Old Point Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| OPOF Stock | USD 14.75 0.14 0.94% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Old Point Financial is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Old Point buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OPOF positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Old Point's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Old Point's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 13.13 | Hype Value 14.89 | Market Value 14.75 | Naive Value 14.96 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Old Point Financial given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Old Point. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Old Point Financial, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Old |
Execute Old Point Buy or Sell Advice
The Old recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Old Point Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Old Point Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Old Point's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Old Point Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Old Point Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Old Point Financial Research Coverage Started at StockNews.com - Defense World |
Old Point Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Old Point's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Old Point's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Old Point daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Old Point Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Old Point returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Old Point.
| Mean Return | -0.25 | Value At Risk | -2.9 | Potential Upside | 3.16 | Standard Deviation | 2.04 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Old Point historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Old Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Old Point is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Old Point Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Old Point's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Old Point's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Empowered Funds, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 15 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 14.5 K | Mill Capital Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 11.9 K | State Street Corporation | 2023-12-31 | 10.2 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 8.2 K | Pnc Financial Services Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 2.1 K | Sandy Spring Bank | 2023-12-31 | 548 | Fmr Inc | 2023-12-31 | 125 | Advisor Group Holdings, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 59.0 | Pl Capital Advisors, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 604.8 K | Fj Capital Management Llc | 2023-09-30 | 360 K |
Old Point Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 47.6M | 30.6M | 67.5M | (168.7M) | 59.5M | 62.5M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 10.6M | (9.6M) | 21.7M | 16.2M | 10.0M | 5.4M | |
| Depreciation | 2.5M | 2.5M | 2.4M | 2.4M | 2.6M | 1.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 164K | (532K) | 827K | 2.3M | 2.4M | 2.6M | |
| Dividends Paid | 2.5M | 2.5M | 2.6M | 2.6M | 2.8M | 2.0M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.8M | 924K | 1.5M | 1.4M | 1.1M | 1.0M | |
| Net Income | 7.9M | 5.4M | 8.4M | 9.1M | 7.7M | 5.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 89.9M | 120.4M | 187.9M | 19.3M | 78.8M | 82.7M | |
| Investments | 4.4M | (35.8M) | (60.7M) | (213.4M) | (108.1M) | (102.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (9.9M) | (37.9M) | (13.9M) | (2.2M) | (2.5M) | (2.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 2.4M | (235K) | (905K) | 1.3M | 1.2M | 980.6K |
Old Point Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Old Point or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Old Point's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Old stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.3 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Old Point Volatility Alert
Old Point Financial exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.93 and kurtosis of 2.55. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Old Point's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Old Point's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Old Point Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Old Point's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Old Point's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Old Point and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Old Point or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Old Point's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Old Point by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Old Point to competition |
| Fundamentals | Old Point | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0752 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0055 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.13 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 99.04 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 5.04 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 23.80 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 37.13 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.43 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 16.62 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.69 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 80.28 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 56.24 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 533 K | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 7.73 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 86.82 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 17.31 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 102.75 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 8.63 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 21.19 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 11.04 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.02 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.54 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 15.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 291 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.21 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 75.05 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 1.45 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 82.28 M | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.04 % | |
| Five Year Return | 2.10 % | |
| Net Asset | 1.45 B |
Note: Small acquisition by Joseph Witt of tradable shares of Old Point subject to Section 16 [view details]
Old Point Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Old . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Old Point Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Old Point Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Old Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 29.4M | 75.6M | 102.7M | 107.9M | Total Assets | 1.3B | 1.4B | 1.4B | 836.2M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Old Point in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Giant Impact Thematic Idea Now
Giant Impact
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Old Point Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Old Stock analysis
When running Old Point's price analysis, check to measure Old Point's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Old Point is operating at the current time. Most of Old Point's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Old Point's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Old Point's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Old Point to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Old Point's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Old Point. If investors know Old will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Old Point listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share 11.835 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
The market value of Old Point Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Old that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Old Point's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Old Point's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Old Point's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Old Point's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Old Point's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Old Point is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Old Point's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.