Navigator Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NVGS Stock | USD 15.01 0.04 0.27% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Navigator Holdings is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Navigator Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NVGS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Navigator Holdings' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Navigator Holdings' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 16.94 | Target Price 18.67 | Hype Value 14.96 | Market Value 15.01 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Navigator Holdings given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Navigator Holdings. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Navigator Holdings, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Navigator |
Execute Navigator Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Navigator recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Navigator Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Navigator Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Navigator Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Navigator Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Navigator Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company currently holds 857.05 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.79, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Navigator Holdings has a current ratio of 0.88, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Navigator Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Navigator Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Navigator Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Navigator to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Navigator Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Navigator Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 60.0% of Navigator Holdings outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
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Navigator Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Navigator Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Navigator Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Navigator Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Navigator Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Navigator Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Navigator Holdings.
| Mean Return | -0.09 | Value At Risk | -2.21 | Potential Upside | 1.38 | Standard Deviation | 1.10 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Navigator Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Navigator Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Navigator Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Navigator Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Navigator Holdings' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Navigator Holdings' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Gamco Investors, Inc. Et Al | 2023-12-31 | 470 K | Acadian Asset Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 442 K | Minerva Advisors Llc | 2023-12-31 | 344.6 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 334.3 K | Needham Investment Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 306 K | Hodges Capital Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 276 K | Portolan Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 272.6 K | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2023-12-31 | 252.2 K | Amvescap Plc. | 238.5 K | Steinberg Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Gagnon Securities Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M |
Navigator Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (856K) | 1.2M | (2.7M) | 4.0M | (496K) | (520.8K) | |
| Change In Cash | (5.4M) | (6.9M) | 64.7M | 29.0M | 5.0M | 8.9M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 46.4M | 42.4M | 99.0M | 84.5M | 13.5M | 14.2M | |
| Depreciation | 76.2M | 76.7M | 88.5M | 126.2M | 129.2M | 135.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (12.0M) | (6.5M) | (19.9M) | (71.4M) | 8.4M | 8.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.3M | 2.3M | 3.5M | 45.8M | 192.0M | 99.3M | |
| Net Income | (16.6M) | 1.3M | (35.6M) | 54.9M | 82.3M | 86.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 66.1M | 59.3M | 124.0M | 153.2M | 158.2M | 85.1M | |
| Investments | (89.3M) | (17.4M) | 12.2M | 35.6M | (177.1M) | (168.3M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (24.8M) | 41.2M | (31.2M) | (66.1M) | (59.5M) | (56.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | (2.5M) | (14.0M) | (9.3M) | 30.4M | 35.0M | 36.7M |
Navigator Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Navigator Holdings or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Navigator Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Navigator stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Navigator Holdings Volatility Alert
Navigator Holdings exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.48 and kurtosis of 0.12. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Navigator Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Navigator Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Navigator Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Navigator Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Navigator Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Navigator Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Navigator Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Navigator Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Navigator Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Navigator Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Navigator Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0722 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0385 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.24 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.89 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 73.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 60.30 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 19.90 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 320.11 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 51.32 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.93 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.00 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 550.74 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 215.14 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 261.58 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 82.25 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 151.22 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.96 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 857.05 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.79 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.90 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 16.26 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 205.49 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.10 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 4.42 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 19.25 | |
| Number Of Employees | 175 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.47 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.1 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.22 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 390.22 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 69.93 M | 1.48 B |
Navigator Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Navigator . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2233.56 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1905 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 15.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.025 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.04 |
About Navigator Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Navigator Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Navigator Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Other Current Liabilities | 26.7M | 29.7M | 26.9M | 15.1M | Total Assets | 2.2B | 2.1B | 2.2B | 1.5B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Navigator Holdings in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Financials Thematic Idea Now
Financials
Companies that provide financial services to business or retail customers. The Financials theme has 20 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Financials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Navigator Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Navigator Stock please use our How to Invest in Navigator Holdings guide.Note that the Navigator Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Navigator Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Complementary Tools for Navigator Stock analysis
When running Navigator Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Navigator Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Navigator Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Navigator Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Navigator Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Navigator Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Navigator Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Navigator Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navigator Holdings. If investors know Navigator will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Navigator Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.854 | Dividend Share 0.15 | Earnings Share 1.1 | Revenue Per Share 7.433 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.149 |
The market value of Navigator Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Navigator that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Navigator Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Navigator Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Navigator Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Navigator Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Navigator Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Navigator Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navigator Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.