OReilly Automotive (Brazil) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ORLY34 Stock | BRL 18.26 0.02 0.11% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding OReilly Automotive is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides OReilly Automotive buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ORLY34 positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of OReilly Automotive's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting OReilly Automotive's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 14.49 | Hype Value 18.26 | Market Value 18.26 | Naive Value 18.69 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell OReilly Automotive given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards OReilly Automotive. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for OReilly Automotive, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
OReilly |
Execute OReilly Automotive Buy or Sell Advice
The OReilly recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on OReilly Automotive. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in OReilly Automotive or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute OReilly Automotive's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Good | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
OReilly Automotive Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company has accumulated 3.83 B in total debt. OReilly Automotive has a current ratio of 0.77, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist OReilly Automotive until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, OReilly Automotive's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like OReilly Automotive sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for OReilly to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about OReilly Automotive's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
OReilly Automotive Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of OReilly Automotive's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of OReilly Automotive's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of OReilly Automotive daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use OReilly Automotive price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of OReilly Automotive returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for OReilly Automotive.
| Mean Return | 0.20 | Value At Risk | -2.21 | Potential Upside | 2.06 | Standard Deviation | 1.31 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of OReilly Automotive historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
OReilly Automotive Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to OReilly Automotive or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that OReilly Automotive's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a OReilly stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
OReilly Automotive Volatility Alert
OReilly Automotive currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.09 and Jensen Alpha of 0.21. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure OReilly Automotive's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact OReilly Automotive's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.OReilly Automotive Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing OReilly Automotive's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze OReilly Automotive's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between OReilly Automotive and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as OReilly Automotive or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of OReilly Automotive's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OReilly Automotive by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare OReilly Automotive to competition |
| Fundamentals | OReilly Automotive | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.15 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.15 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 305.84 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 19.33 B | 571.82 M |
| Price To Earning | 23.05 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 1,247 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 13.33 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 7.38 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 3.25 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 2.16 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 610.88 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 1.75 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 3.83 B | 5.32 B |
| Current Ratio | 0.79 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (3.40) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 3.21 B | 971.22 M |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.60 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.93 X | 4.89 X |
| Number Of Employees | 85.13 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.91 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 272.36 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 11.72 B | 29.47 B |
| Z Score | 43.6 | 8.72 |
| Net Asset | 11.72 B |
OReilly Automotive Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as OReilly . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.26 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.26 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 |
About OReilly Automotive Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell OReilly Automotive? Buying financial instruments such as OReilly Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having OReilly Automotive in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Giant Impact Thematic Idea Now
Giant Impact
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out OReilly Automotive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade OReilly Stock refer to our How to Trade OReilly Stock guide.Note that the OReilly Automotive information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other OReilly Automotive's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for OReilly Stock analysis
When running OReilly Automotive's price analysis, check to measure OReilly Automotive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OReilly Automotive is operating at the current time. Most of OReilly Automotive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OReilly Automotive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OReilly Automotive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OReilly Automotive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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