Petmed Express Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PETS Stock  USD 4.13  0.02  0.48%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding PetMed Express is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides PetMed Express buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PETS positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of PetMed Express' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting PetMed Express' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
3.49
Target Price
15
Hype Value
4.15
Market Value
4.13
Naive Value
4.14
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell PetMed Express given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards PetMed Express. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for PetMed Express, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out PetMed Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy PetMed Stock please use our How to Invest in PetMed Express guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as PetMed and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards PetMed Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute PetMed Express Buy or Sell Advice

The PetMed recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on PetMed Express. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in PetMed Express or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute PetMed Express' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PetMed ExpressBuy PetMed Express
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

HoldDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

UnavailableDetails
For the selected time horizon PetMed Express has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19), Jensen Alpha of (0.80), Total Risk Alpha of (1.03) and Treynor Ratio of (0.75)
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on PetMed Express. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure PetMed Express is not overpriced, please check all PetMed Express fundamentals, including its short ratio, and the relationship between the net income and market capitalization . Given that PetMed Express has a price to earning of 12.75 X, we recommend you to check out PetMed Express market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

PetMed Express Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

PetMed Express generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 5000 shares by Robert Schweitzer of PetMed Express at 48.6 subject to Rule 16b-3

PetMed Express Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of PetMed Express' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of PetMed Express' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of PetMed Express daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use PetMed Express price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of PetMed Express returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for PetMed Express.
Mean Return
-0.71
Value At Risk
-3.88
Potential Upside
2.40
Standard Deviation
2.26
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of PetMed Express historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

PetMed Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as PetMed Express is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PetMed Express backward and forwards among themselves. PetMed Express' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase PetMed Express' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
453.1 K
Oaktop Capital Management Ii Lp2023-12-31
435.8 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2023-12-31
427 K
Qube Research & Technologies2023-12-31
355.9 K
Hrt Financial Llc2023-12-31
297 K
Aqr Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
271.4 K
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2023-12-31
255.4 K
Allianz Asset Management Ag2023-12-31
250.3 K
Invenomic Capital Management, Lp2023-12-31
215.8 K
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2023-12-31
1.3 M
Note, although PetMed Express' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

PetMed Express Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory3.5M(16.5M)2.0M13.4M15.4M16.2M
Change In Cash3.2M15.0M(7.6M)(7.0M)(8.0M)(7.6M)
Free Cash Flow36.5M37.6M16.7M22.5M25.9M19.6M
Depreciation2.3M2.4M2.7M3.5M4.1M4.3M
Other Non Cash Items191K130K165K214K192.6K261.9K
Capital Expenditures2.3M2.4M1.8M5.3M6.0M6.4M
Net Income25.9M30.6M21.1M233K268.0K254.6K
End Period Cash Flow103.8M118.7M111.1M104.1M119.7M125.7M
Change To Netincome2.9M3.7M4.4M5.3M6.1M6.4M
Dividends Paid21.8M22.7M24.4M24.5M28.2M19.7M
Investments(2.3M)(2.4M)(1.8M)(10.3M)(9.2M)(8.8M)
Change Receivables(1.5M)1.1M509K(41K)(47.2K)(49.5K)

PetMed Express Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to PetMed Express or Internet & Direct Marketing Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that PetMed Express' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a PetMed stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.8
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.95
σ
Overall volatility
2.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.35

PetMed Express Volatility Alert

PetMed Express exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.87 and kurtosis of 2.77. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure PetMed Express' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact PetMed Express' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

PetMed Express Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing PetMed Express' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze PetMed Express' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between PetMed Express and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as PetMed Express or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of PetMed Express' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PetMed Express by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare PetMed Express to competition
FundamentalsPetMed ExpressPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.0228-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0068-0.14
Profit Margin(0.01) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.05) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation34.91 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding21.15 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders4.42 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions75.07 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.9 M4.71 M
Price To Earning12.75 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.78 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.33 X11.42 X
Revenue256.86 M9.43 B
Gross Profit78.08 M27.38 B
EBITDA2.12 M3.9 B
Net Income233 K570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents105.41 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.21 X5.01 X
Current Ratio5.61 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share4.90 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations27.8 M971.22 M
Short Ratio14.32 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.37) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.58 X4.89 X
Target Price7.75
Number Of Employees30218.84 K
Beta0.7-0.15
Market Capitalization87.77 M19.03 B
Total Asset164.12 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings105.49 M9.33 B
Working Capital94.95 M1.48 B
Current Asset67.63 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities7.08 M7.9 B
Note: Disposition of 5000 shares by Robert Schweitzer of PetMed Express at 48.6 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

PetMed Express Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as PetMed . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About PetMed Express Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell PetMed Express? Buying financial instruments such as PetMed Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having PetMed Express in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Run Aggressive Defence Thematic Idea Now

Aggressive Defence
Aggressive Defence Theme
Macroaxis small cap, aggressive-outlook picks designed for investors that are willing to accept higher levels of risk to hedge exposure to above-average market volatility. The Aggressive Defence theme has 50 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aggressive Defence Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether PetMed Express is a strong investment it is important to analyze PetMed Express' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact PetMed Express' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding PetMed Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out PetMed Express Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy PetMed Stock please use our How to Invest in PetMed Express guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.

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Is PetMed Express' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PetMed Express. If investors know PetMed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PetMed Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.59)
Dividend Share
0.9
Earnings Share
(0.37)
Revenue Per Share
13.599
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.11
The market value of PetMed Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PetMed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PetMed Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PetMed Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PetMed Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PetMed Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PetMed Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PetMed Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PetMed Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.