Overseas Shipholding Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OSG Stock  USD 5.93  0.02  0.34%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Overseas Shipholding Group is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Overseas Shipholding buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding OSG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Overseas Shipholding's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Overseas Shipholding's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
7.72
Target Price
13
Hype Value
5.91
Market Value
5.93
Naive Value
5.68
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Overseas Shipholding Group given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Overseas Shipholding. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Overseas Shipholding Group, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Overseas Shipholding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Overseas and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Overseas Shipholding Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.

Execute Overseas Shipholding Buy or Sell Advice

The Overseas recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Overseas Shipholding Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Overseas Shipholding Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Overseas Shipholding's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Overseas ShipholdingBuy Overseas Shipholding
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Overseas Shipholding Group has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0388, Jensen Alpha of 0.0314, Total Risk Alpha of (0.10), Sortino Ratio of 0.0198 and Treynor Ratio of 0.086
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on Overseas Shipholding. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Overseas Shipholding is not overpriced, please check all Overseas Shipholding fundamentals, including its total debt, market capitalization, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that Overseas Shipholding has a price to earning of 8.76 X, we recommend you to check out Overseas Shipholding market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Overseas Shipholding Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has 573.89 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.71, which is OK given its current industry classification. Overseas Shipholding has a current ratio of 0.74, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Overseas Shipholding until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Overseas Shipholding's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Overseas Shipholding sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Overseas to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Overseas Shipholding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 31.0% of Overseas Shipholding outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
On 11th of April 2024 Overseas Shipholding paid $ 0.06 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 29663 shares by Samuel Norton of Overseas Shipholding at 5.9236 subject to Rule 16b-3

Overseas Shipholding Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Overseas Shipholding's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Overseas Shipholding's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Overseas Shipholding daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Overseas Shipholding Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Overseas Shipholding returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Overseas Shipholding.
Mean Return
0.11
Value At Risk
-3.04
Potential Upside
3.03
Standard Deviation
2.11
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Overseas Shipholding historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Overseas Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Overseas Shipholding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Overseas Shipholding Group backward and forwards among themselves. Overseas Shipholding's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Overseas Shipholding's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
American Century Companies Inc2023-12-31
989.6 K
Bridgeway Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
976.4 K
Hillsdale Investment Management Inc.2023-12-31
860.7 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2023-12-31
740.3 K
Portolan Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
706.5 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
656.5 K
Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership2023-12-31
636.4 K
Brightline Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
560 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
556 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
4.4 M
Note, although Overseas Shipholding's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Overseas Shipholding Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash(39.0M)28.1M13.4M(4.5M)(2.5M)(2.4M)
Free Cash Flow(59.9M)(9.9M)(19.6M)66.5M72.2M75.8M
Depreciation52.5M58.5M61.8M70.6M67.2M100.4M
Other Non Cash Items86.5M51.4M86.2M74.6M43.8M45.9M
Capital Expenditures133.3M62.6M7.8M6.4M30.8M29.2M
Net Income8.7M30.0M(46.3M)26.6M62.5M65.6M
End Period Cash Flow41.7M69.8M83.3M78.7M76.3M72.4M
Change To Netincome5.1M13.0M(11.8M)9.9M8.9M8.5M
Investments(129.9M)(78.2M)24.3M(14.8M)(30.8M)(32.3M)
Change Receivables2.5M(3.9M)(384K)(5.1M)(4.6M)(4.4M)
Net Borrowings20.7M58.0M283.0M(22.5M)(25.9M)(27.2M)

Overseas Shipholding Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Overseas Shipholding or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Overseas Shipholding's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Overseas stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.15
σ
Overall volatility
2.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Overseas Shipholding Volatility Alert

Overseas Shipholding Group currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.02 and Jensen Alpha of 0.03. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Overseas Shipholding's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Overseas Shipholding's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Overseas Shipholding Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Overseas Shipholding's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Overseas Shipholding's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Overseas Shipholding and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Overseas Shipholding or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Overseas Shipholding's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Overseas Shipholding by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Overseas Shipholding to competition
FundamentalsOverseas ShipholdingPeer Average
Return On Equity0.18-0.31
Return On Asset0.0554-0.14
Profit Margin0.14 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.23 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation904.9 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding70.95 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders30.93 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions54.94 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted508.69 K4.71 M
Price To Earning8.76 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.20 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.94 X11.42 X
Revenue451.87 M9.43 B
Gross Profit160.81 M27.38 B
EBITDA169.23 M3.9 B
Net Income62.45 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents78.73 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.96 X5.01 X
Total Debt573.89 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.71 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.75 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.99 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations102.96 M971.22 M
Short Ratio1.41 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.77 X3.12 X
Target Price13.0
Number Of Employees1.08 K18.84 K
Beta0.37-0.15
Market Capitalization420.75 M19.03 B
Total Asset1.08 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings(174.82 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(54.9 M)1.48 B
Current Asset623.93 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 4386 shares by Richard Trueblood of Overseas Shipholding at 6.29 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Overseas Shipholding Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Overseas . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Overseas Shipholding Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Overseas Shipholding Group? Buying financial instruments such as Overseas Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total640.9M657.1M573.9M1.1B
Total Assets1.1B1.1B1.1B1.0B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Overseas Shipholding in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Farming Thematic Idea Now

Farming
Farming Theme
Companies producing farming products and providing services for farmers. The Farming theme has 40 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Farming Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch
When determining whether Overseas Shipholding is a strong investment it is important to analyze Overseas Shipholding's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Overseas Shipholding's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Overseas Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Overseas Shipholding Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for Overseas Stock analysis

When running Overseas Shipholding's price analysis, check to measure Overseas Shipholding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Overseas Shipholding is operating at the current time. Most of Overseas Shipholding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Overseas Shipholding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Overseas Shipholding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Overseas Shipholding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
AI Investment Finder
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Odds Of Bankruptcy
Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Idea Optimizer
Use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio
Is Overseas Shipholding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Overseas Shipholding. If investors know Overseas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Overseas Shipholding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.247
Dividend Share
0.06
Earnings Share
0.77
Revenue Per Share
5.757
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Overseas Shipholding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Overseas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Overseas Shipholding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Overseas Shipholding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Overseas Shipholding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Overseas Shipholding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Overseas Shipholding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Overseas Shipholding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Overseas Shipholding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.