Procter Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PG -  USA Stock  

USD 147.12  1.90  1.27%

Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Procter Gamble is 'Strong Buy'. Macroaxis provides Procter Gamble buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PG positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Procter Gamble's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.

Procter Advice 

 
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The advice is provided from Procter Gamble's buy-and-hold perspective. Please check Procter Gamble Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. We conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Procter and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on selected investing horizon and risk tolerance towards Procter Gamble.

Execute Procter Gamble Buy or Sell Advice

The Procter recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Procter Gamble. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Procter Gamble or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Procter Gamble's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Procter GambleBuy Procter Gamble
Strong Buy

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Very StrongDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Procter Gamble has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0857, Jensen Alpha of 0.0749, Total Risk Alpha of 0.0803, Sortino Ratio of 0.1137 and Treynor Ratio of 0.1659
Macroaxis provides advice on Procter Gamble to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Procter Gamble. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Procter Gamble is not overpriced, please check all Procter Gamble fundamentals, including its revenue, cash flow from operations, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash per share and beta . Given that Procter Gamble has a price to earning of 27.05 X, we recommend you to check out Procter Gamble market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Procter Gamble Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reports 32.84 B of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.7, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Procter Gamble has a current ratio of 0.69, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time.
About 65.0% of Procter Gamble shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from www.nasdaq.com: Procter Gamble Co. Shares Near 52-Week High - Market Mover - Nasdaq

Procter Gamble current analysts advice

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Procter analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Procter analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Mean Price153.00
Target Median Price156.00
Target High Price164.00
Recommendation Mean2.50
Number Of Analyst Opinions21
Target Low Price124.00
Average Consensus Buy
The consensus estimates and target price estimation comprises individual analyst assessments, and may or may not mutch the Macroaxis buy or sell advice. It is determined by taking an average of all analyst recommendations and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, or Sell.

Procter Gamble Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Procter Gamble's historical returns is an attempt to chart the future uncertainty of Procter Gamble's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Procter Gamble stock daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Procter Gamble price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Procter Gamble returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Procter Gamble stock.
Mean Return0.08Value At Risk-1.18
Potential Upside1.11Standard Deviation0.70
 Return Density 
      Distribution 
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Procter Gamble historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Procter Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Procter Gamble is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Procter Gamble backward and forwards among themselves. Procter Gamble's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Procter Gamble's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares214.7 M30 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares155 M21.7 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares103.7 M14.5 B
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares47.7 M6.7 B
Geode Capital Management LlcCommon Shares42.5 M5.9 B
Morgan StanleyCommon Shares34.8 M4.9 B
Northern Trust CorpCommon Shares31.9 M4.5 B
Note, although Procter Gamble's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Procter Gamble Cash Flow Accounts

201620172018201920202021 (projected)
Capital Expenditure(3.31 B)(3.38 B)(3.72 B)(3.35 B)(3.01 B)(3.25 B)
Depreciation Amortization and Accretion3.08 B2.82 B2.83 B2.82 B2.54 B2.6 B
Net Cash Flow or Change in Cash and Cash Equivalents266 M(2.53 B)(3 B)1.67 B1.5 B1.62 B
Net Cash Flow Business Acquisitions and Disposals(1.32 B)(491 M)(109 M)(3.94 B)(3.55 B)(3.64 B)
Issuance Purchase of Equity Shares(1.33 B)(2.73 B)(5.83 B)(1.68 B)(1.93 B)(2.08 B)
Issuance Repayment of Debt Securities1.28 B1.4 B(1.24 B)(817 M)(939.55 M)(1.01 B)
Payment of Dividends and Other Cash Distributions(7.44 B)(7.24 B)(7.31 B)(7.5 B)(6.75 B)(7.28 B)
Net Cash Flow from Financing(8.57 B)(14.38 B)(9.99 B)(8.37 B)(21.53 B)(23.23 B)
Net Cash Flow from Investing(5.69 B)(3.51 B)(3.49 B)3.04 B(2.83 B)(3.06 B)
Net Cash Flow Investment Acquisitions and Disposals(1.37 B)(3.38 B)46 M3.41 B3.92 B4.23 B
Net Cash Flow from Operations12.75 B14.87 B15.24 B17.4 B18.37 B15.99 B
Effect of Exchange Rate Changes on Cash(381 M)(29 M)19 M(88 M)(101.2 M)(109.19 M)
Share Based Compensation335 M351 M395 M515 M463.5 M412.33 M

