Universal Display Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OLED Stock  USD 152.22  2.41  1.61%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Universal Display is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Universal Display buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OLED positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Universal Display's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Universal Display's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
169.03
Target Price
177.82
Hype Value
152.23
Market Value
152.22
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Universal Display given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Universal Display. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Universal Display, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Universal Display Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Universal Stock refer to our How to Trade Universal Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Universal and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Universal Display. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income.

Execute Universal Display Buy or Sell Advice

The Universal recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Universal Display. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Universal Display or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Universal Display's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Universal DisplayBuy Universal Display
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Universal Display has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07), Jensen Alpha of (0.35), Total Risk Alpha of (0.49) and Treynor Ratio of (0.17)
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Universal Display to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Universal Display. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Universal Display is not overpriced, please validate all Universal Display fundamentals, including its shares owned by institutions, gross profit, debt to equity, as well as the relationship between the price to book and cash and equivalents . Given that Universal Display has a price to earning of 38.39 X, we advise you to double-check Universal Display market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Universal Display Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Universal Display generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Universal Display has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from businesswire.com: Universal Display Corporation Receives 2024 Outstanding Strategic Partner Award from BOE

Universal Display Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Universal Display's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Universal Display's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Universal Display daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Universal Display price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Universal Display returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Universal Display.
Mean Return
-0.23
Value At Risk
-2.78
Potential Upside
2.96
Standard Deviation
1.95
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Universal Display historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Universal Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Universal Display is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Universal Display backward and forwards among themselves. Universal Display's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Universal Display's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Copeland Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
544.8 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
528.5 K
Hovey Youngman Associates Inc2023-12-31
511.6 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2023-12-31
449.6 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-12-31
422.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
415 K
Neuberger Berman Group Llc2023-12-31
406.1 K
Hardman Johnston Global Advisors Llc2023-12-31
383 K
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2023-09-30
366.4 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
4.5 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
M
Note, although Universal Display's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Universal Display Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(79.4M)498.4M(318.0M)(218.6M)(1.4M)(1.4M)
Free Cash Flow163.5M120.7M147.6M79.6M28.4M27.0M
Other Non Cash Items(130.3M)(182.2M)(213.5M)5.8M(8.5M)(8.9M)
Capital Expenditures30.5M28.1M43.6M47.2M126.4M132.7M
Net Income138.3M133.4M184.2M210.1M203.0M213.2M
End Period Cash Flow131.6M630.0M312.0M93.4M92.0M93.9M
Depreciation34.4M37.2M42.0M42.3M43.4M45.6M
Change To Inventory109K(28.8M)(46.1M)(49.1M)7.4M7.8M
Investments(208.3M)419.3M(414.2M)(280.7M)(158.3M)(150.4M)
Change To Netincome(118.3M)30.6M50.5M15.2M17.5M9.7M
Dividends Paid18.9M28.4M37.9M57.0M66.7M70.1M

Universal Display Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Universal Display or Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Universal Display's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Universal stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.35
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.37
σ
Overall volatility
1.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Universal Display Volatility Alert

Universal Display exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.82 and kurtosis of 2.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Universal Display's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Universal Display's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Universal Display Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Universal Display's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Universal Display's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Universal Display and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Universal Display or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Universal Display's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Display by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Universal Display to competition
FundamentalsUniversal DisplayPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0848-0.14
Profit Margin0.35 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.41 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation6.72 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding47.37 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders7.70 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.93 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted908.48 K4.71 M
Price To Earning38.39 X28.72 X
Price To Book5.23 X9.51 X
Price To Sales13.14 X11.42 X
Revenue576.43 M9.43 B
Gross Profit479.52 M27.38 B
EBITDA260.59 M3.9 B
Net Income203.01 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents653.35 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share13.83 X5.01 X
Total Debt22.86 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.02 %48.70 %
Current Ratio6.01 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share30.55 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations154.78 M971.22 M
Short Ratio2.80 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share4.25 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.04 X4.89 X
Target Price204.11
Number Of Employees45618.84 K
Beta1.45-0.15
Market Capitalization7.21 B19.03 B
Total Asset1.67 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings789.55 M9.33 B
Working Capital798.31 M1.48 B
Note: Acquisition by Sidney Rosenblatt of 314 shares of Universal Display subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Universal Display Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Universal . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Universal Display Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Universal Display? Buying financial instruments such as Universal Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Total Current Liabilities187.9M135.7M118.8M124.8M
Other Current Liabilities6.6M76.8M8.1M7.0M

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Universal Display in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Aircraft
Aircraft Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Aircraft theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aircraft Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Universal Display is a strong investment it is important to analyze Universal Display's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Universal Display's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Universal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Universal Display Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For information on how to trade Universal Stock refer to our How to Trade Universal Stock guide.
Note that the Universal Display information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Universal Display's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Universal Stock analysis

When running Universal Display's price analysis, check to measure Universal Display's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Universal Display is operating at the current time. Most of Universal Display's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Universal Display's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Universal Display's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Universal Display to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Universal Display's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Display. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Display listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Dividend Share
1.4
Earnings Share
4.25
Revenue Per Share
12.12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Universal Display is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Display's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Display's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Display's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Display's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Display's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Display is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Display's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.