Philip Morris International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| PM Stock | USD 91.20 0.62 0.68% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Philip Morris International is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Philip Morris buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding PM positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Philip Morris' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Philip Morris' buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 101.17 | Target Price 111.5 | Hype Value 90.8 | Market Value 91.2 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Philip Morris International given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Philip Morris. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Philip Morris International, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Philip |
Execute Philip Morris Buy or Sell Advice
The Philip recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Philip Morris International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Philip Morris International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Philip Morris' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Philip Morris Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Philip Morris Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reports 47.91 B of total liabilities. Philip Morris Intern has a current ratio of 0.9, implying that it has not enough working capital to pay out debt commitments in time. Debt can assist Philip Morris until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Philip Morris' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Philip Morris Intern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Philip to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Philip Morris' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Philip Morris Intern has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 9th of April 2024 Philip Morris paid $ 1.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investorplace.com: The Underpriced Steals 7 Stocks You Cant Afford to Overlook This Year |
Philip Morris Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Philip Morris' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Philip Morris' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Philip Morris daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Philip Morris International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Philip Morris returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Philip Morris.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -1.46 | Potential Upside | 1.27 | Standard Deviation | 0.94 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Philip Morris historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Philip Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Philip Morris is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Philip Morris International backward and forwards among themselves. Philip Morris' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Philip Morris' securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2023-12-31 | 20 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 16.1 M | Fundsmith Llp | 2023-12-31 | 15 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 13.4 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 13.1 M | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 12.1 M | Fayez Sarofim & Company | 2023-12-31 | 11.8 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 11.7 M | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2023-12-31 | 11.4 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 136.1 M | Capital World Investors | 2023-12-31 | 109.6 M |
Philip Morris Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 245M | 420M | (2.8B) | (1.3B) | (71M) | (74.6M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 9.2B | 9.2B | 11.2B | 9.7B | 7.9B | 8.3B | |
| Depreciation | 964M | 981M | 998M | 1.2B | 1.4B | 961.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 413M | 268M | (69M) | 159M | 458M | 480.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 852M | 602M | 748M | 1.1B | 1.3B | 1.1B | |
| Net Income | 7.7B | 8.6B | 9.7B | 9.5B | 8.3B | 8.2B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 6.9B | 7.3B | 4.5B | 3.2B | 3.1B | 3.7B | |
| Change To Inventory | (548M) | (165M) | 549M | (1.3B) | (862M) | (905.1M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 7.2B | 7.4B | 7.6B | 7.8B | (8.0B) | (7.6B) | |
| Change To Netincome | 30M | (259M) | (308M) | (327M) | (294.3M) | (279.6M) | |
| Change Receivables | (331M) | 26M | (198M) | (871M) | (783.9M) | (744.7M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (543M) | (356M) | (3.0B) | 14.2B | 16.3B | 17.1B | |
| Investments | 355M | (598M) | 432M | 264M | (3.6B) | (3.4B) |
Philip Morris Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Philip Morris or Tobacco sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Philip Morris' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Philip stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Philip Morris Volatility Alert
Philip Morris International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.19 and kurtosis of 0.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Philip Morris' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Philip Morris' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Philip Morris Implied Volatility
Philip Morris' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Philip Morris International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Philip Morris' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Philip Morris stock will not fluctuate a lot when Philip Morris' options are near their expiration.
Philip Morris Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Philip Morris' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Philip Morris' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Philip Morris and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Philip Morris or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Philip Morris' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Philip Morris by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Philip Morris to competition |
| Fundamentals | Philip Morris | Peer Average |
| Return On Asset | 0.13 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.34 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 186.32 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.55 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.15 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 79.61 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 7.33 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 17.73 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.93 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 35.17 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 20.53 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 14.04 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 8.27 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.21 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 3.59 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 47.91 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | (3.43) % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.92 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | (7.23) X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 9.2 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.19 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 5.02 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.99 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 108.18 | |
| Number Of Employees | 82.7 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.64 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 139.13 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 65.3 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 34.09 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (6.63 B) | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 15.8 B | 9.34 B |
| Current Liabilities | 15.39 B | 7.9 B |
Note: Acquisition by Shlomo Yanai of 1759 shares of Philip Morris subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Philip Morris Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Philip . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25695.09 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.068966 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 90.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 91.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.57 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.62 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 62.47 |
About Philip Morris Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Philip Morris International? Buying financial instruments such as Philip Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Non Current Assets Total | 23.6B | 42.1B | 45.5B | 23.6B | Cash | 4.5B | 3.2B | 3.1B | 3.8B |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Philip Morris in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Communication Services
Companies that provide networking, telecom, and long distance services. The Communication Services theme has 42 constituents at this time.
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Check out Philip Morris Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Complementary Tools for Philip Stock analysis
When running Philip Morris' price analysis, check to measure Philip Morris' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Philip Morris is operating at the current time. Most of Philip Morris' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Philip Morris' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Philip Morris' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Philip Morris to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Philip Morris' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. If investors know Philip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Philip Morris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Dividend Share 5.14 | Earnings Share 5.02 | Revenue Per Share 22.664 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
The market value of Philip Morris Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Philip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Philip Morris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Philip Morris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Philip Morris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Philip Morris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Philip Morris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Philip Morris is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.