Orion Engineered Carbons Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OEC Stock  USD 23.94  0.19  0.80%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Orion Engineered Carbons is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Orion Engineered buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OEC positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Orion Engineered's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Orion Engineered's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
19.96
Target Price
29.8
Hype Value
23.94
Market Value
23.94
Naive Value
22.89
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Orion Engineered Carbons given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Orion Engineered. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Orion Engineered Carbons, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Orion Engineered Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Orion and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Orion Engineered Carbons. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Orion Engineered Buy or Sell Advice

The Orion recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Orion Engineered Carbons. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Orion Engineered Carbons or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Orion Engineered's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Orion EngineeredBuy Orion Engineered
Strong Sell

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon Orion Engineered Carbons has a Mean Deviation of 1.46, Semi Deviation of 1.88, Standard Deviation of 1.87, Variance of 3.5, Downside Variance of 3.72 and Semi Variance of 3.52
Our recommendation module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Orion Engineered. It analyzes the company potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Orion Engineered is not overpriced, please check all Orion Engineered Carbons fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Orion Engineered Carbons has a price to earning of 63.13 X, we recommend you to check out Orion Engineered Carbons market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Orion Engineered Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 4th of April 2024 Orion Engineered paid $ 0.0207 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Equinox Gold Consolidates Ownership of the Greenstone Gold Mine, Arranges Term Loan and Bought Deal Equity Financing

Orion Engineered Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Orion Engineered's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Orion Engineered's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Orion Engineered daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Orion Engineered Carbons price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Orion Engineered returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Orion Engineered.
Mean Return
0.07
Value At Risk
-2.73
Potential Upside
3.10
Standard Deviation
1.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Orion Engineered historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Orion Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Orion Engineered is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Orion Engineered Carbons backward and forwards among themselves. Orion Engineered's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Orion Engineered's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2023-12-31
1.4 M
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2023-12-31
1.4 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
1.2 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.2 M
Gmt Capital Corp2023-12-31
1.2 M
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
921.4 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
899.3 K
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
837.7 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2023-12-31
747.2 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
4.1 M
Pzena Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
M
Note, although Orion Engineered's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Orion Engineered Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory16.4M30.0M(94.9M)(60.1M)(7.7M)(8.1M)
Change In Cash2.1M(3.4M)(2.2M)(7.7M)(23.2M)(22.0M)
Free Cash Flow75.7M(19.7M)(69.5M)(151.8M)173.1M181.8M
Depreciation96.7M96.5M104.1M105.7M113M106.5M
Other Non Cash Items4.9M7.2M(4.4M)(6.8M)(400K)(380K)
Capital Expenditures155.8M144.9M214.7M232.8M172.8M140.3M
Net Income86.9M18.2M134.7M106.2M103.5M67.6M
End Period Cash Flow63.7M64.9M65.7M60.8M40.2M57.1M
Net Borrowings(12.4M)26.8M76.2M160.3M184.3M193.6M
Dividends Paid47.7M48.0M12.0M5M4.9M4.7M
Change To Netincome28.1M(2.6M)17M6.2M5.6M5.3M
Investments(155.8M)(144.9M)(214.7M)(232.8M)(176.7M)(185.5M)

Orion Engineered Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Orion Engineered or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Orion Engineered's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Orion stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.05
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.39
σ
Overall volatility
1.78
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Orion Engineered Volatility Alert

Orion Engineered Carbons has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.19 and kurtosis of 0.32. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Orion Engineered's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Orion Engineered's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Orion Engineered Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Orion Engineered's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Orion Engineered's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Orion Engineered and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Orion Engineered or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Orion Engineered's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Orion Engineered by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Orion Engineered to competition
FundamentalsOrion EngineeredPeer Average
Return On Equity0.22-0.31
Return On Asset0.0719-0.14
Profit Margin0.05 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.07 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.26 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding57.9 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.18 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions95.69 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted844.84 K4.71 M
Price To Earning63.13 X28.72 X
Price To Book2.94 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.74 X11.42 X
Revenue1.89 B9.43 B
Gross Profit448.8 M27.38 B
EBITDA317.6 M3.9 B
Net Income103.5 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents60.8 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.67 X5.01 X
Total Debt927.2 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity2.23 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.39 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share8.26 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations345.9 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.42 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share1.73 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.25 X4.89 X
Target Price30.8
Number Of Employees1.65 K18.84 K
Beta1.65-0.15
Market Capitalization1.39 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.83 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings417.6 M9.33 B
Working Capital205.8 M1.48 B
Note: Purchase by Corning Painter of 35000 shares of Orion Engineered [view details]

Orion Engineered Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Orion . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Orion Engineered Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Orion Engineered Carbons? Buying financial instruments such as Orion Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total782.9M915.3M927.2M759.8M
Total Assets1.6B1.9B1.8B1.5B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Orion Engineered in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Climate Change Thematic Idea Now

Climate Change
Climate Change Theme
Large and medium sized entities that are committing to fully or partially replace some traditional services or products with renewables sources of energy in order to combat global climate change. The Climate Change theme has 41 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Climate Change Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Orion Engineered Carbons offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Orion Engineered's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Orion Engineered Carbons Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Orion Engineered Carbons Stock:
Check out Orion Engineered Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the Orion Engineered Carbons information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Orion Engineered's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.

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When running Orion Engineered's price analysis, check to measure Orion Engineered's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orion Engineered is operating at the current time. Most of Orion Engineered's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orion Engineered's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orion Engineered's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orion Engineered to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Orion Engineered's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Orion Engineered. If investors know Orion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Orion Engineered listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.59)
Dividend Share
0.083
Earnings Share
1.73
Revenue Per Share
32.103
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
The market value of Orion Engineered Carbons is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Orion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Orion Engineered's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Orion Engineered's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Orion Engineered's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Orion Engineered's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Orion Engineered's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Orion Engineered is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Orion Engineered's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.