Northern Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NTRS
 Stock
  

USD 92.23  2.13  2.26%   

Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Northern Trust Corp is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Northern Trust buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NTRS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Northern Trust's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
The advice is provided from Northern Trust's buy-and-hold perspective. Additionally, see Northern Trust Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Northern and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Northern Trust Corp.

Execute Northern Trust Buy or Sell Advice

The Northern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Northern Trust Corp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Northern Trust Corp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Northern Trust's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Northern TrustBuy Northern Trust
Buy

Volatility

Details

Hype Condition

Details

Current Valuation

Details

Odds of Distress

Details

Economic Sensitivity

Details

Analyst Consensus

Details

Financial Strenth (F Score)

Details

Financial Leverage

Details

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Details
For the selected time horizon Northern Trust Corp has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.005519), Jensen Alpha of (0.11), Total Risk Alpha of (0.14) and Treynor Ratio of (0.020716)
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Northern Trust Corp to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Northern Trust. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Northern Trust Corp is not overpriced, please verify all Northern Trust Corp fundamentals, including its net income, as well as the relationship between the cash flow from operations and market capitalization . Given that Northern Trust Corp has a price to earning of 12.77 X, we recommend you to check Northern Trust market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Northern Trust Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Northern Trust Corp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Roth Capitals Price Target for Diamondback Energy Was Increased to 182.00 - Best Stocks

Northern Trust current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Northern analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Northern analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price96.60
Target Median Price94.00
Target High Price121.00
Recommendation Mean2.70
Number Of Analyst Opinions15
Target Low Price84.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Northern Trust Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Northern Trust's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Northern Trust's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Northern Trust stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Northern Trust Corp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Northern Trust returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Northern Trust.
Mean Return-0.02Value At Risk-3.63
Potential Upside3.40Standard Deviation2.49
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Northern Trust historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Northern Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Northern Trust is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Northern Trust Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Northern Trust's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Northern Trust's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares37.9 K3.5 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares36.7 K3.3 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares35.2 K3.2 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares35.1 K2.9 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares50.8 K5.2 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares51.5 K5.3 M
Zurich Insurance Group LtdCommon Shares49.8 K5.1 M
Note, although Northern Trust's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Northern Trust Cash Flow Accounts

201720182019202020212022 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(472.8 M)(506 M)(599.8 M)(560.4 M)(504.36 M)(544.18 M)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion421.7 M460.9 M458.9 M500.3 M575.35 M514.65 M
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents(813.9 M)63.5 M(122.4 M)(69.7 M)(62.73 M)(64.38 M)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(415.1 M)(891.7 M)(1.06 B)(280.3 M)(252.27 M)(272.19 M)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities3.55 B1.69 B(2.41 B)(2.96 B)(3.4 B)(3.49 B)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(356.8 M)(405.4 M)(529.7 M)(584.6 M)(526.14 M)(567.68 M)
Net Cash Flow from Financing11.25 B(5.82 B)615.9 M27.87 B16.07 B17.34 B
Net Cash Flow from Investing(14.02 B)4.33 B(3.4 B)(29.92 B)(18.6 B)(20.07 B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(12.79 B)5.86 B(2.34 B)(28.81 B)(25.93 B)(26.61 B)
Net Cash Flow from Operations1.72 B1.77 B2.59 B1.9 B1.36 B1.32 B
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash234.6 M(212.9 M)74.7 M84.6 M97.29 M104.97 M

Northern Trust Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Northern Trust or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Northern Trust's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Northern stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
-0.11
β
Beta against DOW1.32
σ
Overall volatility
2.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Northern Trust Volatility Alert

Northern Trust Corp exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.25 and kurtosis of 2.54. However, we advise investors to further study Northern Trust Corp technical indicators to ensure that all market info is available and is reliable. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Northern Trust's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Northern Trust's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Northern Trust Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Northern Trust's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Northern Trust's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Northern Trust and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Northern Trust or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Northern Trust's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Northern Trust by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Northern Trust to competition
FundamentalsNorthern TrustPeer Average
Return On Equity13.84 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset0.96 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin22.95 %(1.27) %
Current Valuation25.58 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding208.42 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.54 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions84.89 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted3.6 M4.71 M
Price to Earning12.77 X28.72 X
Price to Book1.93 X9.51 X
Price to Sales2.83 X11.42 X
Revenue6.91 B9.43 B
Gross Profit6.55 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.43 B3.9 B
Net Income1.53 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents11.58 B2.7 B
Cash per Share55.58 X5.01 X
Total Debt16.75 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity12.41 %48.70 %
Book Value Per Share48.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations282.3 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.90 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share7.35 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth2.93 X4.89 X
Number of Employees23.1 K18.84 K
Beta1.07-0.15
Market Capitalization19.56 B19.03 B
Total Asset116.75 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings10.8 B9.33 B
Z Score0.68.72
Five Year Return2.50 %
Last Dividend Paid0.75
   Acquisition by Marcy Klevorn of tradable shares of Northern Trust subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Northern Trust Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Northern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Northern Trust Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Northern Trust Corp? Buying financial instruments such as Northern Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Cash and Equivalents43.22 B64.27 B69.59 B75.08 B
Total Assets136.83 B170 B183.89 B149.3 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Northern Trust in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Insurance Providers Thematic Idea Now

Insurance Providers
Insurance Providers Theme
Companies providing all types of insurance and insurance services. The Insurance Providers theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Insurance Providers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additionally, see Northern Trust Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Northern Trust Corp price analysis, check to measure Northern Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Northern Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Northern Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Northern Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Northern Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Northern Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Northern Trust's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Northern Trust. If investors know Northern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Northern Trust listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
19.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.065
Return On Assets
0.0096
Return On Equity
0.14
The market value of Northern Trust Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Northern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Northern Trust's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Northern Trust's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Northern Trust's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Northern Trust's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Northern Trust's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Northern Trust value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Northern Trust's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.