NVR Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NVR -- USA Stock  

USD 3,609  63.01  1.78%

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding NVR is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides NVR buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding NVR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of NVR available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from NVR buy-and-hold prospective. Please see also NVR Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Symbol
Execute Advice
Sell NVRBuy NVR
Strong Buy

Volatility

Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon NVR has a risk adjusted performance of 0.1307, jensen alpha of 0.2493, total risk alpha of 0.3381, sortino ratio of 0.1629 and treynor ratio of 0.2858
Macroaxis provides buy or sell recommendations on NVR to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on NVR. Our advice engine determines the firm potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure NVR is not overpriced, please verify all NVR fundamentals including its Current Ratio, and the relationship between EBITDA and Number of Employees . Given that NVR has Number of Shares Shorted of 64.51K, we recommend you check NVR market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself for the next few years given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

NVR Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 81.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

NVR current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price3,792.50
Target Mean Price3,796.25
Recommendation Mean2.50
Target High Price3,900.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions4
Target Low Price3,700.00

NVR Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.19Value At Risk3.18
Potential Upside2.68Standard Deviation1.50
 Return Density 
      Distribution 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Blackrock IncCommon Shares398.3 K1.3 B
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares305.1 K1 B
Price T Rowe Associates IncCommon Shares190 K640.5 M
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares179.8 K605.9 M
Fmr LlcCommon Shares172 K579.6 M
State Street CorpCommon Shares126.5 K426.2 M
Diamond Hill Capital Management IncCommon Shares105.8 K356.7 M

NVR Greeks

α
Alpha over DOW
=0.25
β
Beta against DOW=0.65
σ
Overall volatility
=1.50
Ir
Information ratio =0.19

NVR Volatility Alert

NVR has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.46 and kurtosis of 0.34. However, we advise all investors to independently investigate NVR to ensure market all accessible information is consistent with the expectations about its upside potential and future risk-adjusted return.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare NVR to competition

NVR Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsNVRPeer Average
Return On Equity44.36% (0.31)%
Return On Asset19.32% (0.14)%
Profit Margin11.22% (1.27)%
Operating Margin14.15% (5.51)%
Current Valuation12.27B16.62B
Shares Outstanding3.59M571.82M
Shares Owned by Insiders6.29% 10.09%
Shares Owned by Institutions80.50% 39.21%
Number of Shares Shorted64.51K4.71M
Price to Earning16.86X28.72X
Price to Book6.02X9.51X
Price to Sales1.74X11.42X
Revenue7.37B9.43B
Gross Profit1.42B27.38B
EBITDA1.04B3.9B
Net Income826.59M570.98M
Cash and Equivalents861.25M2.7B
Cash per Share235.62X5.01X
Total Debt685.32M5.32B
Debt to Equity32.30% 48.70%
Current Ratio4.34X2.16X
Book Value Per Share581.69X1.93K
Cash Flow from Operations693.02M971.22M
Short Ratio2.97X4.00X
Earnings Per Share207.54X3.12X
Price to Earnings To Growth1.61X4.89X
Number of Employees5.6K18.84K
Beta0.63-0.15
Market Capitalization12.79B19.03B
Total Asset1.18B29.47B
Retained Earnings1.76B9.33B
Working Capital1.06B1.48B
Current Asset1.43B9.34B
   Exercise or conversion by Jeffrey Martchek of 570 shares of NVR subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
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