Pool Corporation Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

POOL Stock  USD 375.50  3.64  0.96%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Pool Corporation is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Pool buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Pool positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Pool's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Pool's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
378.9
Target Price
373.9
Hype Value
375.48
Market Value
375.5
Naive Value
374.98
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Pool Corporation given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Pool. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Pool Corporation, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Pool Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Pool and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Pool Corporation. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.

Execute Pool Buy or Sell Advice

The Pool recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Pool Corporation. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Pool Corporation or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Pool's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell PoolBuy Pool
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Actively responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

PoorDetails

Financial Leverage

InapplicableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Pool Corporation has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.01, Jensen Alpha of (0.14), Total Risk Alpha of (0.24) and Sortino Ratio of (0.04)
Macroaxis provides advice on Pool Corporation to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Pool. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Pool is not overpriced, please check all Pool fundamentals, including its cash flow from operations, working capital, and the relationship between the cash per share and number of employees . Given that Pool has a price to earning of 16.83 X, we recommend you to check out Pool market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Pool Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Pool generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Pool has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 28th of March 2024 Pool paid $ 1.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 266 shares by Walker Saik of Pool at 471.87 subject to Rule 16b-3

Pool Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Pool's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Pool's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Pool daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Pool Corporation price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Pool returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Pool.
Mean Return
0.01
Value At Risk
-2.68
Potential Upside
2.32
Standard Deviation
1.74
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Pool historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Pool Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Pool is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pool Corporation backward and forwards among themselves. Pool's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Pool's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
William Blair Investment Management, Llc2023-12-31
666.8 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
664.9 K
Pictet Asset Manangement Sa2023-12-31
638.9 K
Baillie Gifford & Co Limited.2023-12-31
603.2 K
Macquarie Group Ltd2023-12-31
555.2 K
London Company Of Virginia2023-12-31
517.1 K
Wasatch Advisors Inc.2023-12-31
479.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
425.8 K
Wells Fargo & Co2023-12-31
422.9 K
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
4.4 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
3.4 M
Note, although Pool's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Pool Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(14.2M)(42.4M)(525.2M)(263.6M)231.2M242.8M
Change In Cash12.2M5.5M(9.8M)21.3M20.9M22.0M
Depreciation29.3M29.4M30.0M39.0M40.1M42.1M
Other Non Cash Items4.9M10.5M5.3M9.7M6.3M6.7M
Capital Expenditures33.4M21.7M37.7M43.6M60.1M63.1M
Net Income261.6M366.7M650.6M748.5M520.5M546.5M
End Period Cash Flow28.6M34.1M24.3M45.6M66.5M69.9M
Free Cash Flow265.4M375.9M275.8M441.2M828.1M869.5M
Dividends Paid83.8M91.9M119.6M150.6M(167.5M)(159.1M)
Change Receivables(15.7M)(38.7M)(79.9M)19.7M17.7M18.6M
Net Borrowings(158.4M)(95.9M)769.6M201.9M232.1M243.8M
Change To Netincome22.1M22.5M25.2M39.7M45.7M48.0M
Investments(42.3M)(146.3M)(849.6M)(50.9M)(70.9M)(74.4M)

Pool Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Pool or Distributors sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Pool's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Pool stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.14
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.72
σ
Overall volatility
1.77
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Pool Volatility Alert

Pool Corporation has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.48 and kurtosis of -0.07. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Pool's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Pool's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Pool Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Pool's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Pool's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Pool and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Pool or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Pool's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pool by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Pool to competition
FundamentalsPoolPeer Average
Return On Equity0.41-0.31
Return On Asset0.13-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.88 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding38.49 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders2.95 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions97.05 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted3.5 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.83 X28.72 X
Price To Book11.11 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.63 X11.42 X
Revenue5.54 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.93 B27.38 B
EBITDA787.26 M3.9 B
Net Income520.46 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents85.61 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.19 X5.01 X
Total Debt1.36 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.49 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.98 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share34.23 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations888.23 M971.22 M
Short Ratio10.38 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share13.34 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.81 X4.89 X
Target Price395.62
Number Of Employees6 K18.84 K
Beta0.99-0.15
Market Capitalization14.59 B19.03 B
Total Asset3.43 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings699.99 M9.33 B
Working Capital1.04 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 266 shares by Walker Saik of Pool at 471.87 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Pool Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Pool . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Pool Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Pool Corporation? Buying financial instruments such as Pool Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total1.4B1.7B1.4B1.4B
Total Assets3.2B3.6B3.4B3.6B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Pool in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Aircraft Thematic Idea Now

Aircraft
Aircraft Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Aircraft theme has 44 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Aircraft Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Pool is a strong investment it is important to analyze Pool's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Pool's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Pool Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Pool Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.

Complementary Tools for Pool Stock analysis

When running Pool's price analysis, check to measure Pool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pool is operating at the current time. Most of Pool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Pool's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Pool. If investors know Pool will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Pool listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.27)
Dividend Share
4.3
Earnings Share
13.34
Revenue Per Share
143.179
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.09)
The market value of Pool is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Pool that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Pool's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Pool's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Pool's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Pool's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pool's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pool is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pool's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.