Procter Gamble Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Procter Gamble or Consumer Defensive sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Procter Gamble stock's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Procter stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over DOW
0.07
β
Beta against DOW0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Procter Gamble Volatility Alert

Procter Gamble exhibits relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.2 and kurtosis of -0.36. However, we advice investors to further investigate Procter Gamble to ensure all market statistics is disseminated and is consistent with investors' estimations about Procter Gamble upside potential. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Procter Gamble's stock risk against market volatility during both bullying and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Procter Gamble's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different stocks as prices fall.

Procter Gamble Implied Volatility

Procter Gamble's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Procter Gamble stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Procter Gamble's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Procter Gamble stock will not fluctuate a lot when Procter Gamble's options are near their expiration.

Procter Gamble Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Procter Gamble's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Procter Gamble's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Procter Gamble and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Procter Gamble or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Procter Gamble's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Procter Gamble by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Procter Gamble to competition
FundamentalsProcter GamblePeer Average
Return On Equity30.69 %(0.31) %
Return On Asset9.79 %(0.14) %
Profit Margin18.79 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin28.28 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation374.07 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.45 B571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.11 %10.09 %
Shares Owned by Institutions65.48 %39.21 %
Number of Shares Shorted17.47 M4.71 M
Price to Earning27.05 X28.72 X
Price to Book7.88 X9.51 X
Price to Sales4.73 X11.42 X
Revenue76.12 B9.43 B
Gross Profit39.14 B27.38 B
EBITDA21.53 B3.9 B
Net Income14.04 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents10.29 B2.7 B
Cash per Share4.24 X5.01 X
Total Debt32.84 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity0.70 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.70 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share18.68 X1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations18.37 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.07 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share5.44 X3.12 X
Price to Earnings To Growth3.39 X4.89 X
Number of Employees101 K18.84 K
Beta0.42-0.15
Market Capitalization360.18 B19.03 B
Total Asset127.14 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings104.59 B9.33 B
Working Capital3.01 B1.48 B
Current Asset33.78 B9.34 B
   Exercise or conversion by Homan Michael G of 10000 shares of Procter Gamble subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Procter Gamble Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Procter . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Daily Balance Of Power(9,223,372,036,855)
Rate Of Daily Change0.99
Day Median Price147.12
Day Typical Price147.12
Price Action Indicator(0.95)

About Procter Gamble Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Procter Gamble? Buying financial instruments such as Procter Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the stock market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Although Procter Gamble investors may find it confusing at the beginning, most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Receivables4.95 B4.18 B4.72 B5.52 B
Inventories5.02 B5.5 B5.98 B6.53 B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Procter Gamble in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Cars Thematic Idea Now

Cars
Cars Theme
Domestic and international companies involved in manufacturing and serving automobiles and trucks. Cars theme has 30 constituents.
View All  Next Launch Cars
Please check Procter Gamble Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note that the Procter Gamble information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Procter Gamble's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Analyst Recommendations module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Procter Stock analysis

When running Procter Gamble price analysis, check to measure Procter Gamble's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Procter Gamble is operating at the current time. Most of Procter Gamble's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Procter Gamble's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Procter Gamble's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Procter Gamble to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Procter Gamble's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Procter Gamble. If investors know Procter will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Procter Gamble listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Procter Gamble is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Procter that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Procter Gamble's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Procter Gamble's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Procter Gamble's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Procter Gamble's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Procter Gamble's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Procter Gamble value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Procter Gamble's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.