Natuzzi Spa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NTZ Stock | USD 5.90 0.05 0.85% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Natuzzi SpA is 'Cautious Hold'. Macroaxis provides Natuzzi SpA buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NTZ positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Natuzzi SpA's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Natuzzi SpA's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 5.79 | Target Price 6.5 | Hype Value 5.9 | Market Value 5.9 | Naive Value 5.92 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Natuzzi SpA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Natuzzi SpA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Natuzzi SpA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Natuzzi |
Execute Natuzzi SpA Buy or Sell Advice
The Natuzzi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Natuzzi SpA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Natuzzi SpA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Natuzzi SpA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Natuzzi SpA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Natuzzi SpA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 321.86 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (12.24 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 169.03 M. | |
| About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Natuzzi Celebrates Its 65th Anniversary by Bringing Its Harmony and Its New Collections on the Stage of the High Point Market in US and of the Design Week in Milan |
Natuzzi SpA Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Natuzzi SpA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Natuzzi SpA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Natuzzi SpA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Natuzzi SpA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Natuzzi SpA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Natuzzi SpA.
| Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -2.62 | Potential Upside | 3.56 | Standard Deviation | 1.69 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Natuzzi SpA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Natuzzi Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Natuzzi SpA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natuzzi SpA backward and forwards among themselves. Natuzzi SpA's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Natuzzi SpA's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Kanen Wealth Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 1.2 M | Credit Suisse First Boston (csfb) | 2023-12-31 | 395 K | Benjamin F. Edwards & Company, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 135.5 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 124.9 K | Titleist Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 13 K | Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa | 2023-12-31 | 100.0 | Aspire Private Capital, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 30.0 | Wells Fargo & Co | 2023-12-31 | 0.0 | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 | Ubs Group Ag | 2023-09-30 | 0.0 |
Natuzzi SpA Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 14.5M | 4.8M | (16M) | 10.1M | 11.6M | 12.2M | |
| Change In Cash | (22.6M) | 8.3M | 6.1M | 500K | (15.1M) | (14.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (18K) | 9.4M | (4.5M) | 9.1M | 7.0M | 7.8M | |
| Depreciation | 25.1M | 24.2M | 21.4M | 21.7M | 24.9M | 20.1M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 492K | (928K) | 1.6M | (6.5M) | (5.9M) | (5.6M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 8.2M | 4.7M | 2.9M | 5.0M | 9.6M | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (33.7M) | (24.9M) | 4.4M | 1.3M | (12.2M) | (11.6M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 37.8M | 46.1M | 52.2M | 52.7M | 36.3M | 60.8M | |
| Change To Netincome | (316K) | 37M | (11.2M) | (2.4M) | (2.2M) | (2.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (24.5M) | (5.2M) | (2.8M) | (17.9M) | (16.1M) | (15.3M) | |
| Investments | (3.3M) | 2.3M | 7M | (4.7M) | (9.8M) | (9.4M) |
Natuzzi SpA Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Natuzzi SpA or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Natuzzi SpA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Natuzzi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Natuzzi SpA Volatility Alert
Natuzzi SpA exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.26 and kurtosis of 2.15. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Natuzzi SpA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Natuzzi SpA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Natuzzi SpA Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Natuzzi SpA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Natuzzi SpA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Natuzzi SpA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Natuzzi SpA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Natuzzi SpA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natuzzi SpA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Natuzzi SpA to competition |
| Fundamentals | Natuzzi SpA | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.2 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0058 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.05) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.01) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 112.64 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 11.01 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 56.23 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 17.21 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.44 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 27.77 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.76 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.20 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 321.86 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 169.03 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 6.07 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (12.24 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 54.48 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.86 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 98.39 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.34 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.06 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 7.98 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 16.61 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.64 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (1.19) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 6.5 | |
| Beta | 1.35 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 64.44 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 368.6 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 9.49 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 10.2 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 211 M | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 127 M | 7.9 B |
Natuzzi SpA Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natuzzi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Natuzzi SpA Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Natuzzi SpA? Buying financial instruments such as Natuzzi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 110.7M | 98.4M | 113.2M | 118.8M | Total Assets | 390M | 368.6M | 331.7M | 370.8M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Natuzzi SpA in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out Natuzzi SpA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Natuzzi Stock please use our How to Invest in Natuzzi SpA guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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When running Natuzzi SpA's price analysis, check to measure Natuzzi SpA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natuzzi SpA is operating at the current time. Most of Natuzzi SpA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natuzzi SpA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natuzzi SpA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natuzzi SpA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Natuzzi SpA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natuzzi SpA. If investors know Natuzzi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natuzzi SpA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.82) | Earnings Share (1.19) | Revenue Per Share 42.668 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) | Return On Assets (0.01) |
The market value of Natuzzi SpA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natuzzi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natuzzi SpA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natuzzi SpA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natuzzi SpA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natuzzi SpA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natuzzi SpA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natuzzi SpA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natuzzi SpA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.