Northern Technologies Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NTIC Stock  USD 17.35  1.12  6.90%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northern Technologies is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Northern Technologies buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NTIC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Northern Technologies' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Northern Technologies' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
18.9
Target Price
20
Hype Value
17.73
Market Value
17.35
Naive Value
18.89
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Northern Technologies given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Northern Technologies. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Northern Technologies, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Northern Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Northern Stock refer to our How to Trade Northern Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northern and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Northern Technologies. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.

Execute Northern Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

The Northern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northern Technologies. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northern Technologies or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northern Technologies' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Northern TechnologiesBuy Northern Technologies
Strong Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Northern Technologies has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1015, Jensen Alpha of 0.4486, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0339, Sortino Ratio of 0.147 and Treynor Ratio of 0.7537
Our investment recommendation tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Northern Technologies and to analyze the entity potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Northern Technologies is not overpriced, please verify all Northern Technologies fundamentals, including its revenue, current ratio, market capitalization, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and earnings per share . Given that Northern Technologies has a price to earning of 16.72 X, we recommend you to check Northern Technologies market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Northern Technologies Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Northern Technologies had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Northern Technologies Markets Are Revitalizing, Stock Is Expensive - Seeking Alpha

Northern Technologies Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Northern Technologies' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Northern Technologies' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northern Technologies daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northern Technologies price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northern Technologies returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northern Technologies.
Mean Return
0.52
Value At Risk
-4.16
Potential Upside
6.44
Standard Deviation
3.45
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northern Technologies historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Northern Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Northern Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Northern Technologies' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Northern Technologies' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Diamond Hill Capital Management Inc2023-12-31
38 K
Essex Investment Management Company, Llc2023-12-31
33.1 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
30.1 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
29.3 K
Rbf Llc2023-12-31
27.2 K
Dynamic Advisor Solutions Llc2023-12-31
26.7 K
Stifel Financial Corp2023-12-31
26 K
Penn Mutual Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
23.9 K
Acadian Asset Management Llc2023-12-31
20.1 K
Punch & Associates Inv Mgmt Inc2023-12-31
519.2 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
433 K
Note, although Northern Technologies' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Northern Technologies Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash546.3K1.3M(2.3M)72.3K83.1K87.3K
Free Cash Flow4.1M(2.8M)(557.7K)2.2M2.0M2.1M
Depreciation1.1M1.1M1.6M1.6M1.9M2.0M
Other Non Cash Items1.6M(3.5M)(2.9M)(728.1K)(655.2K)(688.0K)
Dividends Paid1.2M1.8M2.6M2.6M3.0M3.2M
Capital Expenditures807.4K5.6M1.7M3.4M3.9M4.1M
Net Income(934.8K)7.0M7.2M4.2M4.9M2.8M
End Period Cash Flow6.4M7.7M5.3M5.4M6.2M6.5M
Change To Inventory(435.7K)58.3K(4.8M)3.0M2.7M2.9M
Change To Netincome(880.3K)4.4M(2.8M)1.9M2.2M2.3M
Investments(2.0M)5.5M(341.4K)(3.3M)(3.0M)(2.9M)
Change Receivables(24.0K)2.4M(3.8M)(2.4M)(2.2M)(2.1M)

Northern Technologies Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northern Technologies or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northern Technologies' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northern stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.45
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.67
σ
Overall volatility
3.42
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Northern Technologies Volatility Alert

Northern Technologies currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.12 and Jensen Alpha of 0.45. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northern Technologies' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northern Technologies' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Northern Technologies Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Northern Technologies' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northern Technologies' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northern Technologies and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northern Technologies or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northern Technologies' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Northern Technologies to competition
FundamentalsNorthern TechnologiesPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0861-0.31
Return On Asset0.0111-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.05 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation150.24 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding9.43 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders17.31 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions38.23 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted22.17 K4.71 M
Price To Earning16.72 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.91 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.58 X11.42 X
Revenue86.36 M9.43 B
Gross Profit23.07 M27.38 B
EBITDA7.06 M3.9 B
Net Income4.24 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents6.13 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.66 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.79 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.07 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.74 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.25 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.54 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.37 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.48 X3.12 X
Target Price20.0
Number Of Employees22418.84 K
Beta0.74-0.15
Market Capitalization153.01 M19.03 B
Total Asset89.34 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings51 M9.33 B
Working Capital22.95 M1.48 B
Current Asset20.94 M9.34 B
Note: Northern Technologies exotic insider transaction detected [view details]

Northern Technologies Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Northern Technologies Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Northern Technologies? Buying financial instruments such as Northern Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Stockholder Equity63.6M66.4M76.3M80.1M
Total Current Liabilities17.1M16.7M19.2M20.2M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Northern Technologies in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Junk Bonds Funds Thematic Idea Now

Junk Bonds Funds
Junk Bonds Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest most of their assets into speculative (junk) bonds or to other fixed income instruments with interest rates 3 to 4 percentage points above government issues. The Junk Bonds Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Junk Bonds Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Northern Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Northern Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Northern Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Northern Technologies Stock:
Check out Northern Technologies Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Northern Stock refer to our How to Trade Northern Stock guide.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

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Is Northern Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Technologies. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.25
Dividend Share
0.28
Earnings Share
0.48
Revenue Per Share
8.802
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.141
The market value of Northern Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Northern Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.