura Co Volatility Alert
Natura Co Holding has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.7 and kurtosis of 0.62. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Natura Co's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Natura Co's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Natura Co Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Natura Co's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Natura Co's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Natura Co and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Natura Co or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Natura Co's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natura Co by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Natura Co to competition |
| Fundamentals | Natura Co | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0403 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0123 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.03) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 28.21 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.37 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 36.08 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 41.33 % | 39.21 % |
| Price To Book | 0.69 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.39 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 40.16 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 26.15 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.65 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 1.05 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 657.86 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.78 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 14.31 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.18 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 16.72 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (114.17 M) | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.46 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 16.69 | |
| Number Of Employees | 10 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.18 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 19.72 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 60.45 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 0.6 | 8.72 |
| Annual Yield | 0.01 % | |
| Net Asset | 60.45 B | |
| Last Dividend Paid | 0.13 |
Natura Co Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natura . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 109472.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 16.54 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 16.51 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.23) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.26) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 52.79 |
About Natura Co Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Natura Co Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Natura Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Natura Co in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Oil And Gas Thematic Idea Now
Oil And Gas
Companies involved in drilling, production, and distribution of oil and gas pipelines. The Oil And Gas theme has 38 constituents at this time.
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Check out Natura Co Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Natura Co Holding information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Natura Co's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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When running Natura Co's price analysis, check to measure Natura Co's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natura Co is operating at the current time. Most of Natura Co's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natura Co's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natura Co's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natura Co to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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