Progressive Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

PGR -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

Considering 30-days investment horizon, and your above average risk tolerance our recommendation regarding Progressive Corporation is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Progressive buy hold or sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PGR positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Progressive available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. The advice is provided from PGR buy-and-hold prospective. Additionally take a look at Progressive Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for muliple equity instruments please use Instant Ratings tool.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ProgressiveBuy Progressive
Strong Hold


Hype Condition

Current Valuation

Odds of Distress

Economic Sensitivity

Analyst Consensus

Piotroski F Score

Financial Leverage

For the selected time horizon Progressive Corporation has a risk adjusted performance of (0.05), jensen alpha of (0.20), total risk alpha of (0.36), sortino ratio of 0.0 and treynor ratio of (0.19)
Macroaxis provides unbiased recommendation on Progressive Corporation that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Progressive. Our buy or sell recommendations engine determines the corporation potential to grow exclusively from the prospective of investors current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Progressive is not overpriced, please check all Progressive fundamentals including its Revenue, Cash Flow from Operations, Five Year Return, as well as the relationship between Cash per Share and Beta . Given that Progressive has Number of Shares Shorted of 5.41 M, we recommend you check out Progressive market performance and probability of bankruptcy to make sure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Progressive Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Progressive generates negative expected return over the last 30 days
The company has 4.41 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 30.7 . This implies that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Progressive has Current Ratio of 0.37 suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due.
Over 82.0% of Progressive shares are owned by institutional investors
On October 4, 2019 Progressive paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from Heres How We Evaluate The Progressive Corporations Dividend - Yahoo Finance

Progressive current analysts recommendations

Target Median Price85.00
Target Mean Price86.29
Recommendation Mean2.20
Target High Price100.00
Number Of Analyst Opinions17
Target Low Price75.00

Progressive Returns Distribution Density

Mean Return0.12Value At Risk2.49
Potential Upside2.00Standard Deviation1.47
 Return Density 

Institutional Investors

Security TypeSharesValue
Vanguard Group IncCommon Shares48.4 M3.7 B
Blackrock IncCommon Shares43.4 M3.4 B
State Street CorpCommon Shares26.2 MB
Wellington Management Group LlpCommon Shares15.3 M1.2 B
Janus Henderson Group PlcCommon Shares12.1 M937.6 M
Jpmorgan Chase CoCommon Shares11.9 M921.5 M
Artisan Partners Limited PartnershipCommon Shares11.9 M919.2 M

Progressive Greeks

Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.67
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.16

Progressive Volatility Alert

Progressive Corporation exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.95 and kurtosis of 2.16. However, we advise investors to further study Progressive Corporation technical indicators to make sure all market info is available and is reliable.
 Better Than Average     
 Worse Than Average Compare Progressive to competition

Progressive Fundamental Vs Peers

FundamentalsProgressivePeer Average
Return On Equity0.0023 (0.31) 
Return On Asset0.0005 (0.14) 
Profit Margin0.0007 (1.27) 
Operating Margin12.52 (5.51) 
Current Valuation45.76 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding584.65 M571.82 M
Shares Owned by Insiders0.69 10.09 
Shares Owned by Institutions81.99 39.21 
Number of Shares Shorted5.41 M4.71 M
Price to Earning13.06 28.72 
Price to Book2.91 9.51 
Price to Sales1.13 11.42 
Revenue36.29 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.46 B27.38 B
EBITDA4.56 B3.9 B
Net Income3.14 B570.98 M
Cash and Equivalents1.47 B2.7 B
Cash per Share2.51 5.01 
Total Debt4.41 B5.32 B
Debt to Equity30.70 48.70 
Current Ratio0.38 2.16 
Book Value Per Share5.83 1.93 K
Cash Flow from Operations7.64 B971.22 M
Short Ratio1.62 4.00 
Earnings Per Share5.38 3.12 
Price to Earnings To Growth2.29 4.89 
Number of Employees37.35 K18.84 K
Market Capitalization41.04 B19.03 B
Total Asset29.82 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings2.78 B9.33 B
Z Score6.48.72
Five Year Return2.27
   Acquisition by Susan Griffith of 179 shares of Progressive subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